Start Rico Dowdle. Dowdle is projected for 9.0 PPR points vs 5.5 for Justice Hill, and faces the 8th-toughest defense against RBs this week.
Updated Oct 30, 7:29 AM ET
| Rico Dowdle RB · PIT | Justice Hill RB · BAL | |
|---|---|---|
| Projection (Week 8, avg of sources) | 9.0 | 5.5 |
| Floor (lowest source) | 8.5 | 3.2 |
| Ceiling (highest source) | 9.5 | 6.6 |
| StatChasers projection | 8.8 (RB30) | 5.8 (RB41) |
| Opponent | vs CLE | vs BUF |
| Opponent vs. position | 8th-toughest (19.4 pts/g allowed) | 3rd-softest (27.3 pts/g allowed) |
| Recent usage | 31% carry share (last 3) | 8% carry share (last 3) |
| Position | RB | RB |
| Our call | FLEX · Flex | SIT · Bench |
Settle every start/sit call with projections, matchup, recent usage and floor-versus-ceiling for your exact scoring settings.
Start Rico Dowdle. Dowdle projects for 9.0 PPR points vs CLE, against 5.5 for Justice Hill vs BUF: a 3.5-point edge.
The projection is the average of every source that carries each player this week, and a player listed Out or Doubtful is never the start.
Rico Dowdle is projected to score more: 9.0 PPR points to 5.5 for Justice Hill.
The sources range from 8.5 to 9.5 for Dowdle and from 3.2 to 6.6 for Hill. Even Hill's highest projection is below Dowdle's lowest.
Rico Dowdle is the safer start: even the most cautious projection source has Dowdle at 8.5 PPR points, against 3.2 for Justice Hill.
Start the higher floor when you are favored and only need to avoid a dud.
Rico Dowdle has the higher ceiling: the most optimistic projection source has Dowdle at 9.5 PPR points, against 6.6 for Justice Hill.
Start the higher ceiling when you are the underdog and need points more than safety.
Rico Dowdle plays CLE and Justice Hill plays BUF in Week 8.
By fantasy points allowed to each position, Dowdle faces the 8th-toughest defense against RBs and Hill faces the 3rd-softest defense against RBs, so Justice Hill has the softer matchup.
Each projection already accounts for the opponent, so a soft matchup is a tiebreaker, not a reason to bench the higher projection.
Over his recent games Rico Dowdle has drawn 31% of his team's carries, and Justice Hill 8% of his team's carries.
Rico Dowdle has the bigger role, and volume is the steadiest thing a projection rests on.
These numbers are in PPR. Full PPR adds a point per catch, so it helps whichever player sees more targets.
Switch between PPR, Half PPR and Standard on the board above to rescore both players from the same sources.
Neither Rico Dowdle nor Justice Hill has an injury designation for Week 8.
Designations change through the week, so check again before kickoff; this page updates with each refresh.
Each figure is the average of the projection sources that carry the player this week: StatChasers, Sleeper, ESPN, numberFire, FFToday and the betting markets (sportsbook player props). Rico Dowdle is projected by 6 of them and Justice Hill by 6.
A source with no number for a player is left out of the average rather than counted as a zero.