Start Kaelon Black. Black is projected for 7.3 PPR points vs 3.9 for Kyle Monangai, and faces the 6th-softest defense against RBs this week.
Updated Nov 7, 4:39 PM ET
| Kaelon Black RB · SF | Kyle Monangai RB · CHI | |
|---|---|---|
| Projection (Week 9, avg of sources) | 7.3 | 3.9 |
| Floor (lowest source) | 5.0 | 0.8 |
| Ceiling (highest source) | 10.7 | 7.0 |
| StatChasers projection | 7.0 (RB38) | — |
| Opponent | vs LV | vs TB |
| Opponent vs. position | 6th-softest (25.3 pts/g allowed) | 2nd-toughest (16.9 pts/g allowed) |
| Recent usage | 34% carry share (last 3) | 42% carry share (last 3) |
| Position | RB | RB |
| Our call | SIT · Bench | SIT · Bench |
Settle every start/sit call with projections, matchup, recent usage and floor-versus-ceiling for your exact scoring settings.
Start Kaelon Black. Black projects for 7.3 PPR points vs LV, against 3.9 for Kyle Monangai vs TB: a 3.4-point edge.
The projection is the average of every source that carries each player this week, and a player listed Out or Doubtful is never the start.
Kaelon Black is projected to score more: 7.3 PPR points to 3.9 for Kyle Monangai.
The sources range from 5.0 to 10.7 for Black and from 0.8 to 7.0 for Monangai. The ranges overlap, so Monangai outscoring Black is a realistic result.
Kaelon Black is the safer start: even the most cautious projection source has Black at 5.0 PPR points, against 0.8 for Kyle Monangai.
Start the higher floor when you are favored and only need to avoid a dud.
Kaelon Black has the higher ceiling: the most optimistic projection source has Black at 10.7 PPR points, against 7.0 for Kyle Monangai.
Start the higher ceiling when you are the underdog and need points more than safety.
Kaelon Black plays LV and Kyle Monangai plays TB in Week 9.
By fantasy points allowed to each position, Black faces the 6th-softest defense against RBs and Monangai faces the 2nd-toughest defense against RBs, so Kaelon Black has the softer matchup.
Each projection already accounts for the opponent, so a soft matchup is a tiebreaker, not a reason to bench the higher projection.
Over his recent games Kaelon Black has drawn 34% of his team's carries, and Kyle Monangai 42% of his team's carries.
Kyle Monangai has the bigger role, and volume is the steadiest thing a projection rests on.
These numbers are in PPR. Full PPR adds a point per catch, so it helps whichever player sees more targets.
Switch between PPR, Half PPR and Standard on the board above to rescore both players from the same sources.
Neither Kaelon Black nor Kyle Monangai has an injury designation for Week 9.
Designations change through the week, so check again before kickoff; this page updates with each refresh.
Each figure is the average of the projection sources that carry the player this week: StatChasers, Sleeper, ESPN, numberFire, FFToday and the betting markets (sportsbook player props). Kaelon Black is projected by 6 of them and Kyle Monangai by 3.
A source with no number for a player is left out of the average rather than counted as a zero.