Too close to call: Jaylen Warren (16.2) and Garrett Wilson (16.0) project within 0.2 PPR points of each other in Week 7, and Jaylen Warren faces the 1st-softest defense against RBs.
Updated Oct 24, 4:47 PM ET
| Jaylen Warren RB · PIT | Garrett Wilson WR · NYJ | |
|---|---|---|
| Projection (Week 7, avg of sources) | 16.2 | 16.0 |
| Floor (lowest source) | 14.5 | 13.2 |
| Ceiling (highest source) | 17.7 | 18.7 |
| StatChasers projection | — | — |
| Opponent | vs NO | vs MIA |
| Opponent vs. position | 1st-softest (29.7 pts/g allowed) | 3rd-toughest (23.2 pts/g allowed) |
| Recent usage | 73% carry share (last 3) | 29% target share (last 3) |
| Position | RB | WR |
| Our call | START · Strong RB1 | START · WR2 |
Settle every start/sit call with projections, matchup, recent usage and floor-versus-ceiling for your exact scoring settings.
It is a coin flip. Jaylen Warren projects for 16.2 PPR points and Garrett Wilson for 16.0, within 0.2 of each other.
Break the tie with the floor if you are favored this week, and with the ceiling if you need a big game to win.
They are projected almost level: 16.2 PPR points for Jaylen Warren and 16.0 for Garrett Wilson.
The sources range from 14.5 to 17.7 for Warren and from 13.2 to 18.7 for Wilson. Either result is well inside both ranges.
Jaylen Warren is the safer start: even the most cautious projection source has Warren at 14.5 PPR points, against 13.2 for Garrett Wilson.
Start the higher floor when you are favored and only need to avoid a dud.
Garrett Wilson has the higher ceiling: the most optimistic projection source has Wilson at 18.7 PPR points, against 17.7 for Jaylen Warren.
Start the higher ceiling when you are the underdog and need points more than safety.
Jaylen Warren plays NO and Garrett Wilson plays MIA in Week 7.
By fantasy points allowed to each position, Warren faces the 1st-softest defense against RBs and Wilson faces the 3rd-toughest defense against WRs, so Jaylen Warren has the softer matchup.
Each projection already accounts for the opponent, so a soft matchup is a tiebreaker, not a reason to bench the higher projection.
Over his recent games Jaylen Warren has drawn 73% of his team's carries, and Garrett Wilson 29% of his team's targets.
These numbers are in PPR. Full PPR adds a point per catch, so it helps whichever player sees more targets, which here is Garrett Wilson.
Switch between PPR, Half PPR and Standard on the board above to rescore both players from the same sources.
Neither Jaylen Warren nor Garrett Wilson has an injury designation for Week 7.
Designations change through the week, so check again before kickoff; this page updates with each refresh.
Each figure is the average of the projection sources that carry the player this week: StatChasers, Sleeper, ESPN, numberFire, FFToday and the betting markets (sportsbook player props). Jaylen Warren is projected by 5 of them and Garrett Wilson by 4.
A source with no number for a player is left out of the average rather than counted as a zero.