Final2021 Week 16

State Farm Stadium, Glendale, AZ

Indianapolis Colts vs Arizona Cardinals, Week 16 2021

Indianapolis Colts

AwayWon

22

Arizona Cardinals

Home

16

Scoring by quarter
TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Colts753722
Cardinals607316

IND 22ARI 16 Final

  • Passing leader

    Kyler Murray

    ARI · QB

    21.9PPR pts

    27/43, 245 YDS, 1 TD

  • Top fantasy scorer

    Chase Edmonds

    ARI · RB

    26.7PPR pts

    16 ATT, 56 YDS, 1 TD, 8 REC, 71 REC YDS

  • Cardinals leader

    Zach Ertz

    ARI · TE

    13.4PPR pts

    8 REC, 54 YDS

  • Defensive playmaker

    Budda Baker

    ARI

    1 SACK, 13 TKL

Colts 22, Cardinals 16: Indianapolis beats Arizona

Indianapolis led 12–6 at halftime to win 22–16. Arizona outgained the Colts 378–346.

The Cardinals went 6-for-13 on third down, while the Colts kept the ball for 35:29 and finished without a giveaway.

Key advantages

  • +7% third-down rate IND 53% · ARI 46%
  • +10:58 time of possession IND 35:29 · ARI 24:31

Game Highlights

Official NFL highlights · Opens from YouTube

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Why the Colts Won

Indianapolis won the third-down and time of possession battles.

Team stats comparison, Colts vs Cardinals
ColtsStatCardinals
53%Third-down conversion46%
35:29Time of possession24:31
Other team stats
346Total yards378
5.5Yards per play5.9
63Plays64
0Turnovers0

Scoring Summary

The Colts scored two touchdowns, two field goals, and one safety; the Cardinals scored two touchdowns and one field goal.

Scoring plays, Colts vs Cardinals
TimeTeamPlayINDARI
1st quarter
6:11INDCarson Wentz → T.Y. Hilton, 1-yard TD Takes leadMichael Badgley XP70
3:03ARIChase Edmonds 2-yard TD runXP missed76
2nd quarter
4:20INDSafety Extends lead96
0:01INDMichael Badgley 41-yard FG Extends lead126
3rd quarter
10:53ARIKyler Murray → Antoine Wesley, 24-yard TD Takes leadMatt Prater XP1213
0:03INDMichael Badgley 37-yard FG Takes lead1513
4th quarter
6:37INDCarson Wentz → Dezmon Patmon, 14-yard TD Extends leadMichael Badgley XP2213
0:42ARIMatt Prater 28-yard FG2216

Fantasy Points: Colts vs Cardinals, Week 16 2021

Fantasy leaders

  1. Chase EdmondsARIRB26.7 PTSRB6
  2. Kyler MurrayARIQB19.9 PTSQB7
  3. Carson WentzINDQB17.4 PTSQB11
  4. Michael PittmanINDWR16.5 PTSWR19

Player Stats

Quarterbacks

Quarterback statistics
PlayerFPTSFINCMP/ATTPass YDSTDINTRush ATTRush YDSRush TDRateStart/Sit
Kyler MurrayARIQB19.9QB727/4324510474085.9Start/Sit →
Carson WentzINDQB17.4QB1118/2822520240112.9Start/Sit →

WRs, RBs, & TEs

Receiver, running back and tight end statistics
PlayerFPTSFINPOSRush ATTRush YDSRush TDTGTRECRec YDSRec TDStart/Sit
Chase EdmondsARIRB26.7RB6RB1656198710
Michael PittmanINDWR16.5WR19WR130128820
T.Y. HiltonINDWR15.1WR22WR———54511
Zach ErtzARITE13.4TE5TE———138540
Christian KirkARIWR11.8WR38WR———97480
Antoine WesleyARIWR10.9WR41WR———42291
Jonathan TaylorINDRB10.8RB23RB2710802000Start/Sit →
Dezmon PatmonINDWR8.4WR57WR———11141
Mo Alie-CoxINDTE6.2TE22TE———42420Start/Sit →
A.J. GreenARIWR4.3WR81WR———31330
Ashton DulinINDWR3.3WR92WR———21230Start/Sit →
Nyheim Miller-HinesINDRB2.8RB63RB31101170
Kylen GransonINDTE1.6TE49TE———1160Start/Sit →
Demetrius HarrisARITE1.3TE51TE———1130
Jonathan WardARIRB0.3RB77RB130————

Fantasy Usage

Indianapolis Colts

Snap Share

  1. Michael PittmanWR68 snaps97%
  2. Mo Alie-CoxTE63 snaps90%
  3. Jonathan TaylorRB55 snaps79%
  4. T.Y. HiltonWR47 snaps67%
  5. Kylen GransonTE32 snaps46%

Target Share28 targets

  1. Michael Pittman43%, 12 targets
  2. T.Y. Hilton18%, 5 targets
  3. Mo Alie-Cox14%, 4 targets
  4. Ashton Dulin7%, 2 targets
  5. Jonathan Taylor7%, 2 targets
  6. Other11%, 3 targets

Carry Share33 carries

  1. Jonathan Taylor82%, 27 carries
  2. Nyheim Miller-Hines9%, 3 carries
  3. Carson Wentz6%, 2 carries
  4. Michael Pittman3%, 1 carries

Arizona Cardinals

Snap Share

  1. Zach ErtzTE63 snaps97%
  2. Chase EdmondsRB60 snaps92%
  3. A.J. GreenWR56 snaps86%
  4. Christian KirkWR55 snaps85%
  5. Antoine WesleyWR50 snaps77%

Target Share39 targets

  1. Zach Ertz33%, 13 targets
  2. Christian Kirk23%, 9 targets
  3. Chase Edmonds23%, 9 targets
  4. Antoine Wesley10%, 4 targets
  5. A.J. Green8%, 3 targets
  6. Other3%, 1 targets

Carry Share21 carries

  1. Chase Edmonds76%, 16 carries
  2. Kyler Murray19%, 4 carries
  3. Jonathan Ward5%, 1 carries
View full usage tableHide full usage table
Offensive snaps and share for the skill positions
PlayerSNAPSSNAP %TGTTGT %CAR
Michael PittmanINDWR6897%1243%1
Zach ErtzARITE6397%1333%0
Chase EdmondsARIRB6092%923%16
Mo Alie-CoxINDTE6390%414%0
A.J. GreenARIWR5686%38%0
Christian KirkARIWR5585%923%0
Jonathan TaylorINDRB5579%27%27
Antoine WesleyARIWR5077%410%0
T.Y. HiltonINDWR4767%518%0
Kylen GransonINDTE3246%14%0
Keke CouteeINDWR2941%00%0
Ashton DulinINDWR2840%27%0
Demetrius HarrisARITE2132%13%0
Nyheim Miller-HinesINDRB1826%14%3
Jonathan WardARIRB914%00%1
Darrell DanielsARITE69%00%0
Andy IsabellaARIWR58%00%0
Dezmon PatmonINDWR57%14%0
Jack DoyleINDTE23%00%0

Fantasy Points vs Expected

Expected points (xFP) are what a player's pass attempts, carries and targets are worth at the league's average rates; the difference is what the player made of them.

  • Biggest overperformer+6.7T.Y. Hilton15.1 PTS vs 8.4 xFP
  • Biggest underperformer−9.9Jonathan Taylor10.8 PTS vs 20.7 xFP
  • Highest expected volume25.4 xFPChase Edmonds26.7 PTS scored
Usage and expected fantasy points
PlayerPTSxFPvs xFPSnap%UsageRte%Pass attCarCar%TgtTgt%
Chase EdmondsARI · RB26.725.4+1.392%76% car—01676%923%
Zach ErtzARI · TE13.421.9−8.597%33% tgt—000%1333%
Kyler MurrayARI · QB21.921.5+0.4100%43 att—43419%00%
Michael Pittman Jr.IND · WR16.520.9−4.497%43% tgt—013%1243%
Jonathan TaylorIND · RB10.820.7−9.979%82% car—02782%27%
Christian KirkARI · WR11.815.2−3.485%23% tgt—000%923%
Carson WentzIND · QB17.413.6+3.8100%28 att—2826%00%
T.Y. HiltonIND · WR15.18.4+6.767%18% tgt—000%518%
Antoine WesleyARI · WR10.96.7+4.277%10% tgt—000%410%
Mo Alie-CoxIND · TE6.26.7−0.590%14% tgt—000%414%
A.J. GreenARI · WR4.35.1−0.886%8% tgt—000%38%
Nyheim HinesIND · —2.83.6−0.8—9% car—039%14%
Ashton DulinIND · WR3.33.4−0.140%7% tgt—000%27%
Demetrius HarrisARI · TE1.31.7−0.432%3% tgt—000%13%
Dezmon PatmonIND · WR8.41.7+6.77%4% tgt—000%14%
Kylen GransonIND · TE1.61.7−0.146%4% tgt—000%14%
Jonathan WardARI · RB0.30.6−0.314%5% car—015%00%

Team totals: Colts 28 targets and 33 carries; Cardinals 39 targets and 21 carries. Shares are from the box score. Snap counts are from the weekly player logs (Sleeper), and include plays wiped out by penalties. Route counts, air yards and red-zone touches appear when the tracking feed is connected. League-average rates from the 2021 season: 1.68 PPR points per target (67% catch rate), 0.64 per carry and 0.44 per pass attempt. They don't adjust for field position or target depth.

Fantasy Verdicts

Carson Wentz

IND · QB · 17.4 pts on 13.6 expected

18 of 28 passing for 225 yards, 2 touchdowns; 2 carries for 4 yards.

Verdict: The points matched the role, 13.6 expected.

Start/Sit: Carson Wentz →

Kyler Murray

ARI · QB · 21.9 pts on 21.5 expected

27 of 43 passing for 245 yards, 1 touchdown; 4 carries for 74 yards.

Verdict: The points matched the role, 21.5 expected.

Start/Sit: Kyler Murray →

Michael Pittman Jr. Volume, no payoff

IND · WR · 16.5 pts on 20.9 expected

12 targets (43% of the team's), 8 catches for 82 yards; 1 carry (3% of the team's) for 3 yards.

Verdict: The points matched the role, 20.9 expected.

Jonathan Taylor Volume, no payoff

IND · RB · 10.8 pts on 20.7 expected

2 targets (7% of the team's), 0 catches for 0 yards; 27 carries (82% of the team's) for 108 yards.

Verdict: The role was there, worth 20.7 points at league-average rates; the production wasn't.

Start/Sit: Jonathan Taylor →

Chase Edmonds Strong role

ARI · RB · 26.7 pts on 25.4 expected

9 targets (23% of the team's), 8 catches for 71 yards; 16 carries (76% of the team's) for 56 yards and 1 touchdown.

Verdict: The points matched the role, 25.4 expected.

Zach Ertz Volume, no payoff

ARI · TE · 13.4 pts on 21.9 expected

13 targets (33% of the team's), 8 catches for 54 yards.

Verdict: The role was there, worth 21.9 points at league-average rates; the production wasn't.

T.Y. Hilton Ran hot

IND · WR · 15.1 pts on 8.4 expected

5 targets (18% of the team's), 4 catches for 51 yards and 1 touchdown.

Verdict: The opportunities were worth 8.4 points; the touchdowns supplied the rest, and they are the part least likely to repeat.

Dezmon Patmon Ran hot

IND · WR · 8.4 pts on 1.7 expected

1 target (4% of the team's), 1 catch for 14 yards and 1 touchdown.

Verdict: The opportunities were worth 1.7 points; the touchdowns supplied the rest, and they are the part least likely to repeat.

Stock Up, Stock Down

Indianapolis Colts

  • Stock up: T.Y. Hilton played 67% of the snaps, up from a 47% season average.
  • Stock up: Mo Alie-Cox played 90% of the snaps, up from a 53% season average.
  • Stock up: Kylen Granson played 46% of the snaps, up from a 18% season average.

Arizona Cardinals

  • Stock up: Chase Edmonds played 92% of the snaps, up from a 52% season average.
  • Stock up: Zach Ertz played 97% of the snaps, up from a 70% season average.
  • Stock up: Antoine Wesley played 77% of the snaps, up from a 37% season average.

Fantasy Matchups

Fantasy points allowed per game by position, 2021 through Week 18.

Fantasy points allowed per game by position, Colts defense and Cardinals defense
Points allowed toColts DCardinals D
QBs16.616.5
RBs19.520.5
WRs32.837.9
TEs14.47.7

Regular season, summed from each game's box score and scored with this page's rules.

How the Game Swung

Arizona opened at 59% win probability and fell below 2% in the fourth quarter.

Cardinals win probability

Cardinals win probability by game minuteCardinals started at 59%, stood at 32% at halftime and finished at 0%, across 8 scoring plays.Q1Q2Q3Q4100%50%0%

Key Swings

  1. −22Wentz → Hilton, 1-yd TD58% → 36%Q1 6:11
  2. +19Edmonds 2-yd TD run35% → 55%Q1 3:03
  3. +30Murray → Wesley, 24-yd TD30% → 60%Q3 10:53
  4. −18Badgley 37-yd FG60% → 43%Q3 0:03
  5. −33Wentz → Patmon, 14-yd TD35% → 3%Q4 6:37

Swing in Cardinals win probability, in points

Play Calling and Possessions

Play calling, Colts vs Cardinals
Indianapolis ColtsMeasureArizona Cardinals
63Plays64
48%Pass rate67%
7.3Yds / dropback5.7
3.8Yds / carry6.3
8/15Third downs6/13

Efficiency edge Indianapolis ran 1 fewer plays but gained 1.6 more yards per dropback.

  • Top targets
  • IND Pittman 43% · Hilton 18% · Alie-Cox 14%
  • ARI Ertz 33% · Edmonds 23% · Kirk 23%

Possession Results

How each possession ended, Colts vs Cardinals
ResultINDARI
Touchdowns22
Field goals21
Punts31
Turnovers00
Turnovers on downs12
Missed field goals12
Safeties01
  • The Colts opened the scoring on their first possession, a 6-play, 59-yard drive that ended in a touchdown.
  • The Colts drained the clock with three second-half drives of four to six minutes.
All 20 possessions, drive by drive
Drive chart
TeamStartPlaysYardsTimeResult
ARIQ1 15:0012475:20Missed FG
INDQ1 9:406593:29Touchdown
ARIQ1 6:117903:08Touchdown
INDQ1 3:038403:53Missed FG
ARIQ2 14:107244:01Downs
INDQ2 10:096194:19Punt
ARIQ2 5:503-81:30Safety
INDQ2 4:2010454:19Field goal
ARIQ2 0:01000:01End of half
INDQ3 15:006212:45Punt
ARIQ3 12:153421:22Touchdown
INDQ3 10:539395:11Downs
ARIQ3 5:42300:21Punt
INDQ3 5:2110565:18Field goal
ARIQ3 0:0311523:56Missed FG
INDQ4 11:077694:30Touchdown
ARIQ4 6:375151:18Downs
INDQ4 5:19311:03Punt
ARIQ4 4:1616813:34Field goal
INDQ4 0:421-10:42End of game
About these numbers

Possessions that ended with the clock running out at the half or the end of the game aren't counted.

Personnel groupings, average depth of target and pass rate over expected appear when the tracking feed is connected.

Colts vs Cardinals Head-to-Head

The Colts and Cardinals first met in 1961 and have played 18 times since.

All-time series
10–8Colts lead, 18 meetings since 1961
Postseason
0No playoff meetings
Largest Colts win
27–01968
Largest Cardinals win
40–112013

Since 2021

2–0 Colts lead

2 meetings since the 2021 season, regular season and playoffs.

Oldest to newest. IND = Colts win, ARI = Cardinals win, outlined = this game.

Recent Meetings

Season to Date (Through Week 18)

The 2021 regular season, from each game's box score.

Season to date, Colts vs Cardinals
ColtsStatCardinals
9-8Record11-6
26.5Points per game26.4
347.1Yards per game373.6
5.6Yards per play5.6
21.5Points allowed per game21.5
343.2Yards allowed per game329.2

Colts vs Cardinals Odds and Results

How this game finished against the betting lines.

Spread
ARI −3Cardinals failed to cover by 9
Total
48Under: 38 points scored (by 10)

Expected vs Actual Scoring

Implied team totals against the actual score
TeamImpliedActualDifference
Cardinals25.516−9.5
Colts22.522−0.5

Both offenses finished under the market's expectation, which matches the low fantasy output in the Fantasy tab.

Betting Trends

Each team's 2021 season through this game. Over/under is overs first.

Indianapolis Colts

Against the spread
10–5
Over/under
8–7
ATS as favorite
4–2
ATS as underdog
6–3
ATS on the road
6–1

Arizona Cardinals

Against the spread
9–6
Over/under
7–8
ATS as favorite
4–6
ATS as underdog
5–0
ATS at home
2–5

Lines: ESPN's consensus, captured at kickoff. Individual sportsbooks varied.

21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER. Betting availability depends on your state.

Colts and Cardinals in Fantasy

The two teams don't meet again this season. If you roster a Colt or a Cardinal, these answer the week-to-week question.

Keep Exploring

2021 Game Logs for Players in This Game

Colts vs Cardinals Game FAQ

Who won the 2021 Colts vs Cardinals Week 16 game?

The Indianapolis Colts beat the Arizona Cardinals 22–16 in Week 16 of the 2021 season. The game was played at State Farm Stadium in Glendale, AZ, on December 25, 2021. See the Colts' 2021 schedule.

What was the final score of Colts vs Cardinals?

The final score was Colts 22, Cardinals 16. The Colts led 12–6 at halftime, and the second half went Colts 10, Cardinals 10.

What happened in the Colts vs Cardinals game?

Indianapolis led 12–6 at halftime to win 22–16. Arizona outgained the Colts 378–346. Chase Edmonds led all players with 8 catches for 71 yards, plus 16 carries for 56 rushing yards and a touchdown.

Who scored the most fantasy points in Colts vs Cardinals?

Chase Edmonds led the game with 26.7 PPR fantasy points, the RB6 of Week 16, on 8 catches for 71 yards, plus 16 carries for 56 rushing yards and a touchdown. Kyler Murray was next with 19.9 (QB7).

Who led Colts vs Cardinals in passing, rushing and receiving?

Kyler Murray (ARI) led all passers with 27 of 43 for 245 yards and a touchdown. Jonathan Taylor (IND) led in rushing with 27 carries for 108 yards. Michael Pittman (IND) led in receiving with 8 catches for 82 yards.

How many fantasy points did Chase Edmonds score against the Colts?

Chase Edmonds scored 26.7 points in PPR leagues, 22.7 in half-PPR and 18.7 in standard scoring against the Colts in Week 16 of the 2021 season, on 8 catches for 71 yards, plus 16 carries for 56 rushing yards and a touchdown. He drew 23% of his team's targets.

Who outperformed and underperformed expected fantasy points in Colts vs Cardinals?

T.Y. Hilton outperformed his expected fantasy points the most, scoring 15.1 PPR points on 8.4 xFP (+6.7). Jonathan Taylor fell furthest short, with 10.8 points on 20.7 xFP (−9.9). A gap either way reflects efficiency and touchdowns in one game; it is not a forecast. For matchups ahead, see fantasy points allowed by position.

Who had the highest expected fantasy points in Colts vs Cardinals?

Chase Edmonds had the most fantasy opportunity in the game, worth 25.4 expected PPR points (xFP) at league-average rates, and scored 26.7. Expected points measure the volume of a player's pass attempts, carries and targets, not how well he used them.

What was the turning point of Colts vs Cardinals?

Carson Wentz's 14-yard touchdown pass to Dezmon Patmon with 6:37 left in the fourth quarter was the biggest swing of the game, moving the Cardinals' win probability from 35% to 3%.

What is the all-time Colts vs Cardinals record?

The Colts lead the all-time series 10–8 across 18 meetings since 1961.

When did the Colts and Cardinals last play before this game?

Before Week 16 of 2021, they last met in the 2017 season on September 17, 2017, when the Cardinals beat the Colts 16–13.

What is the Colts vs Cardinals record since 2021?

The Colts lead 2–0 across 2 meetings since the 2021 season, including this game.

What was the closing spread for Colts vs Cardinals?

The consensus closing spread at kickoff was Cardinals −3, making the Arizona Cardinals 3-point favorites, with a closing total of 48. That implied about 25.5 points for the Cardinals and 22.5 for the Colts.

Did Colts vs Cardinals go over or under the total?

The game went under. The consensus closing total was 48, and the teams combined for 38 points, 10 under the number.

Who covered the spread in Colts vs Cardinals?

The Colts covered as 3-point underdogs against the closing line of Cardinals −3. The final margin was 6 points.