Too close to call: Josh Downs (9.5) and KC Concepcion Jr. (9.4) project within 0.1 PPR points of each other in Week 7, and Josh Downs faces the 5th-toughest defense against WRs.
Updated Oct 24, 4:47 PM ET
| Josh Downs WR · IND | KC Concepcion Jr. WR · CLE | |
|---|---|---|
| Projection (Week 7, avg of sources) | 9.5 | 9.4 |
| Floor (lowest source) | 8.4 | 8.9 |
| Ceiling (highest source) | 10.6 | 9.9 |
| StatChasers projection | — | — |
| Opponent | vs MIN | vs TEN |
| Opponent vs. position | 5th-toughest (27.1 pts/g allowed) | 9th-softest (35.9 pts/g allowed) |
| Recent usage | 16% target share (last 3) | 17% target share (last 3) |
| Position | WR | WR |
| Our call | FLEX · Flex | FLEX · Flex |
Settle every start/sit call with projections, matchup, recent usage and floor-versus-ceiling for your exact scoring settings.
It is a coin flip. Josh Downs projects for 9.5 PPR points and KC Concepcion Jr. for 9.4, within 0.1 of each other.
Break the tie with the floor if you are favored this week, and with the ceiling if you need a big game to win.
They are projected almost level: 9.5 PPR points for Josh Downs and 9.4 for KC Concepcion Jr..
The sources range from 8.4 to 10.6 for Downs and from 8.9 to 9.9 for Concepcion Jr.. Either result is well inside both ranges.
KC Concepcion Jr. is the safer start: even the most cautious projection source has Concepcion Jr. at 8.9 PPR points, against 8.4 for Josh Downs.
Start the higher floor when you are favored and only need to avoid a dud.
Josh Downs has the higher ceiling: the most optimistic projection source has Downs at 10.6 PPR points, against 9.9 for KC Concepcion Jr..
Start the higher ceiling when you are the underdog and need points more than safety.
Josh Downs plays MIN and KC Concepcion Jr. plays TEN in Week 7.
By fantasy points allowed to each position, Downs faces the 5th-toughest defense against WRs and Concepcion Jr. faces the 9th-softest defense against WRs, so KC Concepcion Jr. has the softer matchup.
Each projection already accounts for the opponent, so a soft matchup is a tiebreaker, not a reason to bench the higher projection.
Over his recent games Josh Downs has drawn 16% of his team's targets, and KC Concepcion Jr. 17% of his team's targets.
KC Concepcion Jr. has the bigger role, and volume is the steadiest thing a projection rests on.
These numbers are in PPR. Full PPR adds a point per catch, so it helps whichever player sees more targets, which here is KC Concepcion Jr..
Switch between PPR, Half PPR and Standard on the board above to rescore both players from the same sources.
Neither Josh Downs nor KC Concepcion Jr. has an injury designation for Week 7.
Designations change through the week, so check again before kickoff; this page updates with each refresh.
Each figure is the average of the projection sources that carry the player this week: StatChasers, Sleeper, ESPN, numberFire, FFToday and the betting markets (sportsbook player props). Josh Downs is projected by 4 of them and KC Concepcion Jr. by 4.
A source with no number for a player is left out of the average rather than counted as a zero.