Start Josh Jacobs. Jacobs is projected for 12.2 PPR points vs 10.7 for Ollie Gordon II, and faces the 8th-toughest defense against RBs this week.
Updated Oct 24, 4:47 PM ET
| Josh Jacobs RB · GB | Ollie Gordon II RB · MIA | |
|---|---|---|
| Projection (Week 7, avg of sources) | 12.2 | 10.7 |
| Floor (lowest source) | 11.8 | 8.1 |
| Ceiling (highest source) | 12.6 | 13.1 |
| StatChasers projection | — | — |
| Opponent | vs DET | vs NYJ |
| Opponent vs. position | 8th-toughest (18.7 pts/g allowed) | 14th-softest (21.9 pts/g allowed) |
| Recent usage | 35% carry share (last 3) | 53% carry share (last 3) |
| Position | RB | RB |
| Our call | START · RB2 | START · RB2 |
Settle every start/sit call with projections, matchup, recent usage and floor-versus-ceiling for your exact scoring settings.
Start Josh Jacobs. Jacobs projects for 12.2 PPR points vs DET, against 10.7 for Ollie Gordon II vs NYJ: a 1.5-point edge.
The projection is the average of every source that carries each player this week, and a player listed Out or Doubtful is never the start.
Josh Jacobs is projected to score more: 12.2 PPR points to 10.7 for Ollie Gordon II.
The sources range from 11.8 to 12.6 for Jacobs and from 8.1 to 13.1 for Gordon II. The ranges overlap, so Gordon II outscoring Jacobs is a realistic result.
Josh Jacobs is the safer start: even the most cautious projection source has Jacobs at 11.8 PPR points, against 8.1 for Ollie Gordon II.
Start the higher floor when you are favored and only need to avoid a dud.
Ollie Gordon II has the higher ceiling: the most optimistic projection source has Gordon II at 13.1 PPR points, against 12.6 for Josh Jacobs.
Start the higher ceiling when you are the underdog and need points more than safety.
Josh Jacobs plays DET and Ollie Gordon II plays NYJ in Week 7.
By fantasy points allowed to each position, Jacobs faces the 8th-toughest defense against RBs and Gordon II faces the 14th-softest defense against RBs, so Ollie Gordon II has the softer matchup.
Each projection already accounts for the opponent, so a soft matchup is a tiebreaker, not a reason to bench the higher projection.
Over his recent games Josh Jacobs has drawn 35% of his team's carries, and Ollie Gordon II 53% of his team's carries.
Ollie Gordon II has the bigger role, and volume is the steadiest thing a projection rests on.
These numbers are in PPR. Full PPR adds a point per catch, so it helps whichever player sees more targets.
Switch between PPR, Half PPR and Standard on the board above to rescore both players from the same sources.
Neither Josh Jacobs nor Ollie Gordon II has an injury designation for Week 7.
Designations change through the week, so check again before kickoff; this page updates with each refresh.
Each figure is the average of the projection sources that carry the player this week: StatChasers, Sleeper, ESPN, numberFire, FFToday and the betting markets (sportsbook player props). Josh Jacobs is projected by 4 of them and Ollie Gordon II by 5.
A source with no number for a player is left out of the average rather than counted as a zero.