Start Nico Collins. Collins is projected for 16.1 PPR points vs 13.7 for Stefon Diggs, and faces the 16th-toughest defense against WRs this week.
Updated Nov 7, 4:39 PM ET
| Nico Collins WR · HOU | Stefon Diggs WR · WAS | |
|---|---|---|
| Projection (Week 9, avg of sources) | 16.1 | 13.7 |
| Floor (lowest source) | 13.9 | 11.5 |
| Ceiling (highest source) | 18.6 | 16.0 |
| StatChasers projection | 15.8 (WR12) | 11.5 (WR25) |
| Opponent | vs LAC | vs LAR |
| Opponent vs. position | 16th-toughest (30.3 pts/g allowed) | 5th-toughest (26.8 pts/g allowed) |
| Recent usage | 18% target share (last 3) | 23% target share (last 3) |
| Position | WR | WR |
| Our call | START · Strong WR1 | START · WR3 |
Settle every start/sit call with projections, matchup, recent usage and floor-versus-ceiling for your exact scoring settings.
Start Nico Collins. Collins projects for 16.1 PPR points vs LAC, against 13.7 for Stefon Diggs vs LAR: a 2.4-point edge.
The projection is the average of every source that carries each player this week, and a player listed Out or Doubtful is never the start.
Nico Collins is projected to score more: 16.1 PPR points to 13.7 for Stefon Diggs.
The sources range from 13.9 to 18.6 for Collins and from 11.5 to 16.0 for Diggs. The ranges overlap, so Diggs outscoring Collins is a realistic result.
Nico Collins is the safer start: even the most cautious projection source has Collins at 13.9 PPR points, against 11.5 for Stefon Diggs.
Start the higher floor when you are favored and only need to avoid a dud.
Nico Collins has the higher ceiling: the most optimistic projection source has Collins at 18.6 PPR points, against 16.0 for Stefon Diggs.
Start the higher ceiling when you are the underdog and need points more than safety.
Nico Collins plays LAC and Stefon Diggs plays LAR in Week 9.
By fantasy points allowed to each position, Collins faces the 16th-toughest defense against WRs and Diggs faces the 5th-toughest defense against WRs, so Nico Collins has the softer matchup.
Each projection already accounts for the opponent, so a soft matchup is a tiebreaker, not a reason to bench the higher projection.
Over his recent games Nico Collins has drawn 18% of his team's targets, and Stefon Diggs 23% of his team's targets.
Stefon Diggs has the bigger role, and volume is the steadiest thing a projection rests on.
These numbers are in PPR. Full PPR adds a point per catch, so it helps whichever player sees more targets, which here is Stefon Diggs.
Switch between PPR, Half PPR and Standard on the board above to rescore both players from the same sources.
Neither Nico Collins nor Stefon Diggs has an injury designation for Week 9.
Designations change through the week, so check again before kickoff; this page updates with each refresh.
Each figure is the average of the projection sources that carry the player this week: StatChasers, Sleeper, ESPN, numberFire, FFToday and the betting markets (sportsbook player props). Nico Collins is projected by 6 of them and Stefon Diggs by 6.
A source with no number for a player is left out of the average rather than counted as a zero.