Start Travis Kelce. Kelce is projected for 12.5 PPR points vs 9.0 for Greg Dulcich, and faces the 15th-softest defense against TEs this week.
Updated Nov 7, 4:39 PM ET
| Travis Kelce TE · KC | Greg Dulcich TE · MIA | |
|---|---|---|
| Projection (Week 9, avg of sources) | 12.5 | 9.0 |
| Floor (lowest source) | 10.6 | 8.1 |
| Ceiling (highest source) | 13.7 | 9.6 |
| StatChasers projection | 12.5 (TE6) | 9.4 (TE18) |
| Opponent | vs NYJ | vs DET |
| Opponent vs. position | 15th-softest (13.9 pts/g allowed) | 1st-softest (27.9 pts/g allowed) |
| Recent usage | 20% target share (last 3) | 21% target share (last 3) |
| Position | TE | TE |
| Our call | START · Strong TE1 | SIT · Bench |
Settle every start/sit call with projections, matchup, recent usage and floor-versus-ceiling for your exact scoring settings.
Start Travis Kelce. Kelce projects for 12.5 PPR points vs NYJ, against 9.0 for Greg Dulcich vs DET: a 3.5-point edge.
The projection is the average of every source that carries each player this week, and a player listed Out or Doubtful is never the start.
Travis Kelce is projected to score more: 12.5 PPR points to 9.0 for Greg Dulcich.
The sources range from 10.6 to 13.7 for Kelce and from 8.1 to 9.6 for Dulcich. Even Dulcich's highest projection is below Kelce's lowest.
Travis Kelce is the safer start: even the most cautious projection source has Kelce at 10.6 PPR points, against 8.1 for Greg Dulcich.
Start the higher floor when you are favored and only need to avoid a dud.
Travis Kelce has the higher ceiling: the most optimistic projection source has Kelce at 13.7 PPR points, against 9.6 for Greg Dulcich.
Start the higher ceiling when you are the underdog and need points more than safety.
Travis Kelce plays NYJ and Greg Dulcich plays DET in Week 9.
By fantasy points allowed to each position, Kelce faces the 15th-softest defense against TEs and Dulcich faces the 1st-softest defense against TEs, so Greg Dulcich has the softer matchup.
Each projection already accounts for the opponent, so a soft matchup is a tiebreaker, not a reason to bench the higher projection.
Over his recent games Travis Kelce has drawn 20% of his team's targets, and Greg Dulcich 21% of his team's targets.
Greg Dulcich has the bigger role, and volume is the steadiest thing a projection rests on.
These numbers are in PPR. Full PPR adds a point per catch, so it helps whichever player sees more targets, which here is Greg Dulcich.
Switch between PPR, Half PPR and Standard on the board above to rescore both players from the same sources.
Neither Travis Kelce nor Greg Dulcich has an injury designation for Week 9.
Designations change through the week, so check again before kickoff; this page updates with each refresh.
Each figure is the average of the projection sources that carry the player this week: StatChasers, Sleeper, ESPN, numberFire, FFToday and the betting markets (sportsbook player props). Travis Kelce is projected by 5 of them and Greg Dulcich by 5.
A source with no number for a player is left out of the average rather than counted as a zero.