Start Travis Kelce. Kelce is projected for 12.5 PPR points vs 10.6 for Zach Charbonnet, and faces the 15th-softest defense against TEs this week.
Updated Nov 7, 4:39 PM ET
| Travis Kelce TE · KC | Zach Charbonnet RB · SEA | |
|---|---|---|
| Projection (Week 9, avg of sources) | 12.5 | 10.6 |
| Floor (lowest source) | 10.6 | 10.0 |
| Ceiling (highest source) | 13.7 | 11.2 |
| StatChasers projection | 12.5 (TE6) | 11.0 (RB27) |
| Opponent | vs NYJ | vs ARI |
| Opponent vs. position | 15th-softest (13.9 pts/g allowed) | 14th-toughest (20.7 pts/g allowed) |
| Recent usage | 20% target share (last 3) | 44% carry share (last 3) |
| Position | TE | RB |
| Our call | START · Strong TE1 | FLEX · Flex |
Settle every start/sit call with projections, matchup, recent usage and floor-versus-ceiling for your exact scoring settings.
Start Travis Kelce. Kelce projects for 12.5 PPR points vs NYJ, against 10.6 for Zach Charbonnet vs ARI: a 1.9-point edge.
The projection is the average of every source that carries each player this week, and a player listed Out or Doubtful is never the start.
Travis Kelce is projected to score more: 12.5 PPR points to 10.6 for Zach Charbonnet.
The sources range from 10.6 to 13.7 for Kelce and from 10.0 to 11.2 for Charbonnet. The ranges overlap, so Charbonnet outscoring Kelce is a realistic result.
Travis Kelce is the safer start: even the most cautious projection source has Kelce at 10.6 PPR points, against 10.0 for Zach Charbonnet.
Start the higher floor when you are favored and only need to avoid a dud.
Travis Kelce has the higher ceiling: the most optimistic projection source has Kelce at 13.7 PPR points, against 11.2 for Zach Charbonnet.
Start the higher ceiling when you are the underdog and need points more than safety.
Travis Kelce plays NYJ and Zach Charbonnet plays ARI in Week 9.
By fantasy points allowed to each position, Kelce faces the 15th-softest defense against TEs and Charbonnet faces the 14th-toughest defense against RBs, so Travis Kelce has the softer matchup.
Each projection already accounts for the opponent, so a soft matchup is a tiebreaker, not a reason to bench the higher projection.
Over his recent games Travis Kelce has drawn 20% of his team's targets, and Zach Charbonnet 44% of his team's carries.
These numbers are in PPR. Full PPR adds a point per catch, so it helps whichever player sees more targets, which here is Travis Kelce.
Switch between PPR, Half PPR and Standard on the board above to rescore both players from the same sources.
Neither Travis Kelce nor Zach Charbonnet has an injury designation for Week 9.
Designations change through the week, so check again before kickoff; this page updates with each refresh.
Each figure is the average of the projection sources that carry the player this week: StatChasers, Sleeper, ESPN, numberFire, FFToday and the betting markets (sportsbook player props). Travis Kelce is projected by 5 of them and Zach Charbonnet by 6.
A source with no number for a player is left out of the average rather than counted as a zero.