Start J.K. Dobbins. Dobbins is projected for 11.7 PPR points vs 10.7 for Ollie Gordon II, and faces the 14th-toughest defense against RBs this week.
Updated Oct 24, 4:47 PM ET
| J.K. Dobbins RB · DEN | Ollie Gordon II RB · MIA | |
|---|---|---|
| Projection (Week 7, avg of sources) | 11.7 | 10.7 |
| Floor (lowest source) | 9.6 | 8.1 |
| Ceiling (highest source) | 14.0 | 13.1 |
| StatChasers projection | — | — |
| Opponent | vs ARI | vs NYJ |
| Opponent vs. position | 14th-toughest (20.4 pts/g allowed) | 14th-softest (21.9 pts/g allowed) |
| Recent usage | 58% carry share (last 3) | 53% carry share (last 3) |
| Position | RB | RB |
| Our call | START · RB2 | START · RB2 |
Settle every start/sit call with projections, matchup, recent usage and floor-versus-ceiling for your exact scoring settings.
Start J.K. Dobbins. Dobbins projects for 11.7 PPR points vs ARI, against 10.7 for Ollie Gordon II vs NYJ: a 1.0-point edge.
The projection is the average of every source that carries each player this week, and a player listed Out or Doubtful is never the start.
J.K. Dobbins is projected to score more: 11.7 PPR points to 10.7 for Ollie Gordon II.
The sources range from 9.6 to 14.0 for Dobbins and from 8.1 to 13.1 for Gordon II. The ranges overlap, so Gordon II outscoring Dobbins is a realistic result.
J.K. Dobbins is the safer start: even the most cautious projection source has Dobbins at 9.6 PPR points, against 8.1 for Ollie Gordon II.
Start the higher floor when you are favored and only need to avoid a dud.
J.K. Dobbins has the higher ceiling: the most optimistic projection source has Dobbins at 14.0 PPR points, against 13.1 for Ollie Gordon II.
Start the higher ceiling when you are the underdog and need points more than safety.
J.K. Dobbins plays ARI and Ollie Gordon II plays NYJ in Week 7.
By fantasy points allowed to each position, Dobbins faces the 14th-toughest defense against RBs and Gordon II faces the 14th-softest defense against RBs, so Ollie Gordon II has the softer matchup.
Each projection already accounts for the opponent, so a soft matchup is a tiebreaker, not a reason to bench the higher projection.
Over his recent games J.K. Dobbins has drawn 58% of his team's carries, and Ollie Gordon II 53% of his team's carries.
J.K. Dobbins has the bigger role, and volume is the steadiest thing a projection rests on.
These numbers are in PPR. Full PPR adds a point per catch, so it helps whichever player sees more targets.
Switch between PPR, Half PPR and Standard on the board above to rescore both players from the same sources.
Neither J.K. Dobbins nor Ollie Gordon II has an injury designation for Week 7.
Designations change through the week, so check again before kickoff; this page updates with each refresh.
Each figure is the average of the projection sources that carry the player this week: StatChasers, Sleeper, ESPN, numberFire, FFToday and the betting markets (sportsbook player props). J.K. Dobbins is projected by 5 of them and Ollie Gordon II by 5.
A source with no number for a player is left out of the average rather than counted as a zero.