Start Saquon Barkley. Barkley is projected for 12.8 PPR points vs 12.5 for Travis Kelce, and faces the 11th-toughest defense against RBs this week.
Updated Nov 7, 4:39 PM ET
| Saquon Barkley RB · PHI | Travis Kelce TE · KC | |
|---|---|---|
| Projection (Week 9, avg of sources) | 12.8 | 12.5 |
| Floor (lowest source) | 11.5 | 10.6 |
| Ceiling (highest source) | 14.7 | 13.7 |
| StatChasers projection | 12.5 (RB24) | 12.5 (TE6) |
| Opponent | vs NYG | vs NYJ |
| Opponent vs. position | 11th-toughest (19.8 pts/g allowed) | 15th-softest (13.9 pts/g allowed) |
| Recent usage | 27% carry share (last 3) | 20% target share (last 3) |
| Position | RB | TE |
| Our call | START · RB2 | START · Strong TE1 |
Settle every start/sit call with projections, matchup, recent usage and floor-versus-ceiling for your exact scoring settings.
Start Saquon Barkley. Barkley projects for 12.8 PPR points vs NYG, against 12.5 for Travis Kelce vs NYJ: a 0.3-point edge.
The projection is the average of every source that carries each player this week, and a player listed Out or Doubtful is never the start.
Saquon Barkley is projected to score more: 12.8 PPR points to 12.5 for Travis Kelce.
The sources range from 11.5 to 14.7 for Barkley and from 10.6 to 13.7 for Kelce. The ranges overlap, so Kelce outscoring Barkley is a realistic result.
Saquon Barkley is the safer start: even the most cautious projection source has Barkley at 11.5 PPR points, against 10.6 for Travis Kelce.
Start the higher floor when you are favored and only need to avoid a dud.
Saquon Barkley has the higher ceiling: the most optimistic projection source has Barkley at 14.7 PPR points, against 13.7 for Travis Kelce.
Start the higher ceiling when you are the underdog and need points more than safety.
Saquon Barkley plays NYG and Travis Kelce plays NYJ in Week 9.
By fantasy points allowed to each position, Barkley faces the 11th-toughest defense against RBs and Kelce faces the 15th-softest defense against TEs, so Travis Kelce has the softer matchup.
Each projection already accounts for the opponent, so a soft matchup is a tiebreaker, not a reason to bench the higher projection.
Over his recent games Saquon Barkley has drawn 27% of his team's carries, and Travis Kelce 20% of his team's targets.
These numbers are in PPR. Full PPR adds a point per catch, so it helps whichever player sees more targets, which here is Travis Kelce.
Switch between PPR, Half PPR and Standard on the board above to rescore both players from the same sources.
Neither Saquon Barkley nor Travis Kelce has an injury designation for Week 9.
Designations change through the week, so check again before kickoff; this page updates with each refresh.
Each figure is the average of the projection sources that carry the player this week: StatChasers, Sleeper, ESPN, numberFire, FFToday and the betting markets (sportsbook player props). Saquon Barkley is projected by 6 of them and Travis Kelce by 5.
A source with no number for a player is left out of the average rather than counted as a zero.