Start Isaiah Likely. Likely is projected for 12.9 PPR points vs 12.3 for Germie Bernard, and faces the 11th-toughest defense against TEs this week.
Updated Oct 24, 4:47 PM ET
| Isaiah Likely TE · NYG | Germie Bernard WR · PIT | |
|---|---|---|
| Projection (Week 7, avg of sources) | 12.9 | 12.3 |
| Floor (lowest source) | 12.0 | 11.6 |
| Ceiling (highest source) | 14.3 | 13.4 |
| StatChasers projection | — | — |
| Opponent | vs HOU | vs NO |
| Opponent vs. position | 11th-toughest (10.6 pts/g allowed) | 16th-softest (31.8 pts/g allowed) |
| Recent usage | 29% target share (last 3) | 20% target share (last 3) |
| Position | TE | WR |
| Our call | START · Strong TE1 | START · WR3 |
Settle every start/sit call with projections, matchup, recent usage and floor-versus-ceiling for your exact scoring settings.
Start Isaiah Likely. Likely projects for 12.9 PPR points vs HOU, against 12.3 for Germie Bernard vs NO: a 0.6-point edge.
The projection is the average of every source that carries each player this week, and a player listed Out or Doubtful is never the start.
Isaiah Likely is projected to score more: 12.9 PPR points to 12.3 for Germie Bernard.
The sources range from 12.0 to 14.3 for Likely and from 11.6 to 13.4 for Bernard. The ranges overlap, so Bernard outscoring Likely is a realistic result.
Isaiah Likely is the safer start: even the most cautious projection source has Likely at 12.0 PPR points, against 11.6 for Germie Bernard.
Start the higher floor when you are favored and only need to avoid a dud.
Isaiah Likely has the higher ceiling: the most optimistic projection source has Likely at 14.3 PPR points, against 13.4 for Germie Bernard.
Start the higher ceiling when you are the underdog and need points more than safety.
Isaiah Likely plays HOU and Germie Bernard plays NO in Week 7.
By fantasy points allowed to each position, Likely faces the 11th-toughest defense against TEs and Bernard faces the 16th-softest defense against WRs, so Germie Bernard has the softer matchup.
Each projection already accounts for the opponent, so a soft matchup is a tiebreaker, not a reason to bench the higher projection.
Over his recent games Isaiah Likely has drawn 29% of his team's targets, and Germie Bernard 20% of his team's targets.
Isaiah Likely has the bigger role, and volume is the steadiest thing a projection rests on.
These numbers are in PPR. Full PPR adds a point per catch, so it helps whichever player sees more targets, which here is Isaiah Likely.
Switch between PPR, Half PPR and Standard on the board above to rescore both players from the same sources.
Neither Isaiah Likely nor Germie Bernard has an injury designation for Week 7.
Designations change through the week, so check again before kickoff; this page updates with each refresh.
Each figure is the average of the projection sources that carry the player this week: StatChasers, Sleeper, ESPN, numberFire, FFToday and the betting markets (sportsbook player props). Isaiah Likely is projected by 4 of them and Germie Bernard by 4.
A source with no number for a player is left out of the average rather than counted as a zero.