Start Jaylen Warren. Warren is projected for 15.9 PPR points vs 15.1 for George Pickens, and faces the 8th-toughest defense against RBs this week.
Updated Oct 30, 7:29 AM ET
| Jaylen Warren RB · PIT | George Pickens WR · DAL | |
|---|---|---|
| Projection (Week 8, avg of sources) | 15.9 | 15.1 |
| Floor (lowest source) | 14.9 | 13.9 |
| Ceiling (highest source) | 16.9 | 16.0 |
| StatChasers projection | 16.5 (RB11) | 15.4 (WR12) |
| Opponent | vs CLE | vs ARI |
| Opponent vs. position | 8th-toughest (19.4 pts/g allowed) | 12th-softest (33.6 pts/g allowed) |
| Recent usage | 64% carry share (last 3) | 25% target share (last 3) |
| Position | RB | WR |
| Our call | START · Strong RB1 | START · Strong WR1 |
Settle every start/sit call with projections, matchup, recent usage and floor-versus-ceiling for your exact scoring settings.
Start Jaylen Warren. Warren projects for 15.9 PPR points vs CLE, against 15.1 for George Pickens vs ARI: a 0.8-point edge.
The projection is the average of every source that carries each player this week, and a player listed Out or Doubtful is never the start.
Jaylen Warren is projected to score more: 15.9 PPR points to 15.1 for George Pickens.
The sources range from 14.9 to 16.9 for Warren and from 13.9 to 16.0 for Pickens. The ranges overlap, so Pickens outscoring Warren is a realistic result.
Jaylen Warren is the safer start: even the most cautious projection source has Warren at 14.9 PPR points, against 13.9 for George Pickens.
Start the higher floor when you are favored and only need to avoid a dud.
Jaylen Warren has the higher ceiling: the most optimistic projection source has Warren at 16.9 PPR points, against 16.0 for George Pickens.
Start the higher ceiling when you are the underdog and need points more than safety.
Jaylen Warren plays CLE and George Pickens plays ARI in Week 8.
By fantasy points allowed to each position, Warren faces the 8th-toughest defense against RBs and Pickens faces the 12th-softest defense against WRs, so George Pickens has the softer matchup.
Each projection already accounts for the opponent, so a soft matchup is a tiebreaker, not a reason to bench the higher projection.
Over his recent games Jaylen Warren has drawn 64% of his team's carries, and George Pickens 25% of his team's targets.
These numbers are in PPR. Full PPR adds a point per catch, so it helps whichever player sees more targets, which here is George Pickens.
Switch between PPR, Half PPR and Standard on the board above to rescore both players from the same sources.
Neither Jaylen Warren nor George Pickens has an injury designation for Week 8.
Designations change through the week, so check again before kickoff; this page updates with each refresh.
Each figure is the average of the projection sources that carry the player this week: StatChasers, Sleeper, ESPN, numberFire, FFToday and the betting markets (sportsbook player props). Jaylen Warren is projected by 6 of them and George Pickens by 5.
A source with no number for a player is left out of the average rather than counted as a zero.