Michael Pittman 2026 fantasy outlook and rest-of-season projection
- Age
- 28
- Height / weight
- 6'4", 223 lb
- Experience
- 7th season
- Drafted
- 2020 R2, #34
2026 Season
- PPR PPG
- 5.3
- Pos rank
- WR76
- Rostered
- 67%
Week 5 vs. Colts, Sun Oct 11, 1:00 PM ET 9th vs. WRs, favorable
Michael Pittman Rest-of-Season Outlook
Target-heavy depth WR for deep leagues only
Preseason Projection vs. Reality
He finished WR18 last season at 11.9 points per game.
Our Take After Week 4
Through 3 games he's WR76 at 5.3 PPR points per game, against 11.9 over 17 games last season (WR18). He's running behind last season's pace.
Last season he ranked 19th of 142 in target volume (20.9% target share), 46th of 142 in downfield role (20.7% air-yards share) and 61st of 142 in efficiency (1.53 yards per route run). His points come from his target volume. Efficiency is the soft spot. Aaron Rodgers is his quarterback.
The main risk is the job itself. He's the listed starter with Germie Bernard next on the depth chart, and a benching or an injury would take his value to zero overnight.
The next favorable matchup is the Colts in Week 5 (9th against WRs).
Read our preseason outlook (June 2026)
Published June 17, 2026. Kept for reference; the take above replaces it.
Pittman bounced back in 2025, finishing WR29 with 122.4 fantasy points after a down 2024. On an 85.5 percent snap share he ran 512 routes (89.2 percent route rate) and commanded a 20.9 percent target share, converting 111 targets into 80 catches for 784 yards and a career-best 7 touchdowns. The 0.209 EPA per play and 55.9 percent success rate marked a clear efficiency rebound from 2024s 0.02 EPA, though his depth of target stayed modest at 8.17 air yards.
The red flags are a sliding yardage profile (1,152 yards in 2023 down to 784) and a move to Pittsburgh, where target volume and quarterback play are less certain than his Colts peak. Still, a 2020 second-round USC product with a 16.3-game durability record and proven 20-plus percent target shares offers a reliable floor. The touchdown spike may regress, but as a high-volume possession receiver, Pittman is a PPR-leaning WR3 with weekly flex appeal rather than a true difference-maker.
What Drives His Outlook
His 2025 rank among the 142 receivers who played at least six games. Each bar is one receiver, best on the left; his is highlighted.
Target volume
Downfield role
Efficiency
- Average depth of target
- 8.2
- Drop rate
- 5.4%
- Red-zone targets
- 15
- Route participation
- 89.2%
- YAC per reception
- 3.2
What Could Change His Value
Upside
- A soft spotThe Colts in Week 5 is a top-10 matchup for WRs.Wk 5 IND, 9thWk 6 TB, 26thWk 7 NO, 24thWk 8 CLE, 11th
- Heavy target volume20.9% target share, 19th of 142 WRs in 2025.
- Downfield role20.7% air-yards share, 46th of 142 WRs in 2025.
Risk
- Job securityGermie Bernard is next on the depth chart; a benching or injury hands him the job.
- Tough matchupsThe Buccaneers in Week 6 (26th) and the Saints in Week 7 (24th) are among the stingiest defenses against WRs.
All Michael Pittman stats & analysis
WRs like Michael Pittman
Michael Pittman Fantasy Outlook FAQ
What is Michael Pittman's fantasy outlook for the rest of the 2026 season?
Michael Pittman projects as a target-heavy depth WR for deep leagues only for the rest of the 2026 season: waiver-wire material in 12-team PPR, 10-team PPR and half-PPR leagues. His target volume (20.9% target share, 19th of 142 WRs in 2025) supports that. His efficiency (1.53 yards per route run, 61st of 142 WRs in 2025) holds him back. See his live rank in Redraft Command.
What is Michael Pittman's rest-of-season fantasy ranking?
Michael Pittman is the WR76 in PPR points per game through Week 4. That puts him in depth WR territory, waiver-wire material in 10-team PPR leagues.
What is Michael Pittman's projected role going forward?
Michael Pittman is the listed starting WR, with Germie Bernard next on the depth chart. Nothing on the chart threatens the job, so the role is his to lose on performance.
Will Michael Pittman get more targets?
Michael Pittman's targets are holding steady: 4.5 a game over his last two games against 4.0 for the season. His share of the offense is what his fantasy value rides on.
What is Michael Pittman's fantasy football upside?
Michael Pittman's upside: his ceiling this season is 8.8 PPR points (Week 1, WR43), his target volume (20.9% target share, 19th of 142 WRs in 2025) gives him a weekly floor to build on and the Colts in Week 5 is a top-10 matchup for WRs.
What could hurt Michael Pittman's fantasy value?
Michael Pittman's risks: Germie Bernard is next on the depth chart if he is benched or hurt, his efficiency (1.53 yards per route run, 61st of 142 WRs in 2025) limits his scoring and the Buccaneers in Week 6 and the Saints in Week 7 are tough matchups. See his injury status and history.
How difficult is Michael Pittman's remaining fantasy schedule?
Difficult: of his next seven games, 1 comes against a top-10 matchup for WRs and 3 against one of the stingiest defenses, by PPR points allowed to the position.