Luke McCaffrey 2026 fantasy outlook and rest-of-season projection
- Age
- 25
- Height / weight
- 6'2", 195 lb
- Experience
- 3rd season
- Drafted
- 2024 R3, #100
2025 Season
- PPR PPG
- 6.4
- Pos rank
- WR85
- Rostered
- —
Week 4 vs. Colts, Sun Oct 4, 9:30 AM ET 9th vs. WRs, favorable
Luke McCaffrey Rest-of-Season Outlook
Efficient depth WR for deep leagues only
Preseason Projection vs. Reality
He finished WR109 last season at 6.4 points per game.
Our 2026 Preseason Outlook
McCaffrey's 2025 numbers read like a tease: across nine games he turned just 15 targets into 11 grabs for 203 yards and 3 scores, posting a glittering 18.45 per catch, 2.16 yards per route run, a 0.56 EPA per play and a 66.7% success rate. The catch is the denominator. He ran routes on only 18.8% of dropbacks, drew a 3.5% target share and carried a 0.09 WOPR, so the efficiency rode a microscopic sample before a broken collarbone in Week 9 ended things early.
The deeper concern is that 2024 already gave a fuller picture: 24 targets, 168 yards, zero touchdowns and a 0.79 yards-per-route mark over 13 games. Buried on the depth chart at 24 and stuck near a 32% snap rate, he needs a real route to volume before he matters. Until that opportunity arrives, he is a late-round dart and a watch-list name, nothing more.
What Drives His Outlook
His 2025 rank among the 142 receivers who played at least six games. Each bar is one receiver, best on the left; his is highlighted.
Target volume
Downfield role
Efficiency
- Average depth of target
- 14.5
- Drop rate
- 0.0%
- Red-zone targets
- 2
- Route participation
- 18.8%
- YAC per reception
- 6.3
What Could Change His Value
Upside
- A soft stretchThe Colts in Week 4 and the Giants in Week 5 are top-10 matchups for WRs.Wk 4 IND, 9thWk 5 NYG, 8thWk 6 SF, 23rdWk 8 PHI, 12th
- Strong efficiency2.16 yards per route run, 21st of 142 WRs in 2025.
Risk
- RoleHe's WR3 on the depth chart.
- Low target volume3.5% target share, 117th of 142 WRs in 2025.
- A tough matchupThe 49ers in Week 6 (23rd) is among the stingiest defenses against WRs.
All Luke McCaffrey stats & analysis
WRs like Luke McCaffrey
WR71Darius SlaytonColts7.1 PPG
WR72Malik WashingtonDolphins6.9 PPG
WR73Calvin RidleyTitans6.8 PPG
WR74You are hereLuke McCaffreyCommanders6.4 PPG
WR76Greg DortchBills6.3 PPG
WR77Marvin MimsBroncos6.2 PPG
WR78Calvin AustinGiants6.2 PPG
Luke McCaffrey Fantasy Outlook FAQ
What is Luke McCaffrey's fantasy outlook for the rest of the 2026 season?
Luke McCaffrey projects as an efficient depth WR for deep leagues only for the rest of the 2026 season: waiver-wire material in 12-team PPR, 10-team PPR and half-PPR leagues. His efficiency (2.16 yards per route run, 21st of 142 WRs in 2025) supports that. His target volume (3.5% target share, 117th of 142 WRs in 2025) holds him back. See his live rank in Redraft Command.
What is Luke McCaffrey's rest-of-season fantasy ranking?
Luke McCaffrey is the WR109 in PPR points per game. That puts him in depth WR territory, waiver-wire material in 10-team PPR leagues.
What is Luke McCaffrey's projected role going forward?
Luke McCaffrey is WR3 on the depth chart, so a bigger role needs an injury or a change ahead of him.
What is Luke McCaffrey's fantasy football upside?
Luke McCaffrey's upside: his efficiency (2.16 yards per route run, 21st of 142 WRs in 2025) gives him a weekly floor to build on and the Colts in Week 4 and the Giants in Week 5 are top-10 matchups for WRs.
What could hurt Luke McCaffrey's fantasy value?
Luke McCaffrey's risks: his target volume (3.5% target share, 117th of 142 WRs in 2025) limits his scoring and the 49ers in Week 6 is a tough matchup. See his injury status and history.
How difficult is Luke McCaffrey's remaining fantasy schedule?
Favorable: of his next seven games, 3 come against a top-10 matchup for WRs and 1 against one of the stingiest defenses, by PPR points allowed to the position.