Start Travis Kelce. Kelce is projected for 12.5 PPR points vs 8.6 for Eli Raridon, and faces the 15th-softest defense against TEs this week.
Updated Nov 7, 4:39 PM ET
| Travis Kelce TE · KC | Eli Raridon TE · NE | |
|---|---|---|
| Projection (Week 9, avg of sources) | 12.5 | 8.6 |
| Floor (lowest source) | 10.6 | 7.5 |
| Ceiling (highest source) | 13.7 | 11.4 |
| StatChasers projection | 12.5 (TE6) | 8.7 (TE20) |
| Opponent | vs NYJ | vs GB |
| Opponent vs. position | 15th-softest (13.9 pts/g allowed) | 2nd-toughest (9.0 pts/g allowed) |
| Recent usage | 20% target share (last 3) | 14% target share (last 3) |
| Position | TE | TE |
| Our call | START · Strong TE1 | SIT · Bench |
Settle every start/sit call with projections, matchup, recent usage and floor-versus-ceiling for your exact scoring settings.
Start Travis Kelce. Kelce projects for 12.5 PPR points vs NYJ, against 8.6 for Eli Raridon vs GB: a 3.9-point edge.
The projection is the average of every source that carries each player this week, and a player listed Out or Doubtful is never the start.
Travis Kelce is projected to score more: 12.5 PPR points to 8.6 for Eli Raridon.
The sources range from 10.6 to 13.7 for Kelce and from 7.5 to 11.4 for Raridon. The ranges overlap, so Raridon outscoring Kelce is a realistic result.
Travis Kelce is the safer start: even the most cautious projection source has Kelce at 10.6 PPR points, against 7.5 for Eli Raridon.
Start the higher floor when you are favored and only need to avoid a dud.
Travis Kelce has the higher ceiling: the most optimistic projection source has Kelce at 13.7 PPR points, against 11.4 for Eli Raridon.
Start the higher ceiling when you are the underdog and need points more than safety.
Travis Kelce plays NYJ and Eli Raridon plays GB in Week 9.
By fantasy points allowed to each position, Kelce faces the 15th-softest defense against TEs and Raridon faces the 2nd-toughest defense against TEs, so Travis Kelce has the softer matchup.
Each projection already accounts for the opponent, so a soft matchup is a tiebreaker, not a reason to bench the higher projection.
Over his recent games Travis Kelce has drawn 20% of his team's targets, and Eli Raridon 14% of his team's targets.
Travis Kelce has the bigger role, and volume is the steadiest thing a projection rests on.
These numbers are in PPR. Full PPR adds a point per catch, so it helps whichever player sees more targets, which here is Travis Kelce.
Switch between PPR, Half PPR and Standard on the board above to rescore both players from the same sources.
Neither Travis Kelce nor Eli Raridon has an injury designation for Week 9.
Designations change through the week, so check again before kickoff; this page updates with each refresh.
Each figure is the average of the projection sources that carry the player this week: StatChasers, Sleeper, ESPN, numberFire, FFToday and the betting markets (sportsbook player props). Travis Kelce is projected by 5 of them and Eli Raridon by 5.
A source with no number for a player is left out of the average rather than counted as a zero.