Start Jaxon Smith-Njigba. Smith-Njigba is projected for 22.7 PPR points vs 15.8 for Matthew Golden, and faces the 13th-softest defense against WRs this week.
Updated Nov 7, 4:39 PM ET
| Jaxon Smith-Njigba WR · SEA | Matthew Golden WR · GB | |
|---|---|---|
| Projection (Week 9, avg of sources) | 22.7 | 15.8 |
| Floor (lowest source) | 18.9 | 14.9 |
| Ceiling (highest source) | 24.5 | 17.2 |
| StatChasers projection | 22.4 (WR2) | 15.6 (WR13) |
| Opponent | vs ARI | vs NE |
| Opponent vs. position | 13th-softest (33.5 pts/g allowed) | 10th-softest (33.8 pts/g allowed) |
| Recent usage | 36% target share (last 3) | 31% target share (last 3) |
| Position | WR | WR |
| Our call | START · Strong WR1 | START · WR2 |
Settle every start/sit call with projections, matchup, recent usage and floor-versus-ceiling for your exact scoring settings.
Start Jaxon Smith-Njigba. Smith-Njigba projects for 22.7 PPR points vs ARI, against 15.8 for Matthew Golden vs NE: a 6.9-point edge.
The projection is the average of every source that carries each player this week, and a player listed Out or Doubtful is never the start.
Jaxon Smith-Njigba is projected to score more: 22.7 PPR points to 15.8 for Matthew Golden.
The sources range from 18.9 to 24.5 for Smith-Njigba and from 14.9 to 17.2 for Golden. Even Golden's highest projection is below Smith-Njigba's lowest.
Jaxon Smith-Njigba is the safer start: even the most cautious projection source has Smith-Njigba at 18.9 PPR points, against 14.9 for Matthew Golden.
Start the higher floor when you are favored and only need to avoid a dud.
Jaxon Smith-Njigba has the higher ceiling: the most optimistic projection source has Smith-Njigba at 24.5 PPR points, against 17.2 for Matthew Golden.
Start the higher ceiling when you are the underdog and need points more than safety.
Jaxon Smith-Njigba plays ARI and Matthew Golden plays NE in Week 9.
By fantasy points allowed to each position, Smith-Njigba faces the 13th-softest defense against WRs and Golden faces the 10th-softest defense against WRs, so Matthew Golden has the softer matchup.
Each projection already accounts for the opponent, so a soft matchup is a tiebreaker, not a reason to bench the higher projection.
Over his recent games Jaxon Smith-Njigba has drawn 36% of his team's targets, and Matthew Golden 31% of his team's targets.
Jaxon Smith-Njigba has the bigger role, and volume is the steadiest thing a projection rests on.
These numbers are in PPR. Full PPR adds a point per catch, so it helps whichever player sees more targets, which here is Jaxon Smith-Njigba.
Switch between PPR, Half PPR and Standard on the board above to rescore both players from the same sources.
Neither Jaxon Smith-Njigba nor Matthew Golden has an injury designation for Week 9.
Designations change through the week, so check again before kickoff; this page updates with each refresh.
Each figure is the average of the projection sources that carry the player this week: StatChasers, Sleeper, ESPN, numberFire, FFToday and the betting markets (sportsbook player props). Jaxon Smith-Njigba is projected by 6 of them and Matthew Golden by 6.
A source with no number for a player is left out of the average rather than counted as a zero.