Brian Thomas Fantasy outlook, stats and Week 4 start/sit for 2026
- Age
- 23
- Height / weight
- 6'2", 209 lb
- Experience
- 3rd season
2026 Season
- PPR PPG
- 5.3
- Pos rank
- WR77
- Rostered
- 75%
Week 4 at Bengals, Sun Oct 4, 1:00 PM ET 21st vs. WRs, neutral
Brian Thomas Fantasy Football Stats & Analysis
Scoring rate
5.3 PPG
Played
3 games
Role
Depth
Trend
Stable
Brian Thomas's 2026 Season, Week by Week
3 games played: three busts. The next four matchups include two of the league's softest pass defenses.
- Week 1, Win,vs CLE,7.0,WR58
- Week 2, Loss,@at DEN,7.0,WR52
- Week 3, Win,vs NE,1.8,WR106
- Up next. Week 4, Oct 4,@at CIN,21st pts allowed to WRs,NeutralBengals vs. WRs
- Week 5, Oct 11,vs PHI,12th pts allowed to WRs,NeutralEagles vs. WRs
- Week 6, Oct 18,vs HOU,5th pts allowed to WRs,FavorableTexans vs. WRs
- Week 7,Bye,No game
Matchup rank is PPR points allowed to WRs through Week 4. 1st allows the most, 32nd the fewest.
Should You Start or Roster Brian Thomas?
Thomas is averaging 5.3 PPR points per game through 3 games, with 7 catches for 88 yards and 0 TD on 13 targets. That ranks WR77, which makes him a bench stash in most leagues.
His yards per target (6.8) is in the 37th percentile among WRs, the best of his efficiency marks; his target share (16.9%) is the weakest, in the 13th. His quarterback has been Trevor Lawrence.
His best week was WR52 in Week 2 at the Broncos (7.0 points); his worst, WR106 in Week 3 against the Patriots (1.8). Two favorable matchups are coming: the Texans (5th vs. WRs) in Week 6 and the Colts (9th vs. WRs) in Week 8.
For the season-long call, whether to hold, trade or start him, check where Thomas ranks among all WRs in Redraft Command.
What's Driving His Production
Percentile vs. every WR with at least 12 targets in 2026. The line marks the league median.
Target share
16.9%13th percentile, near the bottom
Yards per target
6.837th percentile, below average
Catch rate
53.8%26th percentile, below average
Fantasy points per target
1.2221st percentile, below average
Brian Thomas 2026 Game Log
| Wk | Opp | Result | FPTS | Finish |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs Browns | W 34–10 | 7.0 | WR58 |
| 2 | @ Broncos | L 13–20 | 7.0 | WR52 |
| 3 | vs Patriots | W 35–6 | 1.8 | WR106 |
| Total | 2–1 | 15.8 | WR77 |
Career Fantasy Stats by Season
| Season | Team | GP | Tgt | Rec | Rec yds | Rec TD | FPTS | PPG | Finish |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | JAX | 3 | 13 | 7 | 88 | 0 | 15.8 | 5.3 | — |
| 2025 | JAX | 14 | 91 | 48 | 707 | 2 | 138.8 | 9.9 | WR42 |
| 2024 | JAX | 17 | 133 | 87 | 1,282 | 10 | 284.0 | 16.7 | WR4 |
| Career | 34 | 237 | 142 | 2,077 | 12 | 438.6 | 12.9 |
Rest-of-Season Outlook and Availability
Outlook
Much of that collapse is fixable. A 52.7% catch rate and 10 drops on 58 catchable balls (11% drop rate, up from 5. Behind him on the depth chart: Josh Cameron. Full outlook
Injury status
Active, no designation
He has not missed a game this season. Career games missed to injury: 3. Injury history
- 2025headPlayed through
- 2025ankle3 games
- 2025shoulderPlayed through
- 2025wristPlayed through
WRs like Brian Thomas
Brian Thomas Fantasy Football FAQ
Should I start Brian Thomas in Week 4?
Brian Thomas is depth in most leagues for Week 4 at the Bengals, as the WR77 in PPR total points this season (5.3 a game). The Bengals rank 21st in PPR points allowed to WRs, a neutral matchup. Get the start/sit call for Thomas.
How many fantasy points is Brian Thomas averaging in 2026?
Brian Thomas is averaging 5.3 PPR fantasy points per game in 2026, 15.8 points across 3 games. His last game produced 1.8 points.
Where does Brian Thomas rank in fantasy football in 2026?
Brian Thomas ranks WR77 in PPR total points in 2026, through 3 games. That makes him depth in most leagues. View his complete season statistics.
Is Brian Thomas worth rostering in fantasy football?
Mostly not: Brian Thomas is waiver-wire material in 12-team PPR, 10-team PPR and half-PPR leagues. He is rostered in 75% of Sleeper leagues.
What is Brian Thomas's fantasy football role?
Brian Thomas is the Jaguars' starting WR, with Josh Cameron behind him. He is averaging 4.3 targets a game, on 42% of the offensive snaps in 2026.
What are Brian Thomas's upcoming fantasy football matchups?
Brian Thomas's next three games are Week 4 at the Bengals (21st in PPR points allowed to WRs, neutral), Week 5 vs. the Eagles (12th in PPR points allowed to WRs, neutral) and Week 6 vs. the Texans (5th in PPR points allowed to WRs, favorable). One of them is favorable by points allowed to the position.
How consistent has Brian Thomas been in fantasy football this season?
Brian Thomas has finished as a top-12 WR in 0 of his 3 games this season and outside the top 36 in 3. His weekly scoring has a standard deviation of 3.0 points around his 5.3-point average.
What is Brian Thomas's fantasy floor and ceiling?
This season Brian Thomas's floor has been 1.8 PPR points (Week 3, WR106) and his ceiling 7.0 (Week 2, WR52). His median week has been 7.0 points. See Thomas's full game log.
Brian Thomas 2026 Stats
2026 through Week 4 · Jacksonville JaguarsHe hasn't scored a touchdown yet, so all of his fantasy production has come from volume.
Receiving
- Rec
- 7
- Yards
- 88
- TD
- 0
- Targets
- 13
12.6 Y/R53.8% Catch %
Fantasy (PPR)
- Points
- 15.8
- Pos rank
- WR77
7.0 Best Week 1 vs CLE1.8 Worst Week 3 vs NE
Advanced Receiving Stats
Thomas is a downfield target (14.3 yards per target last season), with a 15.8% target share this season.
| Stat | 2026 Thru Wk 4 | 2025 13 games | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Efficiency | ||||
| Yards per target | 7.3 | 38th | 7.7 | 49th |
| Fantasy points per target | 0.73 | 25th | 1.00 | 39th |
| Yards per route run | — | — | 1.60 | 50th |
| YAC per reception | 1.0 | 7th | 3.3 | 35th |
| Catch rate | 58.3% | 37th | 52.3% | 14th |
| Usage | ||||
| Target share | 15.8% | 47th | 16.6% | 66th |
| Snap share | 42.0% | 10th | 79.2% | 75th |
| Air-yards share | 18.0% | 40th | 26.8% | 76th |
| Red-zone targets | 0 | 0th | 7 | 40th |
| Route participation | — | — | 72.7% | 69th |
| Style | ||||
| Average depth of target | 10.8 | 44th | 14.3 | 92nd |
Percentiles: 2026 through Week 4 among 102 qualified WRs · 2025 (13 games, weeks 1–17) among 116. Grey bars describe style, not quality.
Profile: Thomas gets few red-zone targets and plays a part-time share of snaps.
For fantasy: his floor is his volume, 4.3 targets a game this season; efficiency decides how much of it becomes points.
Fantasy Points per Game, Every Season
5.3
Fantasy PPG
4.3
Targets/g
29
Rec yds/g
Brian Thomas career stats by season
| Receiving | Rushing | Fantasy | |||||||
| Season | GP | Tgt | Rec | Rec yds | Rec TD | Rush yds | FPTS | PPG | Finish |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026to date | 3 | 13 | 7 | 88 | 0 | 0 | 15.8 | 5.3 | — |
| 2025 | 14 | 91 | 48 | 707 | 2 | 21 | 138.8 | 9.9 | WR42 |
| 2024 | 17 | 133 | 87 | 1,282 | 10 | 48 | 284.0 | 16.7 | WR4 |
| Career | 34 | 237 | 142 | 2,077 | 12 | 69 | 438.6 | 12.9 | — |
What His Career Numbers Say
12.9
Career PPG
34 games over 3 seasons
92%
Availability
Share of team games he played
38%
Top-24 weeks
Share of his games as a top-24 WR
7.5
Weekly swing
Standard deviation, moderate
By the StatChasers staff. Updated .
Thomas has averaged 12.9 fantasy points per game over 34 games and 3 seasons, with one top-12 finish (2024). The average hides two careers: 13.6 a game in his two seasons with a starter's volume, 5.3 in the one without it.
So far in 2026 he is at 5.3 per game, down 4.6 from 2025. Volume is the driver: 4.3 targets a game against 6.5. His quarterback this season has been Trevor Lawrence.
Career numbers describe the past; for what he is worth from here, see Thomas's rest-of-season rank and trade value in Redraft Command.
Career highs
- 1,282Rec yards2024
- 10Rec TD2024
- 284.0Fantasy pts2024 · WR4
- 2,077Career rec yds2024–2026
WRs like Brian Thomas
Brian Thomas Stats FAQ
How many fantasy points does Brian Thomas have in 2026?
Brian Thomas has 15.8 PPR fantasy points in 2026 through Week 4, 5.3 per game across 3 games. That total ranks WR77 at the position. See how those numbers break down week by week.
How many receiving yards does Brian Thomas have this season?
Brian Thomas has 88 receiving yards in 2026 through Week 4, on 7 catches and 13 targets. His high was 40 yards, in Week 1 against the Browns.
How many receptions does Brian Thomas have this season?
Brian Thomas has 7 receptions in 2026 through Week 4, 2.3 a game, on 13 targets. His high was 3 catches, in Week 1 against the Browns.
How many targets does Brian Thomas have this season?
Brian Thomas has drawn 13 targets in 2026 through Week 4, 4.3 a game, and caught 54% of them. His high was 9 targets, in Week 2 at the Broncos.
How many receiving touchdowns does Brian Thomas have this season?
Brian Thomas has no receiving touchdowns in 2026 through Week 4.
How many receiving yards per game is Brian Thomas averaging?
Brian Thomas is averaging 29.3 receiving yards per game in 2026, 88 yards across 3 games.
How many yards per reception is Brian Thomas averaging?
Brian Thomas is averaging 12.6 yards per reception in 2026, 88 yards on 7 catches.
How many games has Brian Thomas played in 2026?
Brian Thomas has played 3 games in the 2026 season through Week 4.
What were Brian Thomas's stats last season?
In 2025, Brian Thomas caught 48 of 91 targets for 707 yards and 2 touchdowns in 14 games. That was 138.8 PPR points (9.9 per game), a WR42 finish.
What are Brian Thomas's career NFL stats?
Across 3 seasons and 34 games, Brian Thomas has 142 catches for 2,077 yards and 12 touchdowns, for 438.6 PPR fantasy points (12.9 per game).
How many touchdowns does Brian Thomas have in his career?
Brian Thomas has 13 touchdowns in his NFL career: 1 rushing and 12 receiving, over 34 games.
How many career receiving yards does Brian Thomas have?
Brian Thomas has 2,077 career receiving yards over 3 seasons, on 142 catches.
Brian Thomas Game Log 2026
Games played
3
FPTS/G (PPR)
5.3
Targets/g
4.3
Rec/g
2.3
Rec yds/g
29.3
Yds/rec
12.6
Across 3 games in 2026, Brian Thomas has averaged 4.3 targets, 2.3 receptions and 5.3 PPR fantasy points per game. Brian Thomas has finished as a top-12 WR in 0 of those weeks, and inside the top 24 in 0. The best week was Week 1 against CLE (7.0 points); the lowest was Week 3 against NE (1.8).
| Wk | Opp | Result | FPTS | TGT | REC | REC YDS | REC TD | YPR | Finish |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CLE12th | W 34-10 | 7.0 | 3 | 3 | 40 | 0 | 13.3 | WR58 |
Week 1 · CLE · W 34-10 · 7.0 pts
How the 7.0 points scored (PPR)
| |||||||||
| 2 | DEN17th | L 13-20 | 7.0 | 9 | 3 | 40 | 0 | 13.3 | WR52 |
Week 2 · DEN · L 13-20 · 7.0 pts
How the 7.0 points scored (PPR)
| |||||||||
| 3 | NE7th | W 35-6 | 1.8 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 0 | 8.0 | WR106 |
Week 3 · NE · W 35-6 · 1.8 pts
How the 1.8 points scored (PPR)
| |||||||||
Opponent rank is fantasy points allowed to WRs across 2026: 1st allows the most, 32nd the fewest.
Where His Weeks Finished
All three weeks outside the top 36. For a wide receiver ranked WR77 overall, the spread matters more than the average: you get a WR52 ceiling and a waiver-wire floor.
Game-by-Game Breakdown
Held in check by New England
1/1, 8 yds.
A clean, mistake-free game that landed well below his season average.
Shut down by Denver
3/9, 40 yds.
Just 4.4 yards per target. A clean, mistake-free game that landed well above his season average.
Held in check by Cleveland
3/3, 40 yds.
A clean, mistake-free game that landed well above his season average.
Fantasy Points By Week
- Weekly points
- Season average (5.3)
Upcoming Matchups
Week 4
Next
@CINAway at Cincinnati Bengals
21stvs WR
Neutral matchup
Sun · Oct 4 · 1:00 PM ET
View matchup — Jacksonville Jaguars vs Cincinnati Bengals→Week 5
vsPHIHome vs Philadelphia Eagles
12thvs WR
Neutral matchup
Sun · Oct 11 · 9:30 AM ET
View matchup — Jacksonville Jaguars vs Philadelphia Eagles→Week 6
vsHOUHome vs Houston Texans
5thvs WR
Favorable matchup
Sun · Oct 18 · 9:30 AM ET
View matchup — Jacksonville Jaguars vs Houston Texans→Week 8
vsINDHome vs Indianapolis Colts
9thvs WR
Favorable matchup
Sun · Nov 1 · 1:00 PM ET
View matchup — Jacksonville Jaguars vs Indianapolis Colts→
Matchup rank is fantasy points allowed to WRs, in PPR: 1st allows the most, 32nd the fewest. Measured through Week 4.
Brian Thomas Game Log 2025
Games played
14
FPTS/G (PPR)
9.9
Targets/g
6.5
Rec/g
3.4
Rec yds/g
50.5
Yds/rec
14.7
Across 14 games in 2025, Brian Thomas has averaged 6.5 targets, 3.4 receptions and 9.9 PPR fantasy points per game. Brian Thomas has finished as a top-12 WR in 1 of those weeks, and inside the top 24 in 3. The best week was Week 6 against SEA (23.0 points); the lowest was Week 16 against DEN (3.8).
| Wk | Opp | Result | FPTS | TGT | REC | REC YDS | REC TD | YPR | CAR | RUSH YDS | RUSH TD | Finish |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CAR27th | W 26-10 | 9.0 | 7 | 1 | 11 | 0 | 11.0 | 1 | 9 | 1 | WR42 |
Week 1 · CAR · W 26-10 · 9.0 pts
How the 9.0 points scored (PPR)
| ||||||||||||
| 2 | CIN30th | L 27-31 | 8.9 | 12 | 4 | 49 | 0 | 12.3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | WR56 |
Week 2 · CIN · L 27-31 · 8.9 pts
How the 8.9 points scored (PPR)
| ||||||||||||
| 3 | HOU32nd | W 17-10 | 7.5 | 6 | 2 | 55 | 0 | 27.5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | WR50 |
Week 3 · HOU · W 17-10 · 7.5 pts
How the 7.5 points scored (PPR)
| ||||||||||||
| 4 | SF9th | W 26-21 | 10.6 | 7 | 5 | 49 | 0 | 9.8 | 1 | 7 | 0 | WR31 |
Week 4 · SF · W 26-21 · 10.6 pts
How the 10.6 points scored (PPR)
| ||||||||||||
| 5 | KC29th | W 31-28 | 12.0 | 6 | 4 | 80 | 0 | 20.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | WR31 |
Week 5 · KC · W 31-28 · 12.0 pts
How the 12.0 points scored (PPR)
| ||||||||||||
| 6 | SEA26th | L 12-20 | 23.0 | 10 | 8 | 90 | 1 | 11.3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | WR6 |
Week 6 · SEA · L 12-20 · 23.0 pts
How the 23.0 points scored (PPR)
| ||||||||||||
| 7 | LAR5th | L 7-35 | 6.1 | 7 | 3 | 31 | 0 | 10.3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | WR60 |
Week 7 · LAR · L 7-35 · 6.1 pts
How the 6.1 points scored (PPR)
| ||||||||||||
| 8 | Bye week | |||||||||||
| 9 | LV14th | W 30-29 | 8.5 | 5 | 3 | 55 | 0 | 18.3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | WR46 |
Week 9 · LV · W 30-29 · 8.5 pts
How the 8.5 points scored (PPR)
| ||||||||||||
| 10 | Did not play | |||||||||||
| 11 | Did not play | |||||||||||
| 12 | Did not play | |||||||||||
| 13 | TEN12th | W 25-3 | 4.8 | 3 | 2 | 28 | 0 | 14.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | WR67 |
Week 13 · TEN · W 25-3 · 4.8 pts
How the 4.8 points scored (PPR)
| ||||||||||||
| 14 | IND6th | W 36-19 | 11.7 | 6 | 3 | 87 | 0 | 29.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | WR23 |
Week 14 · IND · W 36-19 · 11.7 pts
How the 11.7 points scored (PPR)
| ||||||||||||
| 15 | NYJ17th | W 48-20 | 17.1 | 7 | 4 | 66 | 1 | 16.5 | 1 | 5 | 0 | WR16 |
Week 15 · NYJ · W 48-20 · 17.1 pts
How the 17.1 points scored (PPR)
| ||||||||||||
| 16 | DEN25th | W 34-20 | 3.8 | 3 | 2 | 18 | 0 | 9.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | WR84 |
Week 16 · DEN · W 34-20 · 3.8 pts
How the 3.8 points scored (PPR)
| ||||||||||||
| 17 | IND6th | W 23-17 | 7.9 | 7 | 4 | 39 | 0 | 9.8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | WR47 |
Week 17 · IND · W 23-17 · 7.9 pts
How the 7.9 points scored (PPR)
| ||||||||||||
| 18 | TEN12th | W 41-7 | 7.9 | 5 | 3 | 49 | 0 | 16.3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | WR38 |
Week 18 · TEN · W 41-7 · 7.9 pts
How the 7.9 points scored (PPR)
| ||||||||||||
Opponent rank is fantasy points allowed to WRs across 2025: 1st allows the most, 32nd the fewest.
Where His Weeks Finished
Three WR1 weeks, two WR2 weeks and nine busts. For a wide receiver who finished WR47 overall, the spread mattered more than the average: you got a top-24 ceiling and a waiver-wire floor.
Wk 1 WR42 · Wk 2 WR56 · Wk 3 WR50 · Wk 4 WR31 · Wk 5 WR31 · Wk 6 WR6 · Wk 7 WR60 · Wk 9 WR46 · Wk 13 WR67 · Wk 14 WR23 · Wk 15 WR16 · Wk 16 WR84 · Wk 17 WR47 · Wk 18 WR38
Game-by-Game Breakdown
Season summary, updated .
Held in check by Tennessee
3/5, 49 yds.
A clean, mistake-free game that landed well below his season average.
Held in check by Indianapolis
4/7, 39 yds.
Just 5.6 yards per target. A clean, mistake-free game that landed well below his season average.
Held in check by Denver
2/3, 18 yds.
Just 6.0 yards per target. A clean, mistake-free game that landed well below his season average.
WR1 week vs. the Jets
4/7, 66 yds, 1 TD. 1 carry, 5 rush yds.
A clean, mistake-free game that landed well above his season average.
WR1 week vs. Indianapolis
3/6, 87 yds.
A clean, mistake-free game that landed well above his season average.
Held in check by Tennessee
2/3, 28 yds.
A clean, mistake-free game that landed well below his season average.
Held in check by Las Vegas
3/5, 55 yds.
A clean, mistake-free game that landed well below his season average.
Shut down by the Rams
3/7, 31 yds.
Just 4.4 yards per target. A clean, mistake-free game that landed well below his season average.
WR1 week vs. Seattle
8/10, 90 yds, 1 TD.
A clean, mistake-free game that landed well above his season average.
Efficient in a home win
4/6, 80 yds.
A clean, mistake-free game that landed well above his season average.
Steady in a win at San Francisco
5/7, 49 yds. 1 carry, 7 rush yds.
A clean, mistake-free game that landed right at his season average.
Held in check by Houston
2/6, 55 yds.
A clean, mistake-free game that landed well below his season average.
Shut down by Cincinnati
4/12, 49 yds.
Just 4.1 yards per target. A clean, mistake-free game that landed well below his season average.
Held in check by Carolina
1/7, 11 yds. 1 carry, 9 rush yds.
Just 1.6 yards per target. The touchdown kept it from being a total loss, but this is his floor when the offense can't sustain drives. A clean, mistake-free game that landed right at his season average.
WRs like Brian Thomas
Brian Thomas Game Log FAQ
How did Brian Thomas do in his last game?
Brian Thomas scored 1.8 PPR points in Week 3 against the Patriots, a 35–6 win, a WR106 finish. He caught 1 of 1 target for 8 yards. View his 2026 season totals.
How many fantasy points did Brian Thomas score in his last game?
Brian Thomas scored 1.8 PPR fantasy points in his last game, Week 3 against the Patriots, a WR106 finish for the week. That was 3.5 below his season average of 5.3.
How many receiving yards did Brian Thomas have in his last game?
Brian Thomas had 8 receiving yards on 1 catch in Week 3 against the Patriots, from 1 target.
How many touchdowns did Brian Thomas score in his last game?
Brian Thomas did not score a touchdown in Week 3 against the Patriots; his 1.8 points came from yardage and catches.
How many receptions did Brian Thomas have in his last game?
Brian Thomas caught 1 of 1 target for 8 yards in Week 3 against the Patriots.
What were Brian Thomas's stats in Week 2?
In Week 2 at the Broncos, a 20–13 loss, Brian Thomas caught 3 of 9 targets for 40 yards. That was 7.0 PPR points, a WR52 finish.
What was Brian Thomas's best game this season?
Brian Thomas's best 2026 game was Week 1 against the Browns: 7.0 PPR points, a WR58 finish. He caught 3 of 3 targets for 40 yards.
What was Brian Thomas's worst game this season?
Brian Thomas's lowest-scoring 2026 game was Week 3 against the Patriots: 1.8 PPR points, a WR106 finish. He caught 1 of 1 target for 8 yards.
How many games has Brian Thomas scored a touchdown in this season?
Brian Thomas has scored a touchdown in 0 of his 3 games this season.
Can I see Brian Thomas's game logs from previous seasons?
Yes. The season selector above the game log switches it to Thomas's weekly results from any season from 2024 through 2025.
Brian Thomas Rest-of-Season Outlook
Downfield depth WR for deep leagues only
WR77 through Week 4 · 5.3 PPG · 26.9% air-yds share
Preseason Projection vs. Reality
He finished WR42 last season at 9.9 points per game.
Our Take After Week 4
Through 3 games he's WR77 at 5.3 PPR points per game, against 9.9 over 14 games last season (WR42). He's running behind last season's pace.
Last season he ranked 35th of 142 in target volume (16.6% target share), 29th of 142 in downfield role (26.9% air-yards share) and 53rd of 142 in efficiency (1.63 yards per route run). His points come from his downfield role. Efficiency is the soft spot. Trevor Lawrence is his quarterback.
The main risk is the job itself. He's the listed starter with Josh Cameron next on the depth chart, and a benching or an injury would take his value to zero overnight.
The next favorable matchups are the Texans in Week 6 (5th against WRs) and the Colts in Week 8 (9th against WRs).
Read our preseason outlook (June 2026)
Published June 17, 2026. Kept for reference; the take above replaces it.
The numbers scream regression in both directions. As a rookie, Thomas posted a top-three season: 1,282 yards, 10 scores, a 0.392 EPA per play and 2.58 yards per route on a 25.5% target share. Year two cratered to 707 yards and two touchdowns across 14 games, with EPA falling to 0.189, route productivity halved to 1.63, and target share sliced to 16.6%. The volume evaporated.
Much of that collapse is fixable. A 52.7% catch rate and 10 drops on 58 catchable balls (11% drop rate, up from 5.3%) point to poor ball security and shaky quarterback play rather than lost talent. The downfield profile held firm, 14.45 air yards per target and a 26.9% air-yards share, so the alpha role and field-stretching usage remain intact. At 22 with a proven ceiling, he's a clear buy-low whose price should reflect the down year, not the rookie breakout.
What Drives His Outlook
His 2025 rank among the 142 receivers who played at least six games. Each bar is one receiver, best on the left; his is highlighted.
Target volume
Downfield role
Efficiency
- Average depth of target
- 14.4
- Drop rate
- 11.0%
- Red-zone targets
- 7
- Route participation
- 72.4%
- YAC per reception
- 3.3
What Could Change His Value
Upside
- A soft stretchThe Texans in Week 6 and the Colts in Week 8 are top-10 matchups for WRs.Wk 4 CIN, 21stWk 5 PHI, 12thWk 6 HOU, 5thWk 8 IND, 9th
- Heavy target volume16.6% target share, 35th of 142 WRs in 2025.
- Downfield role26.9% air-yards share, 29th of 142 WRs in 2025.
Risk
- Job securityJosh Cameron is next on the depth chart; a benching or injury hands him the job.
- DropsA 11.0% drop rate in 2025.
WRs like Brian Thomas
Brian Thomas Fantasy Outlook FAQ
What is Brian Thomas's fantasy outlook for the rest of the 2026 season?
Brian Thomas projects as a downfield depth WR for deep leagues only for the rest of the 2026 season: waiver-wire material in 12-team PPR, 10-team PPR and half-PPR leagues. His downfield role (26.9% air-yards share, 29th of 142 WRs in 2025) supports that. His efficiency (1.63 yards per route run, 53rd of 142 WRs in 2025) holds him back. See his live rank in Redraft Command.
What is Brian Thomas's rest-of-season fantasy ranking?
Brian Thomas is the WR77 in PPR points per game through Week 4. That puts him in depth WR territory, waiver-wire material in 10-team PPR leagues.
What is Brian Thomas's projected role going forward?
Brian Thomas is the listed starting WR, with Josh Cameron next on the depth chart. Nothing on the chart threatens the job, so the role is his to lose on performance.
Will Brian Thomas get more targets?
Brian Thomas's targets are holding steady: 5.0 a game over his last two games against 4.3 for the season. His share of the offense is what his fantasy value rides on.
What is Brian Thomas's fantasy football upside?
Brian Thomas's upside: his ceiling this season is 7.0 PPR points (Week 1, WR58), his downfield role (26.9% air-yards share, 29th of 142 WRs in 2025) gives him a weekly floor to build on and the Texans in Week 6 and the Colts in Week 8 are top-10 matchups for WRs.
What could hurt Brian Thomas's fantasy value?
Brian Thomas's risks: Josh Cameron is next on the depth chart if he is benched or hurt and his efficiency (1.63 yards per route run, 53rd of 142 WRs in 2025) limits his scoring. See his injury status and history.
How difficult is Brian Thomas's remaining fantasy schedule?
Favorable: of his next seven games, 4 come against a top-10 matchup for WRs and 0 against one of the stingiest defenses, by PPR points allowed to the position.
Brian Thomas Injury Update & History
No injury designation for Week 4 at the Bengals. Thomas has not missed a game this season.
Practice participation
Week 4 reports: Wed, Thu, FriWhat it means: Thomas was on the Week 2 report, was limited on Friday and played.
| Week | Injury | Wed | Thu | Fri | Game status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Week 4@ CIN, Oct 4 | — | — | — | Oct 2 | Due Fri |
| Week 2@ DEN, Sep 20 | — | — | — | Limited | Played |
Injury History at a Glance
Five logged injuries in three seasons. Most of his lost time came from a high ankle sprain in 2025; nothing else has cost him a game.
Durability
95/100
Games missed
Injuries
Longest absence
High ankle sprain · 2025
Where He's Been Hurt
Marker size shows games missed. A dashed ring means he played through it.
| Body part | Injuries | Games missed |
|---|---|---|
| Ankle | 1 | 3 |
| Chest / ribs | 1 | 0 |
| Concussion | 1 | 0 |
| Shoulder | 1 | 0 |
| Wrist | 1 | 0 |
| Total | 5 | 3 |
Injury risk profile: Moderate
- No body part injured twice
- Concussion evaluation in 2025, 3 games missed
- 3 games in 3 seasons
- 5 injuries spread across 5 body parts
Brian Thomas Injury History
Every logged injury, most recent first. Games missed are regular-season games.
- 2026
Healthy 0 games missed
No injury has cost Thomas a game this season.
- 2025
Concussion evaluation Played through
Week 18 · with the Jaguars
Exited the final regular season game for a concussion evaluation and was cleared to return.
- 2025
High Ankle Sprain 3 games
Week 9 · with the Jaguars
Suffered a high ankle sprain against the Las Vegas Raiders in Week 9, forcing him to miss three games.
- 2025
Shoulder Played through
Week 9 · with the Jaguars
Entered Week 9 with a shoulder issue that had limited him in practice.
- 2025
Wrist Played through
Week 2 · with the Jaguars
Was nursing a wrist injury at the beginning of the season and played through the issue.
- 2024
Chest Played through
Week 9 · with the Jaguars
Was listed as questionable for Week 9 with a chest injury, believed to be cartilage damage, after falling on a football.
If Thomas Misses Time
Next man up: Josh Cameron
Josh Cameron is next on the Jaguars depth chart at wide receiver. The targets would likely spread across the offense rather than pass to one player, so he's a waiver add only if Thomas misses time.
Who else it affects
His absence would move work to the rest of the offense, and Trevor Lawrence would lose one of his main options.
WRs like Brian Thomas
Brian Thomas Injury FAQ
Is Brian Thomas injured?
No. As of October 2, 2026, Brian Thomas is active with no injury designation. He has played every game in 2026.
Is Brian Thomas playing this week?
Brian Thomas has no injury designation for Week 4 at the Bengals on Sunday, October 4, so he is on track to play. Thomas was on the Week 2 report, was limited on Friday and played. Should you start him?
Has Brian Thomas missed any games this season?
No. Brian Thomas has played in every Jaguars game in 2026, 3 games so far.
What is Brian Thomas's injury history?
Brian Thomas has 5 logged NFL injuries, which have cost him 3 games in all: 3 for a high ankle sprain in 2025. No body part has been injured twice.
What was Brian Thomas's most recent injury?
Brian Thomas's most recent logged injury was a concussion evaluation in Week 18 of 2025. He played through it and missed no regular-season games.
Does Brian Thomas have any recurring injuries?
No. Brian Thomas's five logged injuries were to five different body parts, so the record shows no recurring pattern.
What was Brian Thomas's worst injury?
Brian Thomas's longest absence came from a high ankle sprain in 2025, which cost him 3 games, all of the games he has missed to injury.
Latest Brian Thomas News & Updates
Thomas struggles vs. New England
Game recapStatChasers box score
1 REC, 8 YDS (1 TGT)
1.8 fantasy points · WR106
Thomas caught 1 of 1 targets for 8 yards in the 35–6 win vs. New England. That was 4% of the team's targets.
Season Timeline
Every update this season, grouped by week, newest first.
Week 2Sep 20L 13–20 @ DEN
Fantasy impact: Neutral. Quiet stat line in Week 2 loss (opens in new tab)
AnalysisDynasty Command (opens in new tab)
Managed only a minor stat line in the Week 2 defeat.
Fantasy take: He played in Week 2: 7.0 PPR points, a WR52 finish.
Read full report → (opens in new tab)Fantasy impact: Positive. Thomas struggles at Denver
7.0 fantasy points · WR52 · 1.7 above his 5.3 average
Thomas caught 3 of 9 targets for 40 yards in the 20–13 loss at Denver. That was 31% of the team's targets.
Game log →Fantasy impact: Neutral. Cleared for Week 2 action (opens in new tab)
StatusDynasty Command (opens in new tab)
Available to play in Week 2 after clearing to go.
Fantasy take: He played in Week 2: 7.0 PPR points, a WR52 finish.
Read full report → (opens in new tab)Fantasy impact: Neutral. Stays limited Thursday (opens in new tab)
PracticeDynasty Command (opens in new tab)
Remains limited in practice Thursday; monitor his status for game day.
Fantasy take: He played in Week 2: 7.0 PPR points, a WR52 finish.
Read full report → (opens in new tab)Fantasy impact: Neutral. Limited practice Wednesday (opens in new tab)
PracticeDynasty Command (opens in new tab)
Opened the week with a limited practice session.
Fantasy take: He played in Week 2: 7.0 PPR points, a WR52 finish.
Read full report → (opens in new tab)Fantasy impact: Neutral. Will be limited in practice this week (opens in new tab)
PracticeDynasty Command (opens in new tab)
Expect capped practice reps this week, worth monitoring his status ahead of game day.
Fantasy take: He played in Week 2: 7.0 PPR points, a WR52 finish.
Read full report → (opens in new tab)Week 1Sep 13W 34–10 vs CLE
Fantasy impact: Positive. Thomas struggles vs. Cleveland
7.0 fantasy points · WR58 · 1.7 above his 5.3 average
Thomas caught 3 of 3 targets for 40 yards in the 34–10 win vs. Cleveland. That was 14% of the team's targets.
Game log →Fantasy impact: Neutral. Checks back into Sunday's contest (opens in new tab)
AnalysisDynasty Command (opens in new tab)
Returned to Sunday's game after exiting, back in action.
Fantasy take: He played in Week 1: 7.0 PPR points, a WR58 finish.
Read full report → (opens in new tab)Fantasy impact: Neutral. Managing shoulder injury (opens in new tab)
StatusDynasty Command (opens in new tab)
Playing through a shoulder injury that bears monitoring before kickoff.
Fantasy take: He played in Week 1: 7.0 PPR points, a WR58 finish.
Read full report → (opens in new tab)PreseasonSeptember
Fantasy impact: Neutral. Practices fully Tuesday (opens in new tab)
StatusDynasty Command (opens in new tab)
Full practice Tuesday signals good health heading into the week.
Fantasy take: A preseason health note; his Week 1 availability is what matters for fantasy.
Read full report → (opens in new tab)Fantasy impact: Neutral. Practicing Wednesday, not taking contact (opens in new tab)
PracticeDynasty Command (opens in new tab)
Back at practice Wednesday but held out of contact drills.
Fantasy take: Practice and camp notes are context; his usage in games is what moves his value.
Read full report → (opens in new tab)Fantasy impact: Neutral. Should be fine after shoulder scare (opens in new tab)
StatusDynasty Command (opens in new tab)
Avoided serious shoulder injury and is expected to be fine.
Fantasy take: A preseason health note; his Week 1 availability is what matters for fantasy.
Read full report → (opens in new tab)
No updates of this type yet this season.
Jaguars Teammates News
Updates on Thomas's quarterback and target competition.
- Jakobi Meyers: Good to go for Week 4 (opens in new tab)Jakobi Meyers, WR. 11 targets this season. Via Dynasty CommandNeutral
- Jakobi Meyers: Finds paydirt in blowout win (opens in new tab)Jakobi Meyers, WR. 11 targets this season. Via Dynasty CommandNeutral
- Jakobi Meyers: Limited in Wednesday's practice (opens in new tab)Jakobi Meyers, WR. 11 targets this season. Via Dynasty CommandNeutral
- Trevor Lawrence: Big downturn in Week 2 loss (opens in new tab)Trevor Lawrence, QB. 81 pass attempts this season. Via Dynasty CommandNeutral
- Jakobi Meyers: Ready for Week 2 (opens in new tab)Jakobi Meyers, WR. 11 targets this season. Via Dynasty CommandNeutral
- Jakobi Meyers: Remains limited in practice (opens in new tab)Jakobi Meyers, WR. 11 targets this season. Via Dynasty CommandNeutral
Around the Jaguars
WRs like Brian Thomas
Brian Thomas News FAQ
What is the latest news on Brian Thomas?
The latest Thomas update, from September 27: Thomas struggles vs. New England. Thomas caught 1 of 1 targets for 8 yards in the 35–6 win vs. New England. That was 4% of the team's targets.
How does the latest Brian Thomas news affect his fantasy value?
Negatively: he scored 1.8 fantasy points, a WR106 finish, 3.5 below his 5.3 average. See the updated fantasy outlook.
Brian Thomas Bio
Brian Thomas is a wide receiver for the Jacksonville Jaguars, where he wears No. 7. Born October 8, 2002, in Walker, LA, he attended Walker and played college football at LSU.
The Jacksonville Jaguars selected Thomas in round 1, pick 23, of the 2024 NFL Draft.
In 34 regular-season games since 2024, he has caught 142 passes for 2,077 yards and 12 touchdowns.
Career Timeline
1 stop with 1 team in 3 seasons. Each block's width is the time he spent there.
What happened at each stop
Jacksonville Jaguars Current team2024–present
Selected in round 1, pick 23, of the 2024 NFL Draft. He was a starter, playing at least half the offensive snaps in 32 of 34 games.
College: LSU
Transactions
- SignedSigned with the Jacksonville Jaguars.
- DraftedSelected by the Jacksonville Jaguars in round 1, pick 23.
WRs like Brian Thomas
About Brian Thomas: Bio FAQ
How old is Brian Thomas?
Brian Thomas is 23 years old. He was born on October 8, 2002. 2026 is his 3rd NFL season.
How tall is Brian Thomas?
Brian Thomas is 6 feet 2 inches tall (6'2"), listed at 209 pounds, and plays wide receiver for the Jacksonville Jaguars.
How much does Brian Thomas weigh?
Brian Thomas weighs 209 pounds, his listed weight on the Jacksonville Jaguars roster. He is listed at 6'2".
What number does Brian Thomas wear?
Brian Thomas wears number 7 for the Jacksonville Jaguars. He plays wide receiver.
What position does Brian Thomas play?
Brian Thomas plays wide receiver for the Jacksonville Jaguars, wearing number 7. 2026 is his 3rd season in the NFL.
What team does Brian Thomas play for?
Brian Thomas plays for the Jacksonville Jaguars as a wide receiver. He has been with the Jaguars since 2024.
Where did Brian Thomas go to college?
Brian Thomas played college football at LSU, after attending Walker (LA).
Where is Brian Thomas from?
Brian Thomas went to high school in Louisiana, at Walker, before playing college football at LSU.
When is Brian Thomas's birthday?
Brian Thomas's birthday is October 8. He was born on October 8, 2002 and is 23 years old.
How long has Brian Thomas been in the NFL?
2026 is Brian Thomas's 3rd NFL season; he entered the league in 2024. View his career statistics.
What teams has Brian Thomas played for?
Brian Thomas has played for the Jacksonville Jaguars. View his career statistics.
What year did Brian Thomas enter the NFL?
Brian Thomas entered the NFL in 2024. 2026 is his 3rd season.
