Luke McCaffrey Fantasy outlook, stats and Week 4 start/sit for 2026
- Age
- 25
- Height / weight
- 6'2", 195 lb
- Experience
- 3rd season
- Drafted
- 2024 R3, #100
2025 Season
- PPR PPG
- 6.4
- Pos rank
- WR85
- Rostered
- —
Week 4 vs. Colts, Sun Oct 4, 9:30 AM ET 9th vs. WRs, favorable
Luke McCaffrey Fantasy Football Stats & Analysis
Producing as
WR74 · Bench
Scoring rate
6.4 PPG
Played
8 games
Role
Depth
Trend
Cooling
Role Direction
| Usage | Season | Last 4 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Target Share (Team) | 6.1% | 5.6% | -8% |
| Targets/G | 1.9 | 2.0 | +7% |
| Team Pass Att/Gteam | 29.3 | 28.5 | -3% |
Luke McCaffrey's 2026 Season, Week by Week
The next four matchups include two of the league's softest pass defenses.
- Week 1, Loss,@at PHI,—,Did not play
- Week 2, Loss,@at DAL,—,Did not play
- Week 3, Win,vs SEA,—,Did not play
- Up next. Week 4, Oct 4,vs IND,9th pts allowed to WRs,FavorableColts vs. WRs
- Week 5, Oct 11,vs NYG,8th pts allowed to WRs,FavorableGiants vs. WRs
- Week 6, Oct 19,@at SF,23rd pts allowed to WRs,Tough49ers vs. WRs
- Week 7,Bye,No game
Matchup rank is PPR points allowed to WRs through Week 4. 1st allows the most, 32nd the fewest.
Should You Start or Roster Luke McCaffrey?
McCaffrey's 2025 numbers read like a tease: across nine games he turned just 15 targets into 11 grabs for 203 yards and 3 scores, posting a glittering 18.45 per catch, 2.16 yards per route run, a 0.56 EPA per play and a 66.7% success rate. The catch is the denominator. He ran routes on only 18.8% of dropbacks, drew a 3.5% target share and carried a 0.09 WOPR, so the efficiency rode a microscopic sample before a broken collarbone in Week 9 ended things early.
The deeper concern is that 2024 already gave a fuller picture: 24 targets, 168 yards, zero touchdowns and a 0.79 yards-per-route mark over 13 games. Buried on the depth chart at 24 and stuck near a 32% snap rate, he needs a real route to volume before he matters. Until that opportunity arrives, he is a late-round dart and a watch-list name, nothing more.
Career Fantasy Stats by Season
| Season | Team | GP | Tgt | Rec | Rec yds | Rec TD | FPTS | PPG | Finish |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | WAS | 9 | 15 | 11 | 203 | 3 | 51.3 | 5.7 | WR109 |
| 2024 | WAS | 17 | 24 | 18 | 168 | 0 | 34.8 | 2.0 | WR127 |
| Career | 26 | 39 | 29 | 371 | 3 | 86.1 | 3.3 |
Rest-of-Season Outlook and Availability
Outlook
The deeper concern is that 2024 already gave a fuller picture: 24 targets, 168 yards, zero touchdowns and a 0.79 yards-per-route mark over 13 games. Buried on the depth chart at 24 and stuck near a 32% snap rate, he needs a real route to volume before he matters. Full outlook
Injury status
Active, no designation
He has missed 9 games this season. Career games missed to injury: 9. Injury history
- 2025unknownPlayed through
- 2025shoulder9 games
WRs like Luke McCaffrey
Luke McCaffrey Fantasy Football FAQ
Should I start Luke McCaffrey in Week 4?
Luke McCaffrey plays Week 4 against the Colts. The Colts rank 9th in PPR points allowed to WRs, a favorable matchup. Get the start/sit call for McCaffrey.
Is Luke McCaffrey worth rostering in fantasy football?
Mostly not: Luke McCaffrey is waiver-wire material in 12-team PPR, 10-team PPR and half-PPR leagues.
What are Luke McCaffrey's upcoming fantasy football matchups?
Luke McCaffrey's next three games are Week 4 vs. the Colts (9th in PPR points allowed to WRs, favorable), Week 5 vs. the Giants (8th in PPR points allowed to WRs, favorable) and Week 6 at the 49ers (23rd in PPR points allowed to WRs, tough). Two of them are favorable by points allowed to the position.
Luke McCaffrey 2025 Stats
2025 final · Washington CommandersTouchdowns accounted for 35% of his fantasy production, so his weekly output leaned on volume more than scoring.
Receiving
- Rec
- 11
- Yards
- 203
- TD
- 3
- Targets
- 15
18.5 Y/R73.3% Catch %
Fantasy (PPR)
- Points
- 51.3
- Pos rank
- WR109
14.6 Best Week 3 LV0.0 Worst Week 7 DAL
Advanced Receiving Stats
McCaffrey is an intermediate target (14.5 yards per target last season), with a 3.7% target share this season.
| Stat | 2025 9 games | |
|---|---|---|
| Efficiency | ||
| Yards per route run | 2.16 | — |
| Fantasy points per target | 2.69 | — |
| YAC per reception | 6.3 | — |
| Catch rate | 73.3% | — |
| Usage | ||
| Target share | 3.7% | — |
| Route participation | 19.6% | — |
| Air-yards share | 5.7% | — |
| Red-zone targets | 2 | — |
| Style | ||
| Average depth of target | 14.5 | — |
Percentiles: 2025 (9 games, weeks 1–17): below the qualifying line, so no percentiles.
For fantasy: his floor is his volume, 1.9 targets a game in 2025; efficiency decides how much of it becomes points.
Fantasy Points per Game, Every Season
5.7
Fantasy PPG
WR74
Fantasy finish
1.7
Targets/g
23
Rec yds/g
Luke McCaffrey career stats by season
| Receiving | Rushing | Fantasy | |||||||
| Season | GP | Tgt | Rec | Rec yds | Rec TD | Rush yds | FPTS | PPG | Finish |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 9 | 15 | 11 | 203 | 3 | 0 | 51.3 | 5.7 | WR109 |
| 2024 | 17 | 24 | 18 | 168 | 0 | 0 | 34.8 | 2.0 | WR127 |
| Career | 26 | 39 | 29 | 371 | 3 | 0 | 86.1 | 3.3 | — |
What His Career Numbers Say
3.4
Career PPG
25 games over 2 seasons
68%
Availability
Share of team games he played
4%
Top-24 weeks
Share of his games as a top-24 WR
3.8
Weekly swing
Standard deviation, low
By the StatChasers staff. Updated .
McCaffrey has averaged 3.4 fantasy points per game over 25 games and 2 seasons, without a top-12 finish.
In 2025 he averaged 6.4 per game, up 4.4 from 2024. His volume has held at about 1.9 targets a game, so the change is efficiency and scoring. His quarterback in 2025 was Marcus Mariota.
Career numbers describe the past; for what he is worth from here, see McCaffrey's rest-of-season rank and trade value in Redraft Command.
Career highs
- 203Rec yards2025
- 3Rec TD2025
- 51.3Fantasy pts2025 · WR109
- 371Career rec yds2024–2025
WRs like Luke McCaffrey
Luke McCaffrey Stats FAQ
What were Luke McCaffrey's stats last season?
In 2025, Luke McCaffrey caught 11 of 15 targets for 203 yards and 3 touchdowns in 9 games. That was 51.3 PPR points (5.7 per game), a WR109 finish.
What are Luke McCaffrey's career NFL stats?
Across 2 seasons and 26 games, Luke McCaffrey has 29 catches for 371 yards and 3 touchdowns, for 86.1 PPR fantasy points (3.3 per game).
How many touchdowns does Luke McCaffrey have in his career?
Luke McCaffrey has 3 touchdowns in his NFL career: 0 rushing and 3 receiving, over 26 games.
How many career receiving yards does Luke McCaffrey have?
Luke McCaffrey has 371 career receiving yards over 2 seasons, on 29 catches.
Luke McCaffrey Game Log 2025
Games played
8
FPTS/G (PPR)
6.4
Targets/g
1.9
Rec/g
1.4
Rec yds/g
25.4
Yds/rec
18.5
Across 8 games in 2025, Luke McCaffrey has averaged 1.9 targets, 1.4 receptions and 6.4 PPR fantasy points per game. Luke McCaffrey has finished as a top-12 WR in 0 of those weeks, and inside the top 24 in 1. The best week was Week 3 against LV (14.6 points); the lowest was Week 1 against NYG (0.0).
| Wk | Opp | Result | FPTS | TGT | REC | REC YDS | REC TD | YPR | Finish |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | NYG13th | W 21-6 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | WR146 |
Week 1 · NYG · W 21-6 · 0.0 pts
| |||||||||
| 2 | GB10th | L 18-27 | 4.9 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 0 | 19.0 | WR81 |
Week 2 · GB · L 18-27 · 4.9 pts
How the 4.9 points scored (PPR)
| |||||||||
| 3 | LV14th | W 41-24 | 14.6 | 3 | 3 | 56 | 1 | 18.7 | WR24 |
Week 3 · LV · W 41-24 · 14.6 pts
How the 14.6 points scored (PPR)
| |||||||||
| 4 | ATL11th | L 27-34 | 10.1 | 3 | 2 | 21 | 1 | 10.5 | WR34 |
Week 4 · ATL · L 27-34 · 10.1 pts
How the 10.1 points scored (PPR)
| |||||||||
| 5 | LAC21st | W 27-10 | 6.0 | 2 | 1 | 50 | 0 | 50.0 | WR63 |
Week 5 · LAC · W 27-10 · 6.0 pts
How the 6.0 points scored (PPR)
| |||||||||
| 6 | CHI3rd | L 24-25 | 10.3 | 1 | 1 | 33 | 1 | 33.0 | WR31 |
Week 6 · CHI · L 24-25 · 10.3 pts
How the 10.3 points scored (PPR)
| |||||||||
| 7 | DAL1st | L 22-44 | 0.0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | WR129 |
Week 7 · DAL · L 22-44 · 0.0 pts
| |||||||||
| 8 | KC29th | L 7-28 | 5.4 | 3 | 3 | 24 | 0 | 8.0 | WR60 |
Week 8 · KC · L 7-28 · 5.4 pts
How the 5.4 points scored (PPR)
| |||||||||
| 9 | Did not play | ||||||||
| 10 | Did not play | ||||||||
| 11 | Did not play | ||||||||
| 12 | Bye week | ||||||||
| 13 | Did not play | ||||||||
| 14 | Did not play | ||||||||
| 15 | Did not play | ||||||||
| 16 | Did not play | ||||||||
| 17 | Did not play | ||||||||
| 18 | Did not play | ||||||||
Opponent rank is fantasy points allowed to WRs across 2025: 1st allows the most, 32nd the fewest.
Where His Weeks Finished
One WR1 week, two WR2 weeks and five busts. For a wide receiver ranked WR85 overall, the spread matters more than the average: you get a top-24 ceiling and a waiver-wire floor.
Game-by-Game Breakdown
Shut down by Kansas City
3/3, 24 yds.
Just 8.0 yards per target. A clean, mistake-free game that landed well below his season average.
Shut down by Dallas
0/2, 0 yds.
Just 0.0 yards per target. A clean, mistake-free game that landed well below his season average.
Steady in a loss vs. Chicago
1/1, 33 yds, 1 TD.
A clean, mistake-free game that landed well above his season average.
Held in check by the Chargers
1/2, 50 yds.
A clean, mistake-free game that landed right at his current season average.
Steady in a loss at Atlanta
2/3, 21 yds, 1 TD.
Just 7.0 yards per target. A clean, mistake-free game that landed well above his season average.
WR1 week vs. Las Vegas
3/3, 56 yds, 1 TD.
A clean, mistake-free game that landed well above his season average.
Shut down by Green Bay
1/1, 19 yds.
A clean, mistake-free game that landed well below his season average.
Held in check by the Giants
0/0, 0 yds.
A clean, mistake-free game that landed well below his season average.
Fantasy Points By Week
- Weekly points
- Season average (6.4)
Last Five Games
FPTS/G (PPR)
6.4
Weeks 4–8
High
10.3
Low
0.0
Targets/g
2.2
Rec/g
1.4
Upcoming Matchups
Week 4
Next
vsINDHome vs Indianapolis Colts
9thvs WR
Favorable matchup
Sun · Oct 4 · 9:30 AM ET
View matchup — Washington Commanders vs Indianapolis Colts→Week 5
vsNYGHome vs New York Giants
8thvs WR
Favorable matchup
Sun · Oct 11 · 1:00 PM ET
View matchup — Washington Commanders vs New York Giants→Week 6
@SFAway at San Francisco 49ers
23rdvs WR
Tough matchup
Mon · Oct 19 · 8:15 PM ET
View matchup — Washington Commanders vs San Francisco 49ers→Week 8
vsPHIHome vs Philadelphia Eagles
12thvs WR
Neutral matchup
Sun · Nov 1 · 8:20 PM ET
View matchup — Washington Commanders vs Philadelphia Eagles→
Matchup rank is fantasy points allowed to WRs, in PPR: 1st allows the most, 32nd the fewest. Measured through Week 4.
Luke McCaffrey career stats by season
| Receiving | Rushing | Fantasy | |||||||
| Season | GP | Tgt | Rec | Rec yds | Rec TD | Rush yds | FPTS | PPG | Finish |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 9 | 15 | 11 | 203 | 3 | 0 | 51.3 | 5.7 | WR109 |
| 2024 | 17 | 24 | 18 | 168 | 0 | 0 | 34.8 | 2.0 | WR127 |
| Career | 26 | 39 | 29 | 371 | 3 | 0 | 86.1 | 3.3 | — |
WRs like Luke McCaffrey
Luke McCaffrey Rest-of-Season Outlook
Efficient depth WR for deep leagues only
WR109 last season · 6.4 PPG · 2.16 yds/route run
Preseason Projection vs. Reality
He finished WR109 last season at 6.4 points per game.
Our 2026 Preseason Outlook
By the StatChasers staff. Published .
McCaffrey's 2025 numbers read like a tease: across nine games he turned just 15 targets into 11 grabs for 203 yards and 3 scores, posting a glittering 18.45 per catch, 2.16 yards per route run, a 0.56 EPA per play and a 66.7% success rate. The catch is the denominator. He ran routes on only 18.8% of dropbacks, drew a 3.5% target share and carried a 0.09 WOPR, so the efficiency rode a microscopic sample before a broken collarbone in Week 9 ended things early.
The deeper concern is that 2024 already gave a fuller picture: 24 targets, 168 yards, zero touchdowns and a 0.79 yards-per-route mark over 13 games. Buried on the depth chart at 24 and stuck near a 32% snap rate, he needs a real route to volume before he matters. Until that opportunity arrives, he is a late-round dart and a watch-list name, nothing more.
What Drives His Outlook
His 2025 rank among the 142 receivers who played at least six games. Each bar is one receiver, best on the left; his is highlighted.
Target volume
Downfield role
Efficiency
- Average depth of target
- 14.5
- Drop rate
- 0.0%
- Red-zone targets
- 2
- Route participation
- 18.8%
- YAC per reception
- 6.3
What Could Change His Value
Upside
- A soft stretchThe Colts in Week 4 and the Giants in Week 5 are top-10 matchups for WRs.Wk 4 IND, 9thWk 5 NYG, 8thWk 6 SF, 23rdWk 8 PHI, 12th
- Strong efficiency2.16 yards per route run, 21st of 142 WRs in 2025.
Risk
- RoleHe's WR3 on the depth chart.
- Low target volume3.5% target share, 117th of 142 WRs in 2025.
- A tough matchupThe 49ers in Week 6 (23rd) is among the stingiest defenses against WRs.
WRs like Luke McCaffrey
Luke McCaffrey Fantasy Outlook FAQ
What is Luke McCaffrey's fantasy outlook for the rest of the 2026 season?
Luke McCaffrey projects as an efficient depth WR for deep leagues only for the rest of the 2026 season: waiver-wire material in 12-team PPR, 10-team PPR and half-PPR leagues. His efficiency (2.16 yards per route run, 21st of 142 WRs in 2025) supports that. His target volume (3.5% target share, 117th of 142 WRs in 2025) holds him back. See his live rank in Redraft Command.
What is Luke McCaffrey's rest-of-season fantasy ranking?
Luke McCaffrey is the WR109 in PPR points per game. That puts him in depth WR territory, waiver-wire material in 10-team PPR leagues.
What is Luke McCaffrey's projected role going forward?
Luke McCaffrey is WR3 on the depth chart, so a bigger role needs an injury or a change ahead of him.
What is Luke McCaffrey's fantasy football upside?
Luke McCaffrey's upside: his efficiency (2.16 yards per route run, 21st of 142 WRs in 2025) gives him a weekly floor to build on and the Colts in Week 4 and the Giants in Week 5 are top-10 matchups for WRs.
What could hurt Luke McCaffrey's fantasy value?
Luke McCaffrey's risks: his target volume (3.5% target share, 117th of 142 WRs in 2025) limits his scoring and the 49ers in Week 6 is a tough matchup. See his injury status and history.
How difficult is Luke McCaffrey's remaining fantasy schedule?
Favorable: of his next seven games, 3 come against a top-10 matchup for WRs and 1 against one of the stingiest defenses, by PPR points allowed to the position.
Luke McCaffrey Injury Update & History
No injury designation for Week 4 against the Colts. McCaffrey has missed 9 games this season.
Practice participation
Week 4 reports: Wed, Thu, FriMcCaffrey hasn't appeared on an injury report this season.
Injury History at a Glance
Two logged injuries in two seasons. Most of his lost time came from a broken collarbone injury in 2025; nothing else has cost him a game.
Durability
62/100
Games missed
Injuries
Longest absence
Broken collarbone injury · 2025
Where He's Been Hurt
Marker size shows games missed. A dashed ring means he played through it.
| Body part | Injuries | Games missed |
|---|---|---|
| Shoulder | 1 | 9 |
| Other | 1 | 0 |
| Total | 2 | 9 |
Injury risk profile: High
- No body part injured twice
- Questionable in 2025, 9 games missed
- 9 games in 2 seasons
- 2 injuries spread across 2 body parts
Luke McCaffrey Injury History
Every logged injury, most recent first. Games missed are regular-season games.
- 2025
Questionable Played through
Week 18 · with the Commanders
Questionable: Fracture
- 2025
Broken Collarbone 9 games
Week 9 · with the Commanders
Suffered a fractured collarbone on the opening kickoff return against the Seattle Seahawks and was placed on Injured Reserve, ending his season.
WRs like Luke McCaffrey
Luke McCaffrey Injury FAQ
Is Luke McCaffrey injured?
No. As of October 2, 2026, Luke McCaffrey is active with no injury designation. He has missed 9 games this season.
Is Luke McCaffrey playing this week?
Luke McCaffrey has no injury designation for Week 4 against the Colts on Sunday, October 4, so he is on track to play. Should you start him?
Has Luke McCaffrey missed any games this season?
Yes. Luke McCaffrey has missed 9 games in 2026 and played in 0.
What is Luke McCaffrey's injury history?
Luke McCaffrey has 2 logged NFL injuries, which have cost him 9 games in all: 9 for a broken collarbone injury in 2025. No body part has been injured twice.
What was Luke McCaffrey's most recent injury?
Luke McCaffrey's most recent logged injury was a questionable injury in Week 18 of 2025. He played through it and missed no regular-season games.
Does Luke McCaffrey have any recurring injuries?
No. Luke McCaffrey's two logged injuries were to two different body parts, so the record shows no recurring pattern.
What was Luke McCaffrey's worst injury?
Luke McCaffrey's longest absence came from a broken collarbone injury in 2025, which cost him 9 games, all of the games he has missed to injury.
Latest Luke McCaffrey News & Updates
Season Timeline
Every update this season, grouped by week, newest first.
Week 3Sep 27W 33–31 vs SEA
Game recap coming soon
Week 2Sep 20L 20–37 @ DAL
Game recap coming soon
Week 1Sep 13L 22–24 @ PHI
Game recap coming soon
No updates of this type yet this season.
Commanders Teammates News
Updates on McCaffrey's quarterback and target competition.
- Jayden Daniels: Limited in return to practice (opens in new tab)Jayden Daniels, QB. 51 pass attempts this season. Via Dynasty CommandNeutral
- Jayden Daniels: Making trip to London (opens in new tab)Jayden Daniels, QB. 51 pass attempts this season. Via Dynasty CommandNeutral
- Jayden Daniels: Could need surgery after season (opens in new tab)Jayden Daniels, QB. 51 pass attempts this season. Via Dynasty CommandNegative
- Stefon Diggs: Four snags in victory (opens in new tab)Stefon Diggs, WR. 22 targets this season. Via Dynasty CommandNeutral
- Jayden Daniels: Set to practice during Week 4 (opens in new tab)Jayden Daniels, QB. 51 pass attempts this season. Via Dynasty CommandNeutral
- Jayden Daniels: Traveling to London in Week 4, could sit again (opens in new tab)Jayden Daniels, QB. 51 pass attempts this season. Via Dynasty CommandNeutral
Around the Commanders
WRs like Luke McCaffrey
Luke McCaffrey Bio
Luke McCaffrey is a wide receiver for the Washington Commanders, where he wears No. 11. Born April 2, 2001, in Highlands Ranch, CO, he attended Valor Christian and played college football at Nebraska and then Rice.
The Washington Commanders selected McCaffrey in round 3, pick 100, of the 2024 NFL Draft.
In 25 regular-season games since 2024, he has caught 29 passes for 371 yards and 3 touchdowns.
Career Timeline
1 stop with 1 team in 3 seasons. Each block's width is the time he spent there.
What happened at each stop
Washington Commanders Current team2024–present
Selected in round 3, pick 100, of the 2024 NFL Draft. He was a rotational player, playing at least a quarter of the offensive snaps in 21 of 27 games.
College: Nebraska, Rice
Transactions
- Placed on IRPlaced on injured reserve by the Washington Commanders.
- SignedSigned his four-year rookie contract with the Washington Commanders.
- DraftedSelected by the Washington Commanders in round 3, pick 100.
WRs like Luke McCaffrey
About Luke McCaffrey: Bio FAQ
How old is Luke McCaffrey?
Luke McCaffrey is 25 years old. He was born on April 2, 2001. 2026 is his 3rd NFL season.
How tall is Luke McCaffrey?
Luke McCaffrey is 6 feet 2 inches tall (6'2"), listed at 195 pounds, and plays wide receiver for the Washington Commanders.
How much does Luke McCaffrey weigh?
Luke McCaffrey weighs 195 pounds, his listed weight on the Washington Commanders roster. He is listed at 6'2".
What number does Luke McCaffrey wear?
Luke McCaffrey wears number 11 for the Washington Commanders. He plays wide receiver.
What position does Luke McCaffrey play?
Luke McCaffrey plays wide receiver for the Washington Commanders, wearing number 11. 2026 is his 3rd season in the NFL.
What team does Luke McCaffrey play for?
Luke McCaffrey plays for the Washington Commanders as a wide receiver. He has been with the Commanders since 2024.
Where did Luke McCaffrey go to college?
Luke McCaffrey played college football at Rice, after attending Valor Christian (CO). The Washington Commanders drafted him out of Rice in 2024.
When was Luke McCaffrey drafted?
The Washington Commanders selected Luke McCaffrey in the third round of the 2024 NFL Draft with the 100th overall pick, out of Rice.
What round was Luke McCaffrey drafted in?
Luke McCaffrey was a third-round pick in the 2024 NFL Draft, taken 100th overall by the Washington Commanders.
What pick was Luke McCaffrey in the NFL Draft?
Luke McCaffrey was the 100th overall pick of the 2024 NFL Draft, selected by the Washington Commanders in the third round.
Where is Luke McCaffrey from?
Luke McCaffrey went to high school in Colorado, at Valor Christian, before playing college football at Rice.
When is Luke McCaffrey's birthday?
Luke McCaffrey's birthday is April 2. He was born on April 2, 2001 and is 25 years old.
How long has Luke McCaffrey been in the NFL?
2026 is Luke McCaffrey's 3rd NFL season; he entered the league in 2024 as a third-round pick of the Washington Commanders. View his career statistics.
What teams has Luke McCaffrey played for?
Luke McCaffrey has played for the Washington Commanders. View his career statistics.
What year did Luke McCaffrey enter the NFL?
Luke McCaffrey entered the NFL in 2024, when the Washington Commanders drafted him in the third round. 2026 is his 3rd season.
