Keon Coleman 2026 fantasy outlook and rest-of-season projection
- Age
- 23
- Height / weight
- 6'3", 213 lb
- Experience
- 3rd season
- Drafted
- 2024 R2, #33
2026 Season
- PPR PPG
- 6.0
- Pos rank
- WR70
- Rostered
- 16%
Week 4 vs. Patriots, Sun Oct 4, 1:00 PM ET 15th vs. WRs, neutral
Keon Coleman Rest-of-Season Outlook
depth WR for deep leagues only
Preseason Projection vs. Reality
He finished WR60 last season at 7.9 points per game.
Our Take After Week 4
Through 3 games he's WR70 at 6.0 PPR points per game, against 7.9 over 13 games last season (WR60). He's running behind last season's pace.
Last season he ranked 56th of 142 in target volume (12.3% target share), 55th of 142 in downfield role (18.2% air-yards share) and 76th of 142 in efficiency (1.40 yards per route run). Efficiency is the soft spot. Josh Allen is his quarterback.
The main risk is the job itself. He's the listed starter with Joshua Palmer next on the depth chart, and a benching or an injury would take his value to zero overnight.
The next favorable matchup is the Ravens in Week 8 (6th against WRs).
Read our preseason outlook (June 2026)
Published June 16, 2026. Kept for reference; the take above replaces it.
Year two went sideways. Across 12 games Coleman commanded just a 12.3% target share on a 0.205 targets-per-route mark, turning 59 looks into 38 grabs for 404 yards and four scores. His 1.4 yards per route run slipped from 1.84 as a rookie, and the explosive element vanished: after notching five catches of 50-plus yards in 2024, he managed zero last season with a 17.3 air-yards-per-reception drop. The efficiency wasn't all bad (a 59.3% success rate, 0.224 EPA per play), but a 64.4% catch rate and 1.4 WOPR scream complementary role.
Now the runway shrinks further. Buffalo imported a proven veteran to occupy the same intermediate areas Coleman lived in, squeezing an already thin target tree. He's drifting toward pick 228 with WR4/WR5 projections, and nothing in the usage suggests a leap. Treat him as a late-round dart only if the depth chart clears.
What Drives His Outlook
His 2025 rank among the 142 receivers who played at least six games. Each bar is one receiver, best on the left; his is highlighted.
Target volume
Downfield role
Efficiency
- Average depth of target
- 11.2
- Drop rate
- 5.1%
- Red-zone targets
- 9
- Route participation
- 53.9%
- YAC per reception
- 2.3
What Could Change His Value
Upside
- A soft spotThe Ravens in Week 8 is a top-10 matchup for WRs.Wk 4 NE, 15thWk 5 LAR, 19thWk 6 LV, 29thWk 8 BAL, 6th
Risk
- Job securityJoshua Palmer is next on the depth chart; a benching or injury hands him the job.
- A tough matchupThe Raiders in Week 6 (29th) is among the stingiest defenses against WRs.
All Keon Coleman stats & analysis
WRs like Keon Coleman
Keon Coleman Fantasy Outlook FAQ
What is Keon Coleman's fantasy outlook for the rest of the 2026 season?
Keon Coleman projects as a depth WR for deep leagues only for the rest of the 2026 season: waiver-wire material in 12-team PPR, 10-team PPR and half-PPR leagues. His efficiency (1.40 yards per route run, 76th of 142 WRs in 2025) holds him back. See his live rank in Redraft Command.
What is Keon Coleman's rest-of-season fantasy ranking?
Keon Coleman is the WR70 in PPR points per game through Week 4. That puts him in depth WR territory, waiver-wire material in 10-team PPR leagues.
What is Keon Coleman's projected role going forward?
Keon Coleman is the listed starting WR, with Joshua Palmer next on the depth chart. Nothing on the chart threatens the job, so the role is his to lose on performance.
Will Keon Coleman get more targets?
Keon Coleman's targets are holding steady: 4.0 a game over his last two games against 3.0 for the season. His share of the offense is what his fantasy value rides on.
What is Keon Coleman's fantasy football upside?
Keon Coleman's upside: his ceiling this season is 12.3 PPR points (Week 2, WR28) and the Ravens in Week 8 is a top-10 matchup for WRs.
What could hurt Keon Coleman's fantasy value?
Keon Coleman's risks: Joshua Palmer is next on the depth chart if he is benched or hurt, his efficiency (1.40 yards per route run, 76th of 142 WRs in 2025) limits his scoring and the Raiders in Week 6 is a tough matchup. See his injury status and history.
How difficult is Keon Coleman's remaining fantasy schedule?
Difficult: of his next seven games, 1 comes against a top-10 matchup for WRs and 2 against one of the stingiest defenses, by PPR points allowed to the position.