Start Nico Collins. Collins is projected for 16.1 PPR points vs 15.5 for Josh Jacobs, and faces the 16th-toughest defense against WRs this week.
Updated Nov 7, 4:39 PM ET
| Nico Collins WR · HOU | Josh Jacobs RB · GB | |
|---|---|---|
| Projection (Week 9, avg of sources) | 16.1 | 15.5 |
| Floor (lowest source) | 13.9 | 14.0 |
| Ceiling (highest source) | 18.6 | 16.5 |
| StatChasers projection | 15.8 (WR12) | 15.8 (RB13) |
| Opponent | vs LAC | vs NE |
| Opponent vs. position | 16th-toughest (30.3 pts/g allowed) | 6th-toughest (19.0 pts/g allowed) |
| Recent usage | 18% target share (last 3) | 58% carry share (last 3) |
| Position | WR | RB |
| Our call | START · Strong WR1 | START · RB2 |
Settle every start/sit call with projections, matchup, recent usage and floor-versus-ceiling for your exact scoring settings.
Start Nico Collins. Collins projects for 16.1 PPR points vs LAC, against 15.5 for Josh Jacobs vs NE: a 0.6-point edge.
The projection is the average of every source that carries each player this week, and a player listed Out or Doubtful is never the start.
Nico Collins is projected to score more: 16.1 PPR points to 15.5 for Josh Jacobs.
The sources range from 13.9 to 18.6 for Collins and from 14.0 to 16.5 for Jacobs. The ranges overlap, so Jacobs outscoring Collins is a realistic result.
Josh Jacobs is the safer start: even the most cautious projection source has Jacobs at 14.0 PPR points, against 13.9 for Nico Collins.
Start the higher floor when you are favored and only need to avoid a dud.
Nico Collins has the higher ceiling: the most optimistic projection source has Collins at 18.6 PPR points, against 16.5 for Josh Jacobs.
Start the higher ceiling when you are the underdog and need points more than safety.
Nico Collins plays LAC and Josh Jacobs plays NE in Week 9.
By fantasy points allowed to each position, Collins faces the 16th-toughest defense against WRs and Jacobs faces the 6th-toughest defense against RBs, so Nico Collins has the softer matchup.
Each projection already accounts for the opponent, so a soft matchup is a tiebreaker, not a reason to bench the higher projection.
Over his recent games Nico Collins has drawn 18% of his team's targets, and Josh Jacobs 58% of his team's carries.
These numbers are in PPR. Full PPR adds a point per catch, so it helps whichever player sees more targets, which here is Nico Collins.
Switch between PPR, Half PPR and Standard on the board above to rescore both players from the same sources.
Neither Nico Collins nor Josh Jacobs has an injury designation for Week 9.
Designations change through the week, so check again before kickoff; this page updates with each refresh.
Each figure is the average of the projection sources that carry the player this week: StatChasers, Sleeper, ESPN, numberFire, FFToday and the betting markets (sportsbook player props). Nico Collins is projected by 6 of them and Josh Jacobs by 6.
A source with no number for a player is left out of the average rather than counted as a zero.