Philadelphia Eagles vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers, Wild Card 2021
Philadelphia Eagles
Away
15
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
HomeWon, advanced
31
| Team | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eagles | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 15 |
| Buccaneers | 14 | 3 | 14 | 0 | 31 |
PHI 15TB 31 Final
Passing leader
Tom Brady
18.8PPR pts
29/37, 271 YDS, 2 TD
Top fantasy scorer
26.7PPR pts
9 REC, 117 YDS, 1 TD
Eagles leader
18.2PPR pts
23/43, 258 YDS, 1 TD, 2 INT
Defensive playmaker
Mike Edwards
1 INT, 9 TKL
Buccaneers 31, Eagles 15: Tampa Bay controls the 2021 Wild Card from start to finish
Tampa Bay led 17–0 at halftime and won 31–15, though Philadelphia took the second half 15–14. The Buccaneers finished with a narrow 349–339 edge in total offense.
Philadelphia didn't get on the board until the fourth quarter.
The Eagles went 5-for-14 on third down and committed three turnovers, while the Buccaneers kept the ball for 33:03 and finished without a giveaway.
The Buccaneers' run ended in the Divisional Round, a 30–27 loss to the Rams.
Key advantages
- +3 turnover margin TB 0 turnovers
- +10 total yards TB 349 · PHI 339
- +6:06 time of possession TB 33:03 · PHI 26:57
Game Highlights
Official NFL highlights · Opens from YouTube
Got a Eagle or Buccaneer on your fantasy team?
Check their next matchup with the Start/Sit Tool, compare their value in the Fantasy Trade Calculator, or connect your league for personalized advice in Redraft Command.
Works with Sleeper, ESPN and Fleaflicker. No password needed.
Why the Buccaneers Won
Tampa Bay won the turnover and time of possession battles.
| Eagles | Stat | Buccaneers |
|---|---|---|
| 3 | Turnovers | 0 |
| 339 | Total yards | 349 |
| 26:57 | Time of possession | 33:03 |
| Other team stats | ||
| 5.5 | Yards per play | 4.8 |
| 62 | Plays | 72 |
| 36% | Third-down conversion | 31% |
Scoring Summary
The Buccaneers scored four touchdowns and one field goal; the Eagles scored two touchdowns.
| Time | Team | Play | PHI | TB |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st quarter | ||||
| 10:00 | TB | Giovani Bernard 2-yard TD run Takes leadRyan Succop XP | 0 | 7 |
| 0:25 | TB | Ke'Shawn Vaughn 1-yard TD run Extends leadRyan Succop XP | 0 | 14 |
| 2nd quarter | ||||
| 9:16 | TB | Ryan Succop 34-yard FG Extends lead | 0 | 17 |
| 3rd quarter | ||||
| 7:38 | TB | Tom Brady → Rob Gronkowski, 2-yard TD Extends leadRyan Succop XP | 0 | 24 |
| 5:18 | TB | Tom Brady → Mike Evans, 36-yard TD Extends leadRyan Succop XP | 0 | 31 |
| 4th quarter | ||||
| 12:08 | PHI | Boston Scott 34-yard TD runJake Elliott XP | 7 | 31 |
| 4:45 | PHI | Jalen Hurts → Kenneth Gainwell, 16-yard TDJalen Hurts → DeVonta Smith, 2-pt conversion | 15 | 31 |
Playoff game: these points don't count in most season-long fantasy leagues.
Fantasy Points vs Expected
Expected points (xFP) are what a player's pass attempts, carries and targets are worth at the league's average rates; the difference is what the player made of them.
- Biggest overperformer+9.9Mike Evans26.7 PTS vs 16.8 xFP
- Biggest underperformer−6.5DeVonta Smith12.0 PTS vs 18.5 xFP
- Highest expected volume24.0 xFPJalen Hurts18.2 PTS scored
| Player | PTS | xFP | vs xFP | Snap% | Usage | Rte% | Pass att | Car | Car% | Tgt | Tgt% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jalen HurtsPHI · QB | 18.2 | 24.0 | −5.8 | — | 43 att | — | 43 | 8 | 47% | 0 | 0% |
| Dallas GoedertPHI · TE | 15.2 | 20.2 | −5.0 | — | 28% tgt | — | 0 | 0 | 0% | 12 | 28% |
| Giovani BernardTB · RB | 19.3 | 20.1 | −0.8 | — | 42% car | — | 0 | 13 | 42% | 7 | 19% |
| DeVonta SmithPHI · WR | 12.0 | 18.5 | −6.5 | — | 26% tgt | — | 0 | 0 | 0% | 11 | 26% |
| Mike EvansTB · WR | 26.7 | 16.8 | +9.9 | — | 28% tgt | — | 0 | 0 | 0% | 10 | 28% |
| Tom BradyTB · QB | 18.8 | 16.3 | +2.5 | — | 37 att | — | 37 | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Ke'Shawn VaughnTB · RB | 14.2 | 14.3 | −0.1 | — | 55% car | — | 0 | 17 | 55% | 2 | 6% |
| Quez WatkinsPHI · WR | 5.5 | 11.8 | −6.3 | — | 16% tgt | — | 0 | 0 | 0% | 7 | 16% |
| Rob GronkowskiTB · TE | 14.1 | 10.1 | +4.0 | — | 17% tgt | — | 0 | 0 | 0% | 6 | 17% |
| Miles SandersPHI · RB | 5.8 | 9.5 | −3.7 | — | 41% car | — | 0 | 7 | 41% | 3 | 7% |
| Kenny GainwellPHI · RB | 16.5 | 9.1 | +7.4 | — | 12% tgt | — | 0 | 1 | 6% | 5 | 12% |
| Breshad PerrimanTB · WR | 1.5 | 5.1 | −3.6 | — | 8% tgt | — | 0 | 0 | 0% | 3 | 8% |
| Cameron BrateTB · TE | 5.9 | 5.1 | +0.8 | — | 8% tgt | — | 0 | 0 | 0% | 3 | 8% |
| Jalen ReagorPHI · WR | -0.8 | 5.1 | −5.9 | — | 7% tgt | — | 0 | 0 | 0% | 3 | 7% |
| Tyler JohnsonTB · WR | 5.0 | 5.1 | −0.1 | — | 8% tgt | — | 0 | 0 | 0% | 3 | 8% |
| Boston ScottPHI · RB | 10.5 | 2.3 | +8.2 | — | 6% car | — | 0 | 1 | 6% | 1 | 2% |
| Scotty MillerTB · WR | 2.7 | 2.3 | +0.4 | — | 3% car | — | 0 | 1 | 3% | 1 | 3% |
| Jordan HowardPHI · RB | 1.7 | 1.7 | 0.0 | — | 2% tgt | — | 0 | 0 | 0% | 1 | 2% |
| O.J. HowardTB · TE | 1.3 | 1.7 | −0.4 | — | 3% tgt | — | 0 | 0 | 0% | 1 | 3% |
Team totals: Eagles 43 targets and 17 carries; Buccaneers 36 targets and 31 carries. Shares are from the box score. Snap counts aren't available for this game. Route counts, air yards and red-zone touches appear when the tracking feed is connected. League-average rates from the 2021 season: 1.68 PPR points per target (67% catch rate), 0.64 per carry and 0.44 per pass attempt. They don't adjust for field position or target depth.
Fantasy Verdicts
Jalen Hurts Unlucky
23 of 43 passing for 258 yards, 1 touchdown, 2 interceptions; 8 carries for 39 yards.
Verdict: The role was there, worth 24.0 points at league-average rates; the production wasn't.
Tom Brady
29 of 37 passing for 271 yards, 2 touchdowns.
Verdict: The points matched the role, 16.3 expected.
Dallas Goedert Unlucky
12 targets (28% of the team's), 6 catches for 92 yards.
Verdict: The role was there, worth 20.2 points at league-average rates; the production wasn't.
Season high in targets (12).
DeVonta Smith Unlucky
11 targets (26% of the team's), 4 catches for 60 yards.
Verdict: The role was there, worth 18.5 points at league-average rates; the production wasn't.
Season high in targets (11).
Giovani Bernard
7 targets (19% of the team's), 5 catches for 39 yards; 13 carries (42% of the team's) for 44 yards and 1 touchdown.
Verdict: The points matched the role, 20.1 expected.
Season high in carries (13). Best fantasy game of the season.
Mike Evans Ran hot
10 targets (28% of the team's), 9 catches for 117 yards and 1 touchdown.
Verdict: The opportunities were worth 16.8 points; the touchdowns supplied the rest, and they are the part least likely to repeat.
A touchdown in 5 of the last 8 games.
Quez Watkins Unlucky
7 targets (16% of the team's), 2 catches for 35 yards.
Verdict: The role was there, worth 11.8 points at league-average rates; the production wasn't.
Kenny Gainwell Ran hot
5 targets (12% of the team's), 5 catches for 49 yards and 1 touchdown; 1 carry (6% of the team's) for 6 yards.
Verdict: The opportunities were worth 9.1 points; the touchdowns supplied the rest, and they are the part least likely to repeat.
Fantasy Matchups
Fantasy points allowed per game by position, 2021 through Week 18.
| Points allowed to | Eagles D | Buccaneers D |
|---|---|---|
| QBs | 17.6 | 17.5 |
| RBs | 25.5 | 21.7 |
| WRs | 28.2 | 34.8 |
| TEs | 16.8 | 13.3 |
Regular season, summed from each game's box score and scored with this page's rules.
How the Game Swung
Tampa Bay opened at 70% win probability and passed 98% before halftime on the way to the win.
Buccaneers win probability
Key Swings
- +16Bernard 2-yd TD run69% → 85%Q1 10:00
- +10Vaughn 1-yd TD run85% → 95%Q1 0:25
- +2Succop 34-yd FG96% → 98%Q2 9:16
Swing in Buccaneers win probability, in points
Play Calling and Possessions
| Philadelphia Eagles | Measure | Tampa Bay Buccaneers |
|---|---|---|
| 62 | Plays | 72 |
| 73% | Pass rate | 57% |
| 5.4 | Yds / dropback | 5.9 |
| 5.6 | Yds / carry | 3.4 |
| 5/14 | Third downs | 4/13 |
Efficiency edge Tampa Bay ran 10 more plays and gained 0.5 more yards per dropback.
- Top targets
- PHI Goedert 28% · Smith 26% · Watkins 16%
- TB Evans 28% · Bernard 19% · Gronkowski 17%
Possession Results
| Result | PHI | TB |
|---|---|---|
| Touchdowns | 2 | 4 |
| Field goals | 0 | 1 |
| Punts | 6 | 7 |
| Turnovers | 2 | 0 |
| Turnovers on downs | 1 | 1 |
TB turnover edge: +2
- The Buccaneers opened the scoring on their first possession, a 12-play, 75-yard drive that ended in a touchdown.
- The Buccaneers scored touchdowns on two of their first three drives.
All 26 possessions, drive by drive
| Team | Start | Plays | Yards | Time | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TB | Q1 15:00 | 12 | 75 | 5:00 | Touchdown |
| PHI | Q1 10:00 | 3 | 5 | 2:00 | Punt |
| TB | Q1 8:00 | 3 | 7 | 1:01 | Punt |
| PHI | Q1 6:59 | 4 | 15 | 2:34 | Punt |
| TB | Q1 4:25 | 10 | 70 | 4:00 | Touchdown |
| PHI | Q1 0:25 | 3 | -3 | 1:17 | Punt |
| TB | Q2 14:08 | 11 | 53 | 4:52 | Field goal |
| PHI | Q2 9:16 | 12 | 46 | 5:27 | Downs |
| TB | Q2 3:49 | 3 | -6 | 1:26 | Punt |
| PHI | Q2 2:23 | 6 | 40 | 1:40 | Interception |
| TB | Q2 0:43 | 3 | 0 | 0:28 | Punt |
| PHI | Q2 0:15 | 1 | 0 | 0:15 | End of half |
| PHI | Q3 15:00 | 6 | 30 | 2:53 | Punt |
| TB | Q3 12:07 | 3 | 5 | 1:32 | Punt |
| TB | Q3 10:35 | 5 | 48 | 2:57 | Touchdown |
| PHI | Q3 7:38 | 5 | 21 | 2:13 | Interception |
| TB | Q3 5:25 | 1 | 36 | 0:07 | Touchdown |
| PHI | Q3 5:18 | 3 | 3 | 1:28 | Punt |
| TB | Q3 3:50 | 5 | 15 | 2:47 | Punt |
| PHI | Q3 1:03 | 3 | -3 | 1:03 | Punt |
| TB | Q4 15:00 | 3 | -3 | 2:12 | Punt |
| PHI | Q4 12:48 | 2 | 65 | 0:40 | Touchdown |
| TB | Q4 12:08 | 5 | 29 | 3:07 | Punt |
| PHI | Q4 9:01 | 10 | 93 | 4:16 | Touchdown |
| TB | Q4 4:45 | 9 | 30 | 3:34 | Downs |
| PHI | Q4 1:11 | 4 | 2 | 1:11 | End of game |
About these numbers
Possessions that ended with the clock running out at the half or the end of the game aren't counted.
Personnel groupings, average depth of target and pass rate over expected appear when the tracking feed is connected.
Eagles vs Buccaneers Head-to-Head
The Eagles and Buccaneers first met in 1977 and have played 25 times since.
- All-time series
- 13–12Buccaneers lead, 25 meetings since 1977
- Postseason
- 4–2Split 4–2
- Largest Eagles win
- 41–141988
- Largest Buccaneers win
- 45–172015
Since 2021
4–2 Buccaneers lead
6 meetings since the 2021 season, regular season and playoffs.
Oldest to newest. B = Buccaneers win, E = Eagles win, outlined = this game.
Recent Meetings
- 2025 Wk 4 Eagles at Buccaneers, 2025 Wk 4 recap PHI 31 TB 25 PHI W
- 2024 Wk 4 Eagles at Buccaneers, 2024 Wk 4 recap TB 33 PHI 16 TB W
- 2023 Wild Card Eagles at Buccaneers, 2023 Wild Card recap TB 32 PHI 9 TB W
- 2023 Wk 3 Eagles at Buccaneers, 2023 Wk 3 recap PHI 25 TB 11 PHI W
- 2021 Wild Card Eagles at Buccaneers TB 31 PHI 15 TB W
- 2021 Wk 6 Buccaneers at Eagles, 2021 Wk 6 recap TB 28 PHI 22 TB W
Season to Date (Through Week 18)
The 2021 regular season, from each game's box score.
| Eagles | Stat | Buccaneers |
|---|---|---|
| 9-8 | Record | 13-4 |
| 26.1 | Points per game | 30.1 |
| 359.9 | Yards per game | 405.9 |
| 5.7 | Yards per play | 6.1 |
| 22.6 | Points allowed per game | 20.8 |
| 328.8 | Yards allowed per game | 331.5 |
Eagles vs Buccaneers Odds and Results
How this game finished against the betting lines.
- Spread
- TB −7Buccaneers covered by 9
- Total
- 47.5Under: 46 points scored (by 1.5)
Expected vs Actual Scoring
| Team | Implied | Actual | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|
| Buccaneers | 27.3 | 31 | +3.8 |
| Eagles | 20.3 | 15 | −5.3 |
The Buccaneers beat their implied total and the Eagles fell short of theirs; the Fantasy tab has the player lines behind it.
Betting Trends
Last 2 meetings: Eagles 1–1 ATS, unders 2–0.
Each team's 2021 season through this game. Over/under is overs first.
Philadelphia Eagles
- Against the spread
- 8–9–1
- Over/under
- 10–8
- ATS as favorite
- 4–2–1
- ATS as underdog
- 3–6
- ATS on the road
- 5–5
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
- Against the spread
- 10–8
- Over/under
- 9–9
- ATS as favorite
- 10–8
- ATS at home
- 7–2
Lines: ESPN's consensus, captured at kickoff. Individual sportsbooks varied.
21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER. Betting availability depends on your state.
Eagles and Buccaneers in Fantasy
The two teams don't meet again this season. If you roster a Eagle or a Buccaneer, these answer the week-to-week question.
- Start/Sit ToolShould your Eagles or Buccaneers player start this week? Compare the decision against your other options.
- Fantasy Football ProjectionsSee the latest weekly and rest-of-season projections for Eagles and Buccaneers players.
- Fantasy Points Allowed by PositionHow the Eagles and Buccaneers defenses have treated QBs, RBs, WRs and TEs.
- Strength of ScheduleWhere each team's remaining games fall in your fantasy playoff run.
- Redraft CommandConnect your league for personalized lineup, trade and roster advice.
Keep Exploring
2021 Game Logs for Players in This Game
Eagles vs Buccaneers Game FAQ
Who won the 2021 Eagles vs Buccaneers Wild Card game?
The Tampa Bay Buccaneers beat the Philadelphia Eagles 31–15 in the Wild Card round of the 2021 playoffs. The game was played at Raymond James Stadium in Tampa, FL, on January 16, 2022. See the Buccaneers' 2021 schedule.
What was the final score of Eagles vs Buccaneers?
The final score was Buccaneers 31, Eagles 15. The Buccaneers led 17–0 at halftime, and the second half went Eagles 15, Buccaneers 14.
What happened in the Eagles vs Buccaneers game?
Tampa Bay led 17–0 at halftime and won 31–15, though Philadelphia took the second half 15–14. The Buccaneers finished with a narrow 349–339 edge in total offense. The Eagles committed 3 turnovers, the Buccaneers none.
How did the Buccaneers beat the Eagles?
The Buccaneers beat the Eagles 31–15 because they won the turnover battle 3–0 and outgained them 349–339.
Which team won the turnover battle in Eagles vs Buccaneers?
The Buccaneers won the turnover battle 3–0: the Eagles gave the ball away 3 times and the Buccaneers not at all. The Buccaneers won the game.
What is the all-time Eagles vs Buccaneers record?
The Buccaneers lead the all-time series 13–12 across 25 meetings since 1977, including a 4–2 record in the postseason.
When did the Eagles and Buccaneers last play before this game?
Before the 2021 Wild Card round, they last met in the 2021 season on October 14, 2021, when the Buccaneers beat the Eagles 28–22.
Have the Eagles and Buccaneers met in the playoffs?
Yes, 6 times, most recently in the 2023 playoffs. The Eagles are 2–4 against the Buccaneers in the postseason.
What is the Eagles vs Buccaneers record since 2021?
The Buccaneers lead 4–2 across 6 meetings since the 2021 season, including this game.
What was the closing spread for Eagles vs Buccaneers?
The consensus closing spread at kickoff was Buccaneers −7, making the Tampa Bay Buccaneers 7-point favorites, with a closing total of 47.5. That implied about 27.3 points for the Buccaneers and 20.3 for the Eagles.
Did Eagles vs Buccaneers go over or under the total?
The game went under. The consensus closing total was 47.5, and the teams combined for 46 points, 1.5 under the number.
Who covered the spread in Eagles vs Buccaneers?
The Buccaneers covered by 9 against the closing line of Buccaneers −7. The final margin was 16 points.