Final2021 Week 18

Raymond James Stadium, Tampa, FL

Carolina Panthers vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers, Week 18 2021

Carolina Panthers

Away

17

Tampa Bay Buccaneers

HomeWon

41

Scoring by quarter
TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Panthers703717
Buccaneers01072441

CAR 17TB 41 Final

  • Passing leader

    Tom Brady

    TB · QB

    25.0PPR pts

    29/37, 326 YDS, 3 TD

  • Top fantasy scorer

    Mike Evans

    TB · WR

    26.9PPR pts

    6 REC, 89 YDS, 2 TD

  • Panthers leader

    Robbie Chosen

    CAR · WR

    18.0PPR pts

    7 REC, 50 YDS, 1 TD

  • Defensive playmaker

    Andrew Adams

    TB

    1 INT

Buccaneers 41, Panthers 17: Tampa Bay pulls away from Carolina

Tampa Bay led 10–7 at halftime and outscored Carolina 31–10 after the break to win 41–17. The Buccaneers finished with a 409–317 edge in total offense and averaged 6.8 yards per play.

The gap showed up everywhere. The Panthers went 4-for-14 on third down and committed two turnovers, while the Buccaneers finished without a giveaway.

The two teams meet again in Week 7 of 2026. If you roster anyone from either side, run the start/sit call in Redraft Command and it will weigh your lineup, your opponent and your league scoring, not only the player rankings.

Key advantages

  • +2.3 yards/play TB 6.8 · CAR 4.5
  • +2 turnover margin TB 0 turnovers
  • +92 total yards TB 409 · CAR 317

Game Highlights

Official NFL highlights · Opens from YouTube

Got a Panther or Buccaneer on your fantasy team?

Check their next matchup with the Start/Sit Tool, compare their value in the Fantasy Trade Calculator, or connect your league for personalized advice in Redraft Command.

Connect your league

Works with Sleeper, ESPN and Fleaflicker. No password needed.

Why the Buccaneers Won

Tampa Bay won the efficiency, turnover, and third-down battles.

Team stats comparison, Panthers vs Buccaneers
PanthersStatBuccaneers
4.5Yards per play6.8
2Turnovers0
317Total yards409
Other team stats
71Plays60
29%Third-down conversion36%
35:05Time of possession24:55

Scoring Summary

The Buccaneers scored five touchdowns and two field goals; the Panthers scored two touchdowns and one field goal.

Scoring plays, Panthers vs Buccaneers
TimeTeamPlayCARTB
1st quarter
7:22CARSam Darnold → Chuba Hubbard, 2-yard TD Takes leadLirim Hajrullahu XP70
2nd quarter
11:09TBRyan Succop 39-yard FG73
0:15TBTom Brady → Le'Veon Bell, 1-yard TD Takes leadRyan Succop XP710
3rd quarter
11:57TBKe'Shawn Vaughn 2-yard TD run Extends leadRyan Succop XP717
4:44CARLirim Hajrullahu 35-yard FG1017
4th quarter
14:56TBTom Brady → Mike Evans, 3-yard TD Extends leadRyan Succop XP1024
10:34CARSam Darnold → Robby Anderson, 19-yard TDLirim Hajrullahu XP1724
7:34TBTom Brady → Mike Evans, 20-yard TD Extends leadRyan Succop XP1731
5:04TBRyan Succop 40-yard FG Extends lead1734
4:07TBScotty Miller 33-yard TD run Extends leadRyan Succop XP1741

Fantasy Points: Panthers vs Buccaneers, Week 18 2021

Fantasy leaders

  1. Mike EvansTBWR26.9 PTSWR7
  2. Tom BradyTBQB25.0 PTSQB6
  3. Rob GronkowskiTBTE20.7 PTSTE2
  4. Robbie ChosenCARWR18.0 PTSWR23

Player Stats

Quarterbacks

Quarterback statistics
PlayerFPTSFINCMP/ATTPass YDSTDINTRush ATTRush YDSRush TDRateStart/Sit
Tom BradyTBQB25.0QB629/3732630———130.4
Sam DarnoldCARQB14.7QB1729/4221921819087.3Start/Sit →
Blaine GabbertTBQB-0.1—0/20001-1039.6

WRs, RBs, & TEs

Receiver, running back and tight end statistics
PlayerFPTSFINPOSRush ATTRush YDSRush TDTGTRECRec YDSRec TDStart/Sit
Mike EvansTBWR26.9WR7WR———76892Start/Sit →
Rob GronkowskiTBTE20.7TE2TE———1071370
Robbie ChosenCARWR18.0WR23WR———97501
Ameer AbdullahCARRB17.2RB15RB7260119560Start/Sit →
DJ MooreCARWR17.0WR26WR1130107870Start/Sit →
Chuba HubbardCARRB13.6RB21RB94802281Start/Sit →
Scotty MillerTBWR12.2WR38WR24311190
Ke'Shawn VaughnTBRB12.1RB24RB1029122120
Breshad PerrimanTBWR9.4WR53WR———65440
Le'Veon BellTBRB8.5RB33RB31401111
Tyler JohnsonTBWR7.2WR59WR———75220
Cameron BrateTBTE3.2TE33TE———32120
Tommy TrembleCARTE3.1TE36TE1405270Start/Sit →
C.J. SaundersCARWR3.1WR88WR———22110
Kenjon BarnerTBRB0.0—RB400————
Brandon ZylstraCARWR0.0—WR———2000
Keith KirkwoodCARWR0.0—WR———1000
Jaelon DardenTBWR0.0—WR———1000

Fantasy Usage

Carolina Panthers

Snap Share

  1. DJ MooreWR55 snaps76%
  2. Robbie ChosenWR54 snaps75%
  3. Brandon ZylstraWR50 snaps69%
  4. Tommy TrembleTE42 snaps58%
  5. Ameer AbdullahRB40 snaps56%

Target Share42 targets

  1. Ameer Abdullah26%, 11 targets
  2. DJ Moore24%, 10 targets
  3. Robbie Chosen21%, 9 targets
  4. Tommy Tremble12%, 5 targets
  5. Brandon Zylstra5%, 2 targets
  6. Other12%, 5 targets

Carry Share26 carries

  1. Chuba Hubbard35%, 9 carries
  2. Sam Darnold31%, 8 carries
  3. Ameer Abdullah27%, 7 carries
  4. DJ Moore4%, 1 carries
  5. Tommy Tremble4%, 1 carries

Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Snap Share

  1. Tyler JohnsonWR52 snaps87%
  2. Rob GronkowskiTE50 snaps83%
  3. Mike EvansWR43 snaps72%
  4. Breshad PerrimanWR37 snaps62%
  5. Ke'Shawn VaughnRB27 snaps45%

Target Share38 targets

  1. Rob Gronkowski26%, 10 targets
  2. Mike Evans18%, 7 targets
  3. Tyler Johnson18%, 7 targets
  4. Breshad Perriman16%, 6 targets
  5. Cameron Brate8%, 3 targets
  6. Other13%, 5 targets

Carry Share20 carries

  1. Ke'Shawn Vaughn50%, 10 carries
  2. Kenjon Barner20%, 4 carries
  3. Le'Veon Bell15%, 3 carries
  4. Scotty Miller10%, 2 carries
  5. Blaine Gabbert5%, 1 carries
View full usage tableHide full usage table
Offensive snaps and share for the skill positions
PlayerSNAPSSNAP %TGTTGT %CAR
Tyler JohnsonTBWR5287%718%0
Rob GronkowskiTBTE5083%1026%0
DJ MooreCARWR5576%1024%1
Robbie ChosenCARWR5475%921%0
Mike EvansTBWR4372%718%0
Brandon ZylstraCARWR5069%25%0
Breshad PerrimanTBWR3762%616%0
Tommy TrembleCARTE4258%512%1
Ameer AbdullahCARRB4056%1126%7
Ian ThomasCARTE3751%00%0
Ke'Shawn VaughnTBRB2745%25%10
Chuba HubbardCARRB3244%25%9
Le'Veon BellTBRB2338%13%3
Scotty MillerTBWR1423%13%2
C.J. SaundersCARWR1521%25%0
Cameron BrateTBTE1017%38%0
Stephen SullivanCARTE1115%00%0
Kenjon BarnerTBRB915%00%4
O.J. HowardTBTE915%00%0
Keith KirkwoodCARWR1014%12%0
Darren FellsTBTE813%00%0
Jaelon DardenTBWR813%13%0
Cyril GraysonTBWR610%00%0
Alex EricksonCARWR57%00%0

Fantasy Points vs Expected

Expected points (xFP) are what a player's pass attempts, carries and targets are worth at the league's average rates; the difference is what the player made of them.

  • Biggest overperformer+15.1Mike Evans26.9 PTS vs 11.8 xFP
  • Biggest underperformer−7.9Sam Darnold15.7 PTS vs 23.6 xFP
  • Highest expected volume23.6 xFPSam Darnold15.7 PTS scored
Usage and expected fantasy points
PlayerPTSxFPvs xFPSnap%UsageRte%Pass attCarCar%TgtTgt%
Sam DarnoldCAR · QB15.723.6−7.999%42 att—42831%00%
Ameer AbdullahCAR · RB17.223.0−5.856%27% car—0727%1126%
DJ MooreCAR · WR17.017.5−0.576%24% tgt—014%1024%
Rob GronkowskiTB · TE20.716.8+3.983%26% tgt—000%1026%
Tom BradyTB · QB25.016.3+8.785%37 att—3700%00%
Robbie ChosenCAR · WR18.015.2+2.875%21% tgt—000%921%
Mike EvansTB · WR26.911.8+15.172%18% tgt—000%718%
Tyler JohnsonTB · WR7.211.8−4.687%18% tgt—000%718%
Breshad PerrimanTB · WR9.410.1−0.762%16% tgt—000%616%
Ke'Shawn VaughnTB · RB12.19.8+2.345%50% car—01050%25%
Chuba HubbardCAR · RB13.69.1+4.544%35% car—0935%25%
Tommy TrembleCAR · TE3.19.1−6.058%12% tgt—014%512%
Cameron BrateTB · TE3.25.1−1.917%8% tgt—000%38%
Brandon ZylstraCAR · WR0.03.8−3.869%5% tgt—100%25%
Le'Veon BellTB · RB8.53.6+4.938%15% car—0315%13%
C.J. SaundersCAR · WR3.13.4−0.321%5% tgt—000%25%
Scotty MillerTB · WR12.23.0+9.223%10% car—0210%13%
Kenjon BarnerTB · RB0.02.6−2.615%20% car—0420%00%
Jaelon DardenTB · WR0.01.7−1.713%3% tgt—000%13%
Keith KirkwoodCAR · WR0.01.7−1.714%2% tgt—000%12%
Blaine GabbertTB · QB-0.11.5−1.615%2 att—215%00%

Team totals: Panthers 42 targets and 26 carries; Buccaneers 38 targets and 20 carries. Shares are from the box score. Snap counts are from the weekly player logs (Sleeper), and include plays wiped out by penalties. Route counts, air yards and red-zone touches appear when the tracking feed is connected. League-average rates from the 2021 season: 1.68 PPR points per target (67% catch rate), 0.64 per carry and 0.44 per pass attempt. They don't adjust for field position or target depth.

Fantasy Verdicts

Sam Darnold Unlucky

CAR · QB · 15.7 pts on 23.6 expected

29 of 42 passing for 219 yards, 2 touchdowns, 1 interception; 8 carries for 19 yards.

Verdict: The role was there, worth 23.6 points at league-average rates; the production wasn't.

Start/Sit: Sam Darnold →

Tom Brady Ran hot

TB · QB · 25.0 pts on 16.3 expected

29 of 37 passing for 326 yards, 3 touchdowns.

Verdict: The opportunities were worth 16.3 points; the touchdowns supplied the rest, and they are the part least likely to repeat.

Ameer Abdullah Unlucky

CAR · RB · 17.2 pts on 23.0 expected

11 targets (26% of the team's), 9 catches for 56 yards; 7 carries (27% of the team's) for 26 yards.

Verdict: The role was there, worth 23.0 points at league-average rates; the production wasn't.

Start/Sit: Ameer Abdullah →

DJ Moore

CAR · WR · 17.0 pts on 17.5 expected

10 targets (24% of the team's), 7 catches for 87 yards; 1 carry (4% of the team's) for 13 yards.

Verdict: The points matched the role, 17.5 expected.

Start/Sit: DJ Moore →

Rob Gronkowski

TB · TE · 20.7 pts on 16.8 expected

10 targets (26% of the team's), 7 catches for 137 yards.

Verdict: The points matched the role, 16.8 expected.

Mike Evans Ran hot

TB · WR · 26.9 pts on 11.8 expected

7 targets (18% of the team's), 6 catches for 89 yards and 2 touchdowns.

Verdict: The opportunities were worth 11.8 points; the touchdowns supplied the rest, and they are the part least likely to repeat.

Start/Sit: Mike Evans →

Tommy Tremble Unlucky

CAR · TE · 3.1 pts on 9.1 expected

5 targets (12% of the team's), 2 catches for 7 yards; 1 carry (4% of the team's) for 4 yards.

Verdict: The role was there, worth 9.1 points at league-average rates; the production wasn't.

Start/Sit: Tommy Tremble →

Scotty Miller Ran hot

TB · WR · 12.2 pts on 3.0 expected

1 target (3% of the team's), 1 catch for 9 yards; 2 carries (10% of the team's) for 43 yards and 1 touchdown.

Verdict: The opportunities were worth 3.0 points; the touchdowns supplied the rest, and they are the part least likely to repeat.

Stock Up, Stock Down

Carolina Panthers

  • Stock up: Ameer Abdullah led the backfield with 56% of the snaps after trailing Chuba Hubbard before this game.
  • Stock up: Brandon Zylstra played 69% of the snaps, up from a 35% season average.
  • Stock down: Chuba Hubbard lost the backfield lead: 44% of the snaps to Ameer Abdullah's 56%.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers

  • Stock up: Ke'Shawn Vaughn led the backfield with 45% of the snaps after trailing Le'Veon Bell before this game.
  • Stock up: Tyler Johnson played 87% of the snaps, up from a 50% season average.
  • Stock up: Breshad Perriman played 62% of the snaps, up from a 32% season average.

Fantasy Matchups

Fantasy points allowed per game by position, 2021 through Week 18.

Fantasy points allowed per game by position, Panthers defense and Buccaneers defense
Points allowed toPanthers DBuccaneers D
QBs15.317.5
RBs19.421.7
WRs31.934.8
TEs12.313.3

Regular season, summed from each game's box score and scored with this page's rules.

How the Game Swung

Tampa Bay opened at 79% win probability and passed 98% in the fourth quarter on the way to the win.

Buccaneers win probability

Buccaneers win probability by game minuteBuccaneers started at 79%, stood at 81% at halftime and finished at 100%, across 10 scoring plays.Q1Q2Q3Q4100%50%0%

Key Swings

  1. −20Darnold → Hubbard, 2-yd TD78% → 58%Q1 7:22
  2. +10Succop 39-yd FG52% → 62%Q2 11:09
  3. +25Brady → Bell, 1-yd TD56% → 81%Q2 0:15
  4. +14Vaughn 2-yd TD run81% → 95%Q3 11:57
  5. +7Brady → Evans, 3-yd TD93% → 99%Q4 14:56

Swing in Buccaneers win probability, in points

Play Calling and Possessions

Play calling, Panthers vs Buccaneers
Carolina PanthersMeasureTampa Bay Buccaneers
71Plays60
63%Pass rate67%
4.6Yds / dropback8.1
4.2Yds / carry4.3
4/14Third downs4/11

Efficiency edge Tampa Bay ran 11 fewer plays but gained 3.5 more yards per dropback.

  • Top targets
  • CAR Abdullah 26% · Moore 24% · Chosen 21%
  • TB Gronkowski 26% · Evans 18% · Johnson 18%

Possession Results

How each possession ended, Panthers vs Buccaneers
ResultCARTB
Touchdowns25
Field goals12
Punts23
Turnovers20
Turnovers on downs40
Missed field goals01

TB turnover edge: +2

  • The Panthers opened the scoring on their first possession, a 14-play, 75-yard drive that ended in a touchdown.
All 24 possessions, drive by drive
Drive chart
TeamStartPlaysYardsTimeResult
CARQ1 15:0014757:38Touchdown
TBQ1 7:22331:34Punt
CARQ1 5:4810365:48Downs
TBQ2 15:0010403:51Field goal
CARQ2 11:0912736:12Downs
TBQ2 4:57351:25Punt
CARQ2 3:32351:44Punt
TBQ2 1:488921:33Touchdown
CARQ2 0:151-10:15End of half
TBQ3 15:007773:03Touchdown
CARQ3 11:57351:02Punt
TBQ3 10:55361:29Punt
CARQ3 9:269524:42Field goal
TBQ3 4:4411624:48Touchdown
CARQ4 14:568564:22Touchdown
TBQ4 10:346753:00Touchdown
CARQ4 7:34381:05Fumble
TBQ4 6:29451:25Field goal
CARQ4 5:04490:47Downs
TBQ4 4:171330:10Touchdown
CARQ4 4:07100:16Interception
TBQ4 3:516122:00Missed FG
CARQ4 1:514-11:14Downs
TBQ4 0:371-10:37End of game
About these numbers

Possessions that ended with the clock running out at the half or the end of the game aren't counted.

Personnel groupings, average depth of target and pass rate over expected appear when the tracking feed is connected.

Panthers vs Buccaneers Head-to-Head

The Panthers and Buccaneers first met in 1995 and have played 51 times since. They have been NFC South rivals since 2002.

All-time series
26–25Panthers lead, 51 meetings since 1995
Postseason
0No playoff meetings
Largest Panthers win
48–162011
Largest Buccaneers win
48–142024

Since 2021

8–2 Buccaneers lead

10 meetings since the 2021 season, regular season and playoffs.

Oldest to newest. B = Buccaneers win, P = Panthers win, outlined = this game.

2026 Meetings

  • Week 7 Buccaneers at Panthers Upcoming
  • Week 12 Panthers at Buccaneers Upcoming

Recent Meetings

Season to Date (Through Week 18)

The 2021 regular season, from each game's box score.

Season to date, Panthers vs Buccaneers
PanthersStatBuccaneers
5-12Record13-4
17.9Points per game30.1
298.9Yards per game405.9
4.6Yards per play6.1
23.8Points allowed per game20.8
305.9Yards allowed per game331.5

Panthers vs Buccaneers Odds and Results

How this game finished against the betting lines.

Spread
TB −11Buccaneers covered by 13
Total
42.5Over: 58 points scored (by 15.5)

Expected vs Actual Scoring

Implied team totals against the actual score
TeamImpliedActualDifference
Buccaneers26.841+14.3
Panthers15.817+1.3

Both offenses beat the market's expectation, and the Fantasy tab shows who cashed in.

Betting Trends

Last 2 meetings: Buccaneers 2–0 ATS, overs and unders 1–1.

Each team's 2021 season through this game. Over/under is overs first.

Carolina Panthers

Against the spread
5–12
Over/under
8–9
ATS as favorite
2–5
ATS as underdog
3–7
ATS on the road
3–6

Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Against the spread
9–8
Over/under
9–8
ATS as favorite
9–8
ATS at home
6–2

Lines: ESPN's consensus, captured at kickoff. Individual sportsbooks varied.

21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER. Betting availability depends on your state.

Panthers vs Buccaneers Fantasy Outlook for 2026

Two meetings are left on the 2026 schedule: Week 7 in Carolina and Week 12 in Tampa Bay. Here's how to decide who to play in your league.

Keep Exploring

2021 Game Logs for Players in This Game

Panthers vs Buccaneers Game FAQ

Who won the 2021 Panthers vs Buccaneers Week 18 game?

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers beat the Carolina Panthers 41–17 in Week 18 of the 2021 season. The game was played at Raymond James Stadium in Tampa, FL, on January 9, 2022. See the Buccaneers' 2021 schedule.

What was the final score of Panthers vs Buccaneers?

The final score was Buccaneers 41, Panthers 17. The Buccaneers led 10–7 at halftime, and the second half went Panthers 10, Buccaneers 31.

What happened in the Panthers vs Buccaneers game?

Tampa Bay led 10–7 at halftime and outscored Carolina 31–10 after the break to win 41–17. The Buccaneers finished with a 409–317 edge in total offense and averaged 6.8 yards per play. Mike Evans led all players with 6 catches for 89 yards and 2 touchdowns. The Panthers committed 2 turnovers, the Buccaneers none.

Who scored the most fantasy points in Panthers vs Buccaneers?

Mike Evans led the game with 26.9 PPR fantasy points, the WR7 of Week 18, on 6 catches for 89 yards and 2 touchdowns. Tom Brady was next with 25.0 (QB6). See Mike Evans's 2021 game log.

Who led Panthers vs Buccaneers in passing, rushing and receiving?

Tom Brady (TB) led all passers with 29 of 37 for 326 yards and 3 touchdowns. Chuba Hubbard (CAR) led in rushing with 9 carries for 48 yards. Rob Gronkowski (TB) led in receiving with 7 catches for 137 yards.

How many fantasy points did Mike Evans score against the Panthers?

Mike Evans scored 26.9 points in PPR leagues, 23.9 in half-PPR and 20.9 in standard scoring against the Panthers in Week 18 of the 2021 season, on 6 catches for 89 yards and 2 touchdowns.

Who outperformed and underperformed expected fantasy points in Panthers vs Buccaneers?

Mike Evans outperformed his expected fantasy points the most, scoring 26.9 PPR points on 11.8 xFP (+15.1). Sam Darnold fell furthest short, with 15.7 points on 23.6 xFP (−7.9). A gap either way reflects efficiency and touchdowns in one game; it is not a forecast. For matchups ahead, see fantasy points allowed by position.

Who had the highest expected fantasy points in Panthers vs Buccaneers?

Sam Darnold had the most fantasy opportunity in the game, worth 23.6 expected PPR points (xFP) at league-average rates, and scored 15.7. Expected points measure the volume of a player's pass attempts, carries and targets, not how well he used them.

How did the Buccaneers beat the Panthers?

The Buccaneers beat the Panthers 41–17 because they averaged 6.8 yards per play to 4.5, won the turnover battle 2–0, and outgained them 409–317.

Which team won the turnover battle in Panthers vs Buccaneers?

The Buccaneers won the turnover battle 2–0: the Panthers gave the ball away 2 times and the Buccaneers not at all. The Buccaneers won the game.

What is the all-time Panthers vs Buccaneers record?

The Panthers lead the all-time series 26–25 across 51 meetings since 1995.

When did the Panthers and Buccaneers last play before this game?

Before Week 18 of 2021, they last met in the 2021 season on December 26, 2021, when the Buccaneers beat the Panthers 32–6.

What was the closing spread for Panthers vs Buccaneers?

The consensus closing spread at kickoff was Buccaneers −11, making the Tampa Bay Buccaneers 11-point favorites, with a closing total of 42.5. That implied about 26.8 points for the Buccaneers and 15.8 for the Panthers.

Did Panthers vs Buccaneers go over or under the total?

The game went over. The consensus closing total was 42.5, and the teams combined for 58 points, 15.5 over the number.

Who covered the spread in Panthers vs Buccaneers?

The Buccaneers covered by 13 against the closing line of Buccaneers −11. The final margin was 24 points.