Khalil Shakir 2026 fantasy outlook and rest-of-season projection
- Age
- 26
- Height / weight
- 6'0", 190 lb
- Experience
- 5th season
- Drafted
- 2022 R5, #148
2026 Season
- PPR PPG
- 5.8
- Pos rank
- WR71
- Rostered
- 57%
Week 4 vs. Patriots, Sun Oct 4, 1:00 PM ET 15th vs. WRs, neutral
Khalil Shakir Rest-of-Season Outlook
Target-heavy depth WR for deep leagues only
Preseason Projection vs. Reality
He finished WR36 last season at 10.4 points per game.
Our Take After Week 4
Through 3 games he's WR71 at 5.8 PPR points per game, against 10.4 over 16 games last season (WR36). He's running behind last season's pace.
Last season he ranked 22nd of 142 in target volume (19.8% target share), 82nd of 142 in downfield role (9.7% air-yards share) and 26th of 142 in efficiency (2.04 yards per route run). His points come from his target volume. Downfield role is the soft spot. Josh Allen is his quarterback.
The main risk is the job itself. He's the listed starter with Greg Dortch next on the depth chart, and a benching or an injury would take his value to zero overnight.
The next favorable matchup is the Ravens in Week 8 (6th against WRs).
Read our preseason outlook (June 2026)
Published June 16, 2026. Kept for reference; the take above replaces it.
Shakir's 2025 line tells a clear story: 72 catches on 95 targets for 719 yards and four scores across 16 games, a 75.8% catch rate, and a tidy 2.1% drop rate. The underlying marks softened from his 2024 peak, with EPA per play falling from 0.442 to 0.099 and success rate sliding from 57% to 44.2%. His 19.8% target share and 0.27 targets per route held steady, but a 3.67 air-yards-per-target number confirms a short-area role doing most of its damage at 7.51 yards after the catch.
That profile screams dependable possession option, not breakout. D.J. Moore's arrival threatens Shakir's standing as Buffalo's target leader and likely trims his volume closer to five looks a game. With limited downfield and red-zone equity, the ceiling stays modest. Treat him as a steady WR4 with a high floor, drafted around the WR53-54 range, rather than chasing untapped upside.
What Drives His Outlook
His 2025 rank among the 142 receivers who played at least six games. Each bar is one receiver, best on the left; his is highlighted.
Target volume
Downfield role
Efficiency
- Average depth of target
- 3.7
- Drop rate
- 2.1%
- Red-zone targets
- 13
- Route participation
- 65.9%
- YAC per reception
- 7.5
What Could Change His Value
Upside
- A soft spotThe Ravens in Week 8 is a top-10 matchup for WRs.Wk 4 NE, 15thWk 5 LAR, 19thWk 6 LV, 29thWk 8 BAL, 6th
- Heavy target volume19.8% target share, 22nd of 142 WRs in 2025.
- Strong efficiency2.04 yards per route run, 26th of 142 WRs in 2025.
Risk
- Job securityGreg Dortch is next on the depth chart; a benching or injury hands him the job.
- A tough matchupThe Raiders in Week 6 (29th) is among the stingiest defenses against WRs.
All Khalil Shakir stats & analysis
WRs like Khalil Shakir
Khalil Shakir Fantasy Outlook FAQ
What is Khalil Shakir's fantasy outlook for the rest of the 2026 season?
Khalil Shakir projects as a target-heavy depth WR for deep leagues only for the rest of the 2026 season: waiver-wire material in 12-team PPR, 10-team PPR and half-PPR leagues. His target volume (19.8% target share, 22nd of 142 WRs in 2025) supports that. His downfield role (9.7% air-yards share, 82nd of 142 WRs in 2025) holds him back. See his live rank in Redraft Command.
What is Khalil Shakir's rest-of-season fantasy ranking?
Khalil Shakir is the WR71 in PPR points per game through Week 4. That puts him in depth WR territory, waiver-wire material in 10-team PPR leagues.
What is Khalil Shakir's projected role going forward?
Khalil Shakir is the listed starting WR, with Greg Dortch next on the depth chart. Nothing on the chart threatens the job, so the role is his to lose on performance.
Will Khalil Shakir get more targets?
Khalil Shakir's targets are holding steady: 4.5 a game over his last two games against 5.0 for the season. His share of the offense is what his fantasy value rides on.
What is Khalil Shakir's fantasy football upside?
Khalil Shakir's upside: his ceiling this season is 9.0 PPR points (Week 1, WR40), his target volume (19.8% target share, 22nd of 142 WRs in 2025) gives him a weekly floor to build on and the Ravens in Week 8 is a top-10 matchup for WRs.
What could hurt Khalil Shakir's fantasy value?
Khalil Shakir's risks: Greg Dortch is next on the depth chart if he is benched or hurt, his downfield role (9.7% air-yards share, 82nd of 142 WRs in 2025) limits his scoring and the Raiders in Week 6 is a tough matchup. See his injury status and history.
How difficult is Khalil Shakir's remaining fantasy schedule?
Difficult: of his next seven games, 1 comes against a top-10 matchup for WRs and 2 against one of the stingiest defenses, by PPR points allowed to the position.