Start Luther Burden III. Burden III is projected for 12.6 PPR points vs 12.2 for Josh Jacobs, and faces the 16th-toughest defense against WRs this week.
Updated Oct 24, 4:47 PM ET
| Luther Burden III WR · CHI | Josh Jacobs RB · GB | |
|---|---|---|
| Projection (Week 7, avg of sources) | 12.6 | 12.2 |
| Floor (lowest source) | 12.6 | 11.8 |
| Ceiling (highest source) | 12.7 | 12.6 |
| StatChasers projection | — | — |
| Opponent | vs NE | vs DET |
| Opponent vs. position | 16th-toughest (31.7 pts/g allowed) | 8th-toughest (18.7 pts/g allowed) |
| Recent usage | 19% target share (last 3) | 35% carry share (last 3) |
| Position | WR | RB |
| Our call | START · WR2 | START · RB2 |
Settle every start/sit call with projections, matchup, recent usage and floor-versus-ceiling for your exact scoring settings.
Start Luther Burden III. Burden III projects for 12.6 PPR points vs NE, against 12.2 for Josh Jacobs vs DET: a 0.4-point edge.
The projection is the average of every source that carries each player this week, and a player listed Out or Doubtful is never the start.
Luther Burden III is projected to score more: 12.6 PPR points to 12.2 for Josh Jacobs.
The sources range from 12.6 to 12.7 for Burden III and from 11.8 to 12.6 for Jacobs. The ranges overlap, so Jacobs outscoring Burden III is a realistic result.
Luther Burden III is the safer start: even the most cautious projection source has Burden III at 12.6 PPR points, against 11.8 for Josh Jacobs.
Start the higher floor when you are favored and only need to avoid a dud.
Luther Burden III has the higher ceiling: the most optimistic projection source has Burden III at 12.7 PPR points, against 12.6 for Josh Jacobs.
Start the higher ceiling when you are the underdog and need points more than safety.
Luther Burden III plays NE and Josh Jacobs plays DET in Week 7.
By fantasy points allowed to each position, Burden III faces the 16th-toughest defense against WRs and Jacobs faces the 8th-toughest defense against RBs, so Luther Burden III has the softer matchup.
Each projection already accounts for the opponent, so a soft matchup is a tiebreaker, not a reason to bench the higher projection.
Over his recent games Luther Burden III has drawn 19% of his team's targets, and Josh Jacobs 35% of his team's carries.
These numbers are in PPR. Full PPR adds a point per catch, so it helps whichever player sees more targets, which here is Luther Burden III.
Switch between PPR, Half PPR and Standard on the board above to rescore both players from the same sources.
Neither Luther Burden III nor Josh Jacobs has an injury designation for Week 7.
Designations change through the week, so check again before kickoff; this page updates with each refresh.
Each figure is the average of the projection sources that carry the player this week: StatChasers, Sleeper, ESPN, numberFire, FFToday and the betting markets (sportsbook player props). Luther Burden III is projected by 4 of them and Josh Jacobs by 4.
A source with no number for a player is left out of the average rather than counted as a zero.