Start Drew Lock. Lock is projected for 16.0 PPR points vs 2.9 for Kyler Murray, and faces the 2nd-softest defense against QBs this week.
Updated Nov 7, 4:39 PM ET
| Drew Lock QB · SEA | Kyler Murray QB · MIN | |
|---|---|---|
| Projection (Week 9, avg of sources) | 16.0 | 2.9 |
| Floor (lowest source) | 13.6 | 2.0 |
| Ceiling (highest source) | 17.2 | 3.9 |
| StatChasers projection | 16.2 (QB18) | — |
| Opponent | vs ARI | Bye |
| Opponent vs. position | 2nd-softest (22.3 pts/g allowed) | — |
| Recent usage | — | — |
| Position | QB | QB |
| Our call | SIT · Bench | SIT · Bench |
Settle every start/sit call with projections, matchup, recent usage and floor-versus-ceiling for your exact scoring settings.
Start Drew Lock. Lock projects for 16.0 PPR points vs ARI, against 2.9 for Kyler Murray on a bye: a 13.1-point edge.
The projection is the average of every source that carries each player this week, and a player listed Out or Doubtful is never the start.
Drew Lock is projected to score more: 16.0 PPR points to 2.9 for Kyler Murray.
The sources range from 13.6 to 17.2 for Lock and from 2.0 to 3.9 for Murray. Even Murray's highest projection is below Lock's lowest.
Drew Lock is the safer start: even the most cautious projection source has Lock at 13.6 PPR points, against 2.0 for Kyler Murray.
Start the higher floor when you are favored and only need to avoid a dud.
Drew Lock has the higher ceiling: the most optimistic projection source has Lock at 17.2 PPR points, against 3.9 for Kyler Murray.
Start the higher ceiling when you are the underdog and need points more than safety.
Drew Lock plays ARI and Kyler Murray is on a bye in Week 9.
Each projection already accounts for the opponent, so a soft matchup is a tiebreaker, not a reason to bench the higher projection.
These numbers are in PPR. Full PPR adds a point per catch, so it helps whichever player sees more targets.
Switch between PPR, Half PPR and Standard on the board above to rescore both players from the same sources.
Drew Lock has no injury designation, and Kyler Murray is on a bye.
Designations change through the week, so check again before kickoff; this page updates with each refresh.
Each figure is the average of the projection sources that carry the player this week: StatChasers, Sleeper, ESPN, numberFire, FFToday and the betting markets (sportsbook player props). Drew Lock is projected by 6 of them and Kyler Murray by 2.
A source with no number for a player is left out of the average rather than counted as a zero.