Start Isaiah Likely. Likely is projected for 12.1 PPR points vs 3.3 for Garrett Wilson, and faces the 3rd-toughest defense against TEs this week.
Updated Nov 7, 4:39 PM ET
| Isaiah Likely TE · NYG | Garrett Wilson WR · NYJ | |
|---|---|---|
| Projection (Week 9, avg of sources) | 12.1 | 3.3 |
| Floor (lowest source) | 11.5 | 3.3 |
| Ceiling (highest source) | 12.7 | 3.3 |
| StatChasers projection | 12.0 (TE8) | — |
| Opponent | vs PHI | Bye |
| Opponent vs. position | 3rd-toughest (9.5 pts/g allowed) | — |
| Recent usage | 23% target share (last 3) | 24% target share (last 3) |
| Position | TE | WR |
| Our call | START · TE1 | SIT · Bench |
Settle every start/sit call with projections, matchup, recent usage and floor-versus-ceiling for your exact scoring settings.
Start Isaiah Likely. Likely projects for 12.1 PPR points vs PHI, against 3.3 for Garrett Wilson on a bye: a 8.8-point edge.
The projection is the average of every source that carries each player this week, and a player listed Out or Doubtful is never the start.
Isaiah Likely is projected to score more: 12.1 PPR points to 3.3 for Garrett Wilson.
The sources range from 11.5 to 12.7 for Likely and from 3.3 to 3.3 for Wilson. Even Wilson's highest projection is below Likely's lowest.
Isaiah Likely is the safer start: even the most cautious projection source has Likely at 11.5 PPR points, against 3.3 for Garrett Wilson.
Start the higher floor when you are favored and only need to avoid a dud.
Isaiah Likely has the higher ceiling: the most optimistic projection source has Likely at 12.7 PPR points, against 3.3 for Garrett Wilson.
Start the higher ceiling when you are the underdog and need points more than safety.
Isaiah Likely plays PHI and Garrett Wilson is on a bye in Week 9.
Each projection already accounts for the opponent, so a soft matchup is a tiebreaker, not a reason to bench the higher projection.
Over his recent games Isaiah Likely has drawn 23% of his team's targets, and Garrett Wilson 24% of his team's targets.
Garrett Wilson has the bigger role, and volume is the steadiest thing a projection rests on.
These numbers are in PPR. Full PPR adds a point per catch, so it helps whichever player sees more targets, which here is Garrett Wilson.
Switch between PPR, Half PPR and Standard on the board above to rescore both players from the same sources.
Isaiah Likely has no injury designation, and Garrett Wilson is on a bye.
Designations change through the week, so check again before kickoff; this page updates with each refresh.
Each figure is the average of the projection sources that carry the player this week: StatChasers, Sleeper, ESPN, numberFire, FFToday and the betting markets (sportsbook player props). Isaiah Likely is projected by 5 of them and Garrett Wilson by 1.
A source with no number for a player is left out of the average rather than counted as a zero.