Too close to call: Shedeur Sanders (14.0) and Geno Smith (13.8) project within 0.2 PPR points of each other in Week 9, and Shedeur Sanders faces the 16th-toughest defense against QBs.
Updated Nov 7, 4:39 PM ET
| Shedeur Sanders QB · CLE | Geno Smith QB · NYJ | |
|---|---|---|
| Projection (Week 9, avg of sources) | 14.0 | 13.8 |
| Floor (lowest source) | 10.6 | 11.9 |
| Ceiling (highest source) | 16.8 | 15.2 |
| StatChasers projection | 14.2 (QB24) | 13.4 (QB28) |
| Opponent | vs NO | vs KC |
| Opponent vs. position | 16th-toughest (17.8 pts/g allowed) | 6th-toughest (13.9 pts/g allowed) |
| Recent usage | — | — |
| Position | QB | QB |
| Our call | SIT · Bench | SIT · Bench |
Settle every start/sit call with projections, matchup, recent usage and floor-versus-ceiling for your exact scoring settings.
It is a coin flip. Shedeur Sanders projects for 14.0 PPR points and Geno Smith for 13.8, within 0.2 of each other.
Break the tie with the floor if you are favored this week, and with the ceiling if you need a big game to win.
They are projected almost level: 14.0 PPR points for Shedeur Sanders and 13.8 for Geno Smith.
The sources range from 10.6 to 16.8 for Sanders and from 11.9 to 15.2 for Smith. Either result is well inside both ranges.
Geno Smith is the safer start: even the most cautious projection source has Smith at 11.9 PPR points, against 10.6 for Shedeur Sanders.
Start the higher floor when you are favored and only need to avoid a dud.
Shedeur Sanders has the higher ceiling: the most optimistic projection source has Sanders at 16.8 PPR points, against 15.2 for Geno Smith.
Start the higher ceiling when you are the underdog and need points more than safety.
Shedeur Sanders plays NO and Geno Smith plays KC in Week 9.
By fantasy points allowed to each position, Sanders faces the 16th-toughest defense against QBs and Smith faces the 6th-toughest defense against QBs, so Shedeur Sanders has the softer matchup.
Each projection already accounts for the opponent, so a soft matchup is a tiebreaker, not a reason to bench the higher projection.
These numbers are in PPR. Full PPR adds a point per catch, so it helps whichever player sees more targets.
Switch between PPR, Half PPR and Standard on the board above to rescore both players from the same sources.
Neither Shedeur Sanders nor Geno Smith has an injury designation for Week 9.
Designations change through the week, so check again before kickoff; this page updates with each refresh.
Each figure is the average of the projection sources that carry the player this week: StatChasers, Sleeper, ESPN, numberFire, FFToday and the betting markets (sportsbook player props). Shedeur Sanders is projected by 6 of them and Geno Smith by 6.
A source with no number for a player is left out of the average rather than counted as a zero.