AJ Dillon 2026 fantasy outlook and rest-of-season projection
- Age
- 28
- Height / weight
- 6'0", 248 lb
- Experience
- 7th season
- Drafted
- 2020 R2, #62
2026 Season
- PPR PPG
- 1.6
- Pos rank
- RB75
- Rostered
- 2%
Week 4 vs. Lions, Sun Oct 4, 8:20 PM ET 19th vs. RBs, neutral
AJ Dillon Rest-of-Season Outlook
Efficient depth RB for deep leagues only
Preseason Projection vs. Reality
He finished RB107 last season at 1.3 points per game.
Our Take After Week 4
Through 3 games he's RB75 at 1.6 PPR points per game, against 1.3 over 7 games last season (RB107). The role is producing the same fantasy output two years running.
Last season he ranked 76th of 95 in rushing volume (2.0 carries per game), 77th of 95 in receiving role (0.5 targets per game) and 10th of 95 in efficiency (2.67 yards after contact per carry). His points come from his efficiency. Receiving role is the soft spot. Bryce Young is his quarterback.
He's RB2 on the depth chart, so his value depends on the players ahead of him.
The next favorable matchup is the Packers in Week 8 (2nd against RBs).
Read our preseason outlook (June 2026)
Published June 16, 2026. Kept for reference; the take above replaces it.
Dillon's 2025 line tells the whole story: six games, an 11.9% snap share, 12 carries, and a 0.6% target share that left him with just 6.1 fantasy points. The efficiency wasn't there to justify more, either, with a brutal minus-0.29 EPA per play. Even the surface 5.0 yards per carry is noise off a 12-attempt sample, and a fumble on only three rushing chances per broken tackle hardly screams trusted back.
Go back to his last real workload in 2023, when 178 carries produced only 3.44 yards a pop and two scores across 15 games, and the ceiling looks just as capped. Now in Carolina, he projects as a touchdown-dependent committee piece buried on the depth chart, with usage that may not even clear RB2 duties. There's no realistic path to fantasy relevance here unless an injury ahead of him forces volume his way. Leave him on waivers.
What Drives His Outlook
His 2025 rank among the 95 running backs who played at least six games. Each bar is one running back, best on the left; his is highlighted.
Rushing volume
Receiving role
Efficiency
- Yards after contact per carry
- 2.67
- Broken tackles
- 2
- Explosive-run rate
- 8.3%
- Red-zone opportunities
- 3
- Snap share
- 11.9%
- Targets
- 3
What Could Change His Value
Upside
- A soft spotThe Packers in Week 8 is a top-10 matchup for RBs.Wk 4 DET, 19thWk 6 PHI, 24thWk 7 TB, 21stWk 8 GB, 2nd
- Strong efficiency2.67 yards after contact per carry, 10th of 95 RBs in 2025.
Risk
- RoleHe's RB2 on the depth chart.
- Light rushing volume2.0 carries per game, 76th of 95 RBs in 2025.
- A tough matchupThe Eagles in Week 6 (24th) is among the stingiest defenses against RBs.
All AJ Dillon stats & analysis
RBs like AJ Dillon
AJ Dillon Fantasy Outlook FAQ
What is AJ Dillon's fantasy outlook for the rest of the 2026 season?
AJ Dillon projects as an efficient depth RB for deep leagues only for the rest of the 2026 season: waiver-wire material in 12-team PPR, 10-team PPR and half-PPR leagues. His efficiency (2.67 yards after contact per carry, 10th of 95 RBs in 2025) supports that. His receiving role (0.5 targets per game, 77th of 95 RBs in 2025) holds him back. See his live rank in Redraft Command.
What is AJ Dillon's rest-of-season fantasy ranking?
AJ Dillon is the RB75 in PPR points per game through Week 4. That puts him in depth RB territory, waiver-wire material in 10-team PPR leagues.
What is AJ Dillon's projected role going forward?
AJ Dillon is RB2 on the depth chart, so a bigger role needs an injury or a change ahead of him.
Will AJ Dillon get more touches?
AJ Dillon's touches are holding steady: 4.0 a game over his last two games against 4.3 for the season. His share of the offense is what his fantasy value rides on.
What is AJ Dillon's fantasy football upside?
AJ Dillon's upside: his ceiling this season is 2.8 PPR points (Week 1, RB59), his efficiency (2.67 yards after contact per carry, 10th of 95 RBs in 2025) gives him a weekly floor to build on and the Packers in Week 8 is a top-10 matchup for RBs.
What could hurt AJ Dillon's fantasy value?
AJ Dillon's risks: his receiving role (0.5 targets per game, 77th of 95 RBs in 2025) limits his scoring and the Eagles in Week 6 is a tough matchup. See his injury status and history.
How difficult is AJ Dillon's remaining fantasy schedule?
Favorable: of his next seven games, 3 come against a top-10 matchup for RBs and 1 against one of the stingiest defenses, by PPR points allowed to the position.