Start Javonte Williams. Williams is projected for 16.3 PPR points vs 16.0 for Garrett Wilson, and faces the 16th-toughest defense against RBs this week.
Updated Oct 24, 4:47 PM ET
| Javonte Williams RB · DAL | Garrett Wilson WR · NYJ | |
|---|---|---|
| Projection (Week 7, avg of sources) | 16.3 | 16.0 |
| Floor (lowest source) | 14.7 | 13.2 |
| Ceiling (highest source) | 17.8 | 18.7 |
| StatChasers projection | — | — |
| Opponent | vs PHI | vs MIA |
| Opponent vs. position | 16th-toughest (20.5 pts/g allowed) | 3rd-toughest (23.2 pts/g allowed) |
| Recent usage | 79% carry share (last 3) | 29% target share (last 3) |
| Position | RB | WR |
| Our call | START · Strong RB1 | START · WR2 |
Settle every start/sit call with projections, matchup, recent usage and floor-versus-ceiling for your exact scoring settings.
Start Javonte Williams. Williams projects for 16.3 PPR points vs PHI, against 16.0 for Garrett Wilson vs MIA: a 0.3-point edge.
The projection is the average of every source that carries each player this week, and a player listed Out or Doubtful is never the start.
Javonte Williams is projected to score more: 16.3 PPR points to 16.0 for Garrett Wilson.
The sources range from 14.7 to 17.8 for Williams and from 13.2 to 18.7 for Wilson. The ranges overlap, so Wilson outscoring Williams is a realistic result.
Javonte Williams is the safer start: even the most cautious projection source has Williams at 14.7 PPR points, against 13.2 for Garrett Wilson.
Start the higher floor when you are favored and only need to avoid a dud.
Garrett Wilson has the higher ceiling: the most optimistic projection source has Wilson at 18.7 PPR points, against 17.8 for Javonte Williams.
Start the higher ceiling when you are the underdog and need points more than safety.
Javonte Williams plays PHI and Garrett Wilson plays MIA in Week 7.
By fantasy points allowed to each position, Williams faces the 16th-toughest defense against RBs and Wilson faces the 3rd-toughest defense against WRs, so Javonte Williams has the softer matchup.
Each projection already accounts for the opponent, so a soft matchup is a tiebreaker, not a reason to bench the higher projection.
Over his recent games Javonte Williams has drawn 79% of his team's carries, and Garrett Wilson 29% of his team's targets.
These numbers are in PPR. Full PPR adds a point per catch, so it helps whichever player sees more targets, which here is Garrett Wilson.
Switch between PPR, Half PPR and Standard on the board above to rescore both players from the same sources.
Neither Javonte Williams nor Garrett Wilson has an injury designation for Week 7.
Designations change through the week, so check again before kickoff; this page updates with each refresh.
Each figure is the average of the projection sources that carry the player this week: StatChasers, Sleeper, ESPN, numberFire, FFToday and the betting markets (sportsbook player props). Javonte Williams is projected by 5 of them and Garrett Wilson by 4.
A source with no number for a player is left out of the average rather than counted as a zero.