Start Tre Tucker. Tucker is projected for 9.8 PPR points vs 9.5 for Josh Downs, and faces the 4th-toughest defense against WRs this week.
Updated Oct 24, 4:47 PM ET
| Tre Tucker WR · LV | Josh Downs WR · IND | |
|---|---|---|
| Projection (Week 7, avg of sources) | 9.8 | 9.5 |
| Floor (lowest source) | 9.1 | 8.4 |
| Ceiling (highest source) | 10.5 | 10.6 |
| StatChasers projection | — | — |
| Opponent | vs LAR | vs MIN |
| Opponent vs. position | 4th-toughest (26.9 pts/g allowed) | 5th-toughest (27.1 pts/g allowed) |
| Recent usage | 16% target share (last 3) | 16% target share (last 3) |
| Position | WR | WR |
| Our call | FLEX · Flex | FLEX · Flex |
Settle every start/sit call with projections, matchup, recent usage and floor-versus-ceiling for your exact scoring settings.
Start Tre Tucker. Tucker projects for 9.8 PPR points vs LAR, against 9.5 for Josh Downs vs MIN: a 0.3-point edge.
The projection is the average of every source that carries each player this week, and a player listed Out or Doubtful is never the start.
Tre Tucker is projected to score more: 9.8 PPR points to 9.5 for Josh Downs.
The sources range from 9.1 to 10.5 for Tucker and from 8.4 to 10.6 for Downs. The ranges overlap, so Downs outscoring Tucker is a realistic result.
Tre Tucker is the safer start: even the most cautious projection source has Tucker at 9.1 PPR points, against 8.4 for Josh Downs.
Start the higher floor when you are favored and only need to avoid a dud.
Josh Downs has the higher ceiling: the most optimistic projection source has Downs at 10.6 PPR points, against 10.5 for Tre Tucker.
Start the higher ceiling when you are the underdog and need points more than safety.
Tre Tucker plays LAR and Josh Downs plays MIN in Week 7.
By fantasy points allowed to each position, Tucker faces the 4th-toughest defense against WRs and Downs faces the 5th-toughest defense against WRs, so Josh Downs has the softer matchup.
Each projection already accounts for the opponent, so a soft matchup is a tiebreaker, not a reason to bench the higher projection.
Over his recent games Tre Tucker has drawn 16% of his team's targets, and Josh Downs 16% of his team's targets.
Josh Downs has the bigger role, and volume is the steadiest thing a projection rests on.
These numbers are in PPR. Full PPR adds a point per catch, so it helps whichever player sees more targets, which here is Josh Downs.
Switch between PPR, Half PPR and Standard on the board above to rescore both players from the same sources.
Neither Tre Tucker nor Josh Downs has an injury designation for Week 7.
Designations change through the week, so check again before kickoff; this page updates with each refresh.
Each figure is the average of the projection sources that carry the player this week: StatChasers, Sleeper, ESPN, numberFire, FFToday and the betting markets (sportsbook player props). Tre Tucker is projected by 4 of them and Josh Downs by 4.
A source with no number for a player is left out of the average rather than counted as a zero.