Jordan Addison 2026 fantasy outlook and rest-of-season projection
- Age
- 24
- Height / weight
- 5'11", 179 lb
- Experience
- 4th season
- Drafted
- 2023 R1, #23
2026 Season
- PPR PPG
- 8.0
- Pos rank
- WR50
- Rostered
- 83%
Week 4 vs. Dolphins, Sun Oct 4, 4:05 PM ET 28th vs. WRs, tough
Jordan Addison Rest-of-Season Outlook
Downfield depth WR for deep leagues only
Preseason Projection vs. Reality
He finished WR45 last season at 9.7 points per game.
Our Take After Week 4
Through 3 games he's WR50 at 8.0 PPR points per game, against 9.7 over 14 games last season (WR45). He's running behind last season's pace.
Last season he ranked 32nd of 142 in target volume (16.9% target share), 25th of 142 in downfield role (28.8% air-yards share) and 71st of 142 in efficiency (1.45 yards per route run). His points come from his downfield role. Efficiency is the soft spot. Carson Wentz is his quarterback.
The main risk is the job itself. He's the listed starter with Jeshaun Jones next on the depth chart, and a benching or an injury would take his value to zero overnight.
The next favorable matchups are the Colts in Week 7 (9th against WRs) and the Lions in Week 8 (2nd against WRs).
Read our preseason outlook (June 2026)
Published June 17, 2026. Kept for reference; the take above replaces it.
Addison's 2025 line tells a story of wasted juice: 0.177 EPA per play and a 48.1% success rate on 79 targets, but only 42 catches on a 53.2% catch rate that cratered from 63.6% the year prior. The air-yards profile stayed elite (28.8% air-yards share, 13.71 air yards per target, an 81-yard long), yet 4 interceptions on his throws and six drops gutted the efficiency. A three-game suspension capped him at 14 games and 93.1 fantasy points after he posted 149.5 in 2024.
The bull case is regression in reverse. His 2024 baseline (9 TDs, 19.1% target share, 1.82 yards per route) is the real player, and a quarterback bump back toward competence should restore that downfield connection. He carries red-zone equity (13 red-zone targets, 5 end-zone looks) and a top-tier schedule. Volume is the catch, so treat him as a high-variance WR3 with upside if the passing game stabilizes.
What Drives His Outlook
His 2025 rank among the 142 receivers who played at least six games. Each bar is one receiver, best on the left; his is highlighted.
Target volume
Downfield role
Efficiency
- Average depth of target
- 13.7
- Drop rate
- 7.6%
- Red-zone targets
- 13
- Route participation
- 77.5%
- YAC per reception
- 3.3
What Could Change His Value
Upside
- A soft stretchThe Colts in Week 7 and the Lions in Week 8 are top-10 matchups for WRs.Wk 4 MIA, 28thWk 5 NO, 24thWk 7 IND, 9thWk 8 DET, 2nd
- Heavy target volume16.9% target share, 32nd of 142 WRs in 2025.
- Downfield role28.8% air-yards share, 25th of 142 WRs in 2025.
Risk
- Job securityJeshaun Jones is next on the depth chart; a benching or injury hands him the job.
- Tough matchupsThe Dolphins in Week 4 (28th) and the Saints in Week 5 (24th) are among the stingiest defenses against WRs.
- DropsA 7.6% drop rate in 2025.
All Jordan Addison stats & analysis
WRs like Jordan Addison
Jordan Addison Fantasy Outlook FAQ
What is Jordan Addison's fantasy outlook for the rest of the 2026 season?
Jordan Addison projects as a downfield depth WR for deep leagues only for the rest of the 2026 season: waiver-wire material in 12-team PPR, 10-team PPR and half-PPR leagues. His downfield role (28.8% air-yards share, 25th of 142 WRs in 2025) supports that. His efficiency (1.45 yards per route run, 71st of 142 WRs in 2025) holds him back. See his live rank in Redraft Command.
What is Jordan Addison's rest-of-season fantasy ranking?
Jordan Addison is the WR50 in PPR points per game through Week 4. That puts him in depth WR territory, waiver-wire material in 10-team PPR leagues.
What is Jordan Addison's projected role going forward?
Jordan Addison is the listed starting WR, with Jeshaun Jones next on the depth chart. Nothing on the chart threatens the job, so the role is his to lose on performance.
Will Jordan Addison get more targets?
Jordan Addison's targets are trending up: 7.0 a game over his last two games against 5.3 for the season. His share of the offense is what his fantasy value rides on.
What is Jordan Addison's fantasy football upside?
Jordan Addison's upside: his ceiling this season is 20.0 PPR points (Week 3, WR12), his downfield role (28.8% air-yards share, 25th of 142 WRs in 2025) gives him a weekly floor to build on and the Colts in Week 7 and the Lions in Week 8 are top-10 matchups for WRs.
What could hurt Jordan Addison's fantasy value?
Jordan Addison's risks: Jeshaun Jones is next on the depth chart if he is benched or hurt, his efficiency (1.45 yards per route run, 71st of 142 WRs in 2025) limits his scoring and the Dolphins in Week 4 and the Saints in Week 5 are tough matchups. See his injury status and history.
How difficult is Jordan Addison's remaining fantasy schedule?
Favorable: of his next seven games, 4 come against a top-10 matchup for WRs and 3 against one of the stingiest defenses, by PPR points allowed to the position.