Start Josh Jacobs. Jacobs is projected for 15.5 PPR points vs 15.1 for Trey McBride, and faces the 6th-toughest defense against RBs this week.
Updated Nov 7, 4:39 PM ET
| Josh Jacobs RB · GB | Trey McBride TE · ARI | |
|---|---|---|
| Projection (Week 9, avg of sources) | 15.5 | 15.1 |
| Floor (lowest source) | 14.0 | 14.2 |
| Ceiling (highest source) | 16.5 | 16.2 |
| StatChasers projection | 15.8 (RB13) | 16.2 (TE3) |
| Opponent | vs NE | vs SEA |
| Opponent vs. position | 6th-toughest (19.0 pts/g allowed) | 5th-toughest (10.2 pts/g allowed) |
| Recent usage | 58% carry share (last 3) | 25% target share (last 3) |
| Position | RB | TE |
| Our call | START · RB2 | START · Strong TE1 |
Settle every start/sit call with projections, matchup, recent usage and floor-versus-ceiling for your exact scoring settings.
Start Josh Jacobs. Jacobs projects for 15.5 PPR points vs NE, against 15.1 for Trey McBride vs SEA: a 0.4-point edge.
The projection is the average of every source that carries each player this week, and a player listed Out or Doubtful is never the start.
Josh Jacobs is projected to score more: 15.5 PPR points to 15.1 for Trey McBride.
The sources range from 14.0 to 16.5 for Jacobs and from 14.2 to 16.2 for McBride. The ranges overlap, so McBride outscoring Jacobs is a realistic result.
Trey McBride is the safer start: even the most cautious projection source has McBride at 14.2 PPR points, against 14.0 for Josh Jacobs.
Start the higher floor when you are favored and only need to avoid a dud.
Josh Jacobs has the higher ceiling: the most optimistic projection source has Jacobs at 16.5 PPR points, against 16.2 for Trey McBride.
Start the higher ceiling when you are the underdog and need points more than safety.
Josh Jacobs plays NE and Trey McBride plays SEA in Week 9.
By fantasy points allowed to each position, Jacobs faces the 6th-toughest defense against RBs and McBride faces the 5th-toughest defense against TEs, so Josh Jacobs has the softer matchup.
Each projection already accounts for the opponent, so a soft matchup is a tiebreaker, not a reason to bench the higher projection.
Over his recent games Josh Jacobs has drawn 58% of his team's carries, and Trey McBride 25% of his team's targets.
These numbers are in PPR. Full PPR adds a point per catch, so it helps whichever player sees more targets, which here is Trey McBride.
Switch between PPR, Half PPR and Standard on the board above to rescore both players from the same sources.
Neither Josh Jacobs nor Trey McBride has an injury designation for Week 9.
Designations change through the week, so check again before kickoff; this page updates with each refresh.
Each figure is the average of the projection sources that carry the player this week: StatChasers, Sleeper, ESPN, numberFire, FFToday and the betting markets (sportsbook player props). Josh Jacobs is projected by 6 of them and Trey McBride by 5.
A source with no number for a player is left out of the average rather than counted as a zero.