Too close to call: Javonte Williams (16.3) and A.J. Brown (16.2) project within 0.1 PPR points of each other in Week 7, and Javonte Williams faces the 16th-toughest defense against RBs.
Updated Oct 24, 4:47 PM ET
| Javonte Williams RB · DAL | A.J. Brown WR · NE | |
|---|---|---|
| Projection (Week 7, avg of sources) | 16.3 | 16.2 |
| Floor (lowest source) | 14.7 | 14.9 |
| Ceiling (highest source) | 17.8 | 18.4 |
| StatChasers projection | — | — |
| Opponent | vs PHI | vs CHI |
| Opponent vs. position | 16th-toughest (20.5 pts/g allowed) | 15th-toughest (31.5 pts/g allowed) |
| Recent usage | 79% carry share (last 3) | 23% target share (last 2) |
| Position | RB | WR |
| Our call | START · Strong RB1 | START · Strong WR1 |
Settle every start/sit call with projections, matchup, recent usage and floor-versus-ceiling for your exact scoring settings.
It is a coin flip. Javonte Williams projects for 16.3 PPR points and A.J. Brown for 16.2, within 0.1 of each other.
Break the tie with the floor if you are favored this week, and with the ceiling if you need a big game to win.
They are projected almost level: 16.3 PPR points for Javonte Williams and 16.2 for A.J. Brown.
The sources range from 14.7 to 17.8 for Williams and from 14.9 to 18.4 for Brown. Either result is well inside both ranges.
A.J. Brown is the safer start: even the most cautious projection source has Brown at 14.9 PPR points, against 14.7 for Javonte Williams.
Start the higher floor when you are favored and only need to avoid a dud.
A.J. Brown has the higher ceiling: the most optimistic projection source has Brown at 18.4 PPR points, against 17.8 for Javonte Williams.
Start the higher ceiling when you are the underdog and need points more than safety.
Javonte Williams plays PHI and A.J. Brown plays CHI in Week 7.
By fantasy points allowed to each position, Williams faces the 16th-toughest defense against RBs and Brown faces the 15th-toughest defense against WRs, so Javonte Williams has the softer matchup.
Each projection already accounts for the opponent, so a soft matchup is a tiebreaker, not a reason to bench the higher projection.
Over his recent games Javonte Williams has drawn 79% of his team's carries, and A.J. Brown 23% of his team's targets.
These numbers are in PPR. Full PPR adds a point per catch, so it helps whichever player sees more targets, which here is A.J. Brown.
Switch between PPR, Half PPR and Standard on the board above to rescore both players from the same sources.
Neither Javonte Williams nor A.J. Brown has an injury designation for Week 7.
Designations change through the week, so check again before kickoff; this page updates with each refresh.
Each figure is the average of the projection sources that carry the player this week: StatChasers, Sleeper, ESPN, numberFire, FFToday and the betting markets (sportsbook player props). Javonte Williams is projected by 5 of them and A.J. Brown by 4.
A source with no number for a player is left out of the average rather than counted as a zero.