Start Ollie Gordon II. Gordon II is projected for 13.7 PPR points vs 12.1 for Isaiah Likely, and faces the 4th-toughest defense against RBs this week.
Updated Nov 7, 4:39 PM ET
| Ollie Gordon II RB · MIA | Isaiah Likely TE · NYG | |
|---|---|---|
| Projection (Week 9, avg of sources) | 13.7 | 12.1 |
| Floor (lowest source) | 11.1 | 11.5 |
| Ceiling (highest source) | 16.4 | 12.7 |
| StatChasers projection | 14.4 (RB17) | 12.0 (TE8) |
| Opponent | vs DET | vs PHI |
| Opponent vs. position | 4th-toughest (18.2 pts/g allowed) | 3rd-toughest (9.5 pts/g allowed) |
| Recent usage | 63% carry share (last 3) | 23% target share (last 3) |
| Position | RB | TE |
| Our call | START · RB2 | START · TE1 |
Settle every start/sit call with projections, matchup, recent usage and floor-versus-ceiling for your exact scoring settings.
Start Ollie Gordon II. Gordon II projects for 13.7 PPR points vs DET, against 12.1 for Isaiah Likely vs PHI: a 1.6-point edge.
The projection is the average of every source that carries each player this week, and a player listed Out or Doubtful is never the start.
Ollie Gordon II is projected to score more: 13.7 PPR points to 12.1 for Isaiah Likely.
The sources range from 11.1 to 16.4 for Gordon II and from 11.5 to 12.7 for Likely. The ranges overlap, so Likely outscoring Gordon II is a realistic result.
Isaiah Likely is the safer start: even the most cautious projection source has Likely at 11.5 PPR points, against 11.1 for Ollie Gordon II.
Start the higher floor when you are favored and only need to avoid a dud.
Ollie Gordon II has the higher ceiling: the most optimistic projection source has Gordon II at 16.4 PPR points, against 12.7 for Isaiah Likely.
Start the higher ceiling when you are the underdog and need points more than safety.
Ollie Gordon II plays DET and Isaiah Likely plays PHI in Week 9.
By fantasy points allowed to each position, Gordon II faces the 4th-toughest defense against RBs and Likely faces the 3rd-toughest defense against TEs, so Ollie Gordon II has the softer matchup.
Each projection already accounts for the opponent, so a soft matchup is a tiebreaker, not a reason to bench the higher projection.
Over his recent games Ollie Gordon II has drawn 63% of his team's carries, and Isaiah Likely 23% of his team's targets.
These numbers are in PPR. Full PPR adds a point per catch, so it helps whichever player sees more targets, which here is Isaiah Likely.
Switch between PPR, Half PPR and Standard on the board above to rescore both players from the same sources.
Neither Ollie Gordon II nor Isaiah Likely has an injury designation for Week 9.
Designations change through the week, so check again before kickoff; this page updates with each refresh.
Each figure is the average of the projection sources that carry the player this week: StatChasers, Sleeper, ESPN, numberFire, FFToday and the betting markets (sportsbook player props). Ollie Gordon II is projected by 6 of them and Isaiah Likely by 5.
A source with no number for a player is left out of the average rather than counted as a zero.