Start Ollie Gordon II. Gordon II is projected for 11.8 PPR points vs 9.0 for Rico Dowdle, and faces the 13th-toughest defense against RBs this week.
Updated Oct 30, 7:29 AM ET
| Ollie Gordon II RB · MIA | Rico Dowdle RB · PIT | |
|---|---|---|
| Projection (Week 8, avg of sources) | 11.8 | 9.0 |
| Floor (lowest source) | 8.6 | 8.5 |
| Ceiling (highest source) | 14.4 | 9.5 |
| StatChasers projection | 12.1 (RB23) | 8.8 (RB30) |
| Opponent | vs NE | vs CLE |
| Opponent vs. position | 13th-toughest (20.6 pts/g allowed) | 8th-toughest (19.4 pts/g allowed) |
| Recent usage | 56% carry share (last 3) | 31% carry share (last 3) |
| Position | RB | RB |
| Our call | START · RB2 | FLEX · Flex |
Settle every start/sit call with projections, matchup, recent usage and floor-versus-ceiling for your exact scoring settings.
Start Ollie Gordon II. Gordon II projects for 11.8 PPR points vs NE, against 9.0 for Rico Dowdle vs CLE: a 2.8-point edge.
The projection is the average of every source that carries each player this week, and a player listed Out or Doubtful is never the start.
Ollie Gordon II is projected to score more: 11.8 PPR points to 9.0 for Rico Dowdle.
The sources range from 8.6 to 14.4 for Gordon II and from 8.5 to 9.5 for Dowdle. The ranges overlap, so Dowdle outscoring Gordon II is a realistic result.
Ollie Gordon II is the safer start: even the most cautious projection source has Gordon II at 8.6 PPR points, against 8.5 for Rico Dowdle.
Start the higher floor when you are favored and only need to avoid a dud.
Ollie Gordon II has the higher ceiling: the most optimistic projection source has Gordon II at 14.4 PPR points, against 9.5 for Rico Dowdle.
Start the higher ceiling when you are the underdog and need points more than safety.
Ollie Gordon II plays NE and Rico Dowdle plays CLE in Week 8.
By fantasy points allowed to each position, Gordon II faces the 13th-toughest defense against RBs and Dowdle faces the 8th-toughest defense against RBs, so Ollie Gordon II has the softer matchup.
Each projection already accounts for the opponent, so a soft matchup is a tiebreaker, not a reason to bench the higher projection.
Over his recent games Ollie Gordon II has drawn 56% of his team's carries, and Rico Dowdle 31% of his team's carries.
Ollie Gordon II has the bigger role, and volume is the steadiest thing a projection rests on.
These numbers are in PPR. Full PPR adds a point per catch, so it helps whichever player sees more targets.
Switch between PPR, Half PPR and Standard on the board above to rescore both players from the same sources.
Neither Ollie Gordon II nor Rico Dowdle has an injury designation for Week 8.
Designations change through the week, so check again before kickoff; this page updates with each refresh.
Each figure is the average of the projection sources that carry the player this week: StatChasers, Sleeper, ESPN, numberFire, FFToday and the betting markets (sportsbook player props). Ollie Gordon II is projected by 6 of them and Rico Dowdle by 6.
A source with no number for a player is left out of the average rather than counted as a zero.