Aaron Jones 2026 fantasy outlook and rest-of-season projection
- Age
- 31
- Height / weight
- 5'10", 208 lb
- Experience
- 10th season
- Drafted
- 2017 R5, #182
2026 Season
- PPR PPG
- 11.6
- Pos rank
- RB22
- Rostered
- 90%
Week 4 vs. Dolphins, Sun Oct 4, 4:05 PM ET 3rd vs. RBs, favorable
Aaron Jones Rest-of-Season Outlook
Pass-catching RB2 every week
Preseason Projection vs. Reality
He finished RB41 last season at 9.9 points per game.
Our Take After Week 4
Through 3 games he's RB22 at 11.6 PPR points per game, against 9.9 over 12 games last season (RB41). He's running ahead of last season's pace.
Last season he ranked 31st of 95 in rushing volume (11.0 carries per game), 14th of 95 in receiving role (3.4 targets per game) and 59th of 95 in efficiency (1.77 yards after contact per carry). His points come from his receiving role. Efficiency is the soft spot. Carson Wentz is his quarterback.
The job is secure: he's the listed starter and one of the best at his position. The main risk is health, and Deejay Dallas is next on the depth chart if he misses time.
The next favorable matchups are the Dolphins in Week 4 (3rd against RBs) and the Saints in Week 5 (7th against RBs).
Read our preseason outlook (June 2026)
Published June 17, 2026. Kept for reference; the take above replaces it.
The 2025 tape flags real decline: Jones managed just 12 games, a -0.057 EPA per play, and a 4.15 yards-per-carry mark that trailed his 4.46 in a 17-game 2024 when he finished RB7 by our rank. His explosive-run rate dipped to 9.09 percent, breakaway runs to 3.79, and he forced a broken tackle only once every 26.4 carries while gaining a thin 1.77 yards after contact. The 90.7 fantasy points and rank of 39 reflect a back past his ground-game prime.
The receiving role is what keeps him relevant. He still ran 198 routes on a 55.1 percent snap share and turned 41 targets into 28 catches, banking 227 yards after the catch and an 8.8 percent target share. Now 30 in Minnesota, he splits early downs with Jordan Mason while owning passing-down work, leaving him a PPR-leaning flex with a capped ceiling. Hamstring, hip, and shoulder issues make a full season unlikely, so treat him as a late-round dart, not a weekly starter.
What Drives His Outlook
His 2025 rank among the 95 running backs who played at least six games. Each bar is one running back, best on the left; his is highlighted.
Rushing volume
Receiving role
Efficiency
- Yards after contact per carry
- 1.77
- Broken tackles
- 5
- Explosive-run rate
- 9.1%
- Red-zone opportunities
- 19
- Snap share
- 55.1%
- Targets
- 41
What Could Change His Value
Upside
- A soft stretchThe Dolphins in Week 4 and the Saints in Week 5 are top-10 matchups for RBs.Wk 4 MIA, 3rdWk 5 NO, 7thWk 7 IND, 5thWk 8 DET, 19th
- Heavy rushing volume11.0 carries per game, 31st of 95 RBs in 2025.
- Featured receiving role3.4 targets per game, 14th of 95 RBs in 2025.
Risk
- HealthHis role is secure; if he misses time, Deejay Dallas is next on the depth chart.
All Aaron Jones stats & analysis
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Aaron Jones Fantasy Outlook FAQ
What is Aaron Jones's fantasy outlook for the rest of the 2026 season?
Aaron Jones projects as a pass-catching RB2 every week for the rest of the 2026 season: a weekly starter in 12-team PPR, 10-team PPR and half-PPR leagues. His receiving role (3.4 targets per game, 14th of 95 RBs in 2025) supports that. His efficiency (1.77 yards after contact per carry, 59th of 95 RBs in 2025) holds him back. See his live rank in Redraft Command.
What is Aaron Jones's rest-of-season fantasy ranking?
Aaron Jones is the RB22 in PPR points per game through Week 4. That puts him in RB2 territory, a weekly starter in 10-team PPR leagues.
What is Aaron Jones's projected role going forward?
Aaron Jones is the listed starting RB, with Deejay Dallas next on the depth chart. Nothing on the chart threatens the job, so the role is his to lose on performance.
Will Aaron Jones get more touches?
Aaron Jones's touches are trending up: 23.0 a game over his last two games against 19.7 for the season. His share of the offense is what his fantasy value rides on.
What is Aaron Jones's fantasy football upside?
Aaron Jones's upside: his ceiling this season is 14.2 PPR points (Week 3, RB14), his receiving role (3.4 targets per game, 14th of 95 RBs in 2025) gives him a weekly floor to build on and the Dolphins in Week 4 and the Saints in Week 5 are top-10 matchups for RBs.
What could hurt Aaron Jones's fantasy value?
Aaron Jones's risks: Deejay Dallas is next on the depth chart if he is benched or hurt and his efficiency (1.77 yards after contact per carry, 59th of 95 RBs in 2025) limits his scoring. See his injury status and history.
How difficult is Aaron Jones's remaining fantasy schedule?
Favorable: of his next seven games, 5 come against a top-10 matchup for RBs and 0 against one of the stingiest defenses, by PPR points allowed to the position.