Start Isaiah Likely. Likely is projected for 12.1 PPR points vs 9.9 for Kyle Pitts Sr., and faces the 3rd-toughest defense against TEs this week.
Updated Nov 7, 4:39 PM ET
| Isaiah Likely TE · NYG | Kyle Pitts Sr. TE · ATL | |
|---|---|---|
| Projection (Week 9, avg of sources) | 12.1 | 9.9 |
| Floor (lowest source) | 11.5 | 8.9 |
| Ceiling (highest source) | 12.7 | 10.6 |
| StatChasers projection | 12.0 (TE8) | 10.6 (TE14) |
| Opponent | vs PHI | vs CIN |
| Opponent vs. position | 3rd-toughest (9.5 pts/g allowed) | 8th-softest (16.5 pts/g allowed) |
| Recent usage | 23% target share (last 3) | 19% target share (last 3) |
| Position | TE | TE |
| Our call | START · TE1 | FLEX · Streamer |
Settle every start/sit call with projections, matchup, recent usage and floor-versus-ceiling for your exact scoring settings.
Start Isaiah Likely. Likely projects for 12.1 PPR points vs PHI, against 9.9 for Kyle Pitts Sr. vs CIN: a 2.2-point edge.
The projection is the average of every source that carries each player this week, and a player listed Out or Doubtful is never the start.
Isaiah Likely is projected to score more: 12.1 PPR points to 9.9 for Kyle Pitts Sr..
The sources range from 11.5 to 12.7 for Likely and from 8.9 to 10.6 for Pitts Sr.. Even Pitts Sr.'s highest projection is below Likely's lowest.
Isaiah Likely is the safer start: even the most cautious projection source has Likely at 11.5 PPR points, against 8.9 for Kyle Pitts Sr..
Start the higher floor when you are favored and only need to avoid a dud.
Isaiah Likely has the higher ceiling: the most optimistic projection source has Likely at 12.7 PPR points, against 10.6 for Kyle Pitts Sr..
Start the higher ceiling when you are the underdog and need points more than safety.
Isaiah Likely plays PHI and Kyle Pitts Sr. plays CIN in Week 9.
By fantasy points allowed to each position, Likely faces the 3rd-toughest defense against TEs and Pitts Sr. faces the 8th-softest defense against TEs, so Kyle Pitts Sr. has the softer matchup.
Each projection already accounts for the opponent, so a soft matchup is a tiebreaker, not a reason to bench the higher projection.
Over his recent games Isaiah Likely has drawn 23% of his team's targets, and Kyle Pitts Sr. 19% of his team's targets.
Isaiah Likely has the bigger role, and volume is the steadiest thing a projection rests on.
These numbers are in PPR. Full PPR adds a point per catch, so it helps whichever player sees more targets, which here is Isaiah Likely.
Switch between PPR, Half PPR and Standard on the board above to rescore both players from the same sources.
Neither Isaiah Likely nor Kyle Pitts Sr. has an injury designation for Week 9.
Designations change through the week, so check again before kickoff; this page updates with each refresh.
Each figure is the average of the projection sources that carry the player this week: StatChasers, Sleeper, ESPN, numberFire, FFToday and the betting markets (sportsbook player props). Isaiah Likely is projected by 5 of them and Kyle Pitts Sr. by 5.
A source with no number for a player is left out of the average rather than counted as a zero.