Rashee Rice 2026 fantasy outlook and rest-of-season projection
- Age
- 26
- Height / weight
- 6'1", 204 lb
- Experience
- 4th season
- Drafted
- 2023 R2, #55
2026 Season
- PPR PPG
- 12.7
- Pos rank
- WR25
- Rostered
- 99%
Week 4 at Raiders, Sun Oct 4, 4:25 PM ET 29th vs. WRs, tough
Rashee Rice Rest-of-Season Outlook
Efficient WR3 with flex weeks
Preseason Projection vs. Reality
He finished WR40 last season at 18.8 points per game.
Our Take After Week 4
Through 3 games he's WR25 at 12.7 PPR points per game, against 18.8 over 8 games last season (WR40). He's running behind last season's pace.
Last season he ranked 45th of 142 in target volume (14.2% target share), 98th of 142 in downfield role (7.5% air-yards share) and 16th of 142 in efficiency (2.32 yards per route run). His points come from his efficiency. Downfield role is the soft spot. Patrick Mahomes is his quarterback.
The main risk is the job itself. He's the listed starter with Cyrus Allen next on the depth chart, and a benching or an injury would take his value to zero overnight.
Read our preseason outlook (June 2026)
Published June 17, 2026. Kept for reference; the take above replaces it.
When healthy, Rice is one of the NFL's most efficient receivers. Across eight 2025 games he posted a 0.192 EPA per play, a 2.32 yards-per-route mark and 7.81 yards after the catch per reception, turning a 14.2 percent target share into 53 catches for 571 yards and five scores (97.1 points despite the missed time). His red-zone gravity is elite, with 18 red-zone and 14 end-zone targets in half a season. That mirrors his 2023 breakout (79-938-7, WR28 in 16 games) and the absurd 0.568 EPA flash over four 2024 games.
The catch is availability: the 2023 second-rounder (Pick 55, SMU) has played just 8, 4 and 16 games the last three years, and any setback would gut the volume that makes him a top-15 ceiling in the Mahomes offense. With a clear path to alpha targets in Kansas City, he is a high-upside WR2 worth a slight discount, a weekly starter when active. Draft a contingency and accept the boom-bust games-played risk.
What Drives His Outlook
His 2025 rank among the 142 receivers who played at least six games. Each bar is one receiver, best on the left; his is highlighted.
Target volume
Downfield role
Efficiency
- Average depth of target
- 4.3
- Drop rate
- 5.1%
- Red-zone targets
- 18
- Route participation
- 39.2%
- YAC per reception
- 7.8
What Could Change His Value
Upside
- The scheduleNone of his next four opponents is a top-10 matchup for WRs.Wk 4 LV, 29thWk 6 LAC, 16thWk 7 SEA, 30thWk 8 DEN, 27th
- Heavy target volume14.2% target share, 45th of 142 WRs in 2025.
- Strong efficiency2.32 yards per route run, 16th of 142 WRs in 2025.
Risk
- Job securityCyrus Allen is next on the depth chart; a benching or injury hands him the job.
- Limited downfield role7.5% air-yards share, 98th of 142 WRs in 2025.
- Tough matchupsThe Raiders in Week 4 (29th) and the Seahawks in Week 7 (30th) are among the stingiest defenses against WRs.
All Rashee Rice stats & analysis
WRs like Rashee Rice
Rashee Rice Fantasy Outlook FAQ
What is Rashee Rice's fantasy outlook for the rest of the 2026 season?
Rashee Rice projects as an efficient WR3 with flex weeks for the rest of the 2026 season: a flex play in 12-team PPR, 10-team PPR and half-PPR leagues. His efficiency (2.32 yards per route run, 16th of 142 WRs in 2025) supports that. His downfield role (7.5% air-yards share, 98th of 142 WRs in 2025) holds him back. See his live rank in Redraft Command.
What is Rashee Rice's rest-of-season fantasy ranking?
Rashee Rice is the WR25 in PPR points per game through Week 4. That puts him in WR3 territory, a flex play in 10-team PPR leagues.
What is Rashee Rice's projected role going forward?
Rashee Rice is the listed starting WR, with Cyrus Allen next on the depth chart. Nothing on the chart threatens the job, so the role is his to lose on performance.
Will Rashee Rice get more targets?
Rashee Rice's targets are trending up: 7.5 a game over his last two games against 5.7 for the season. His share of the offense is what his fantasy value rides on.
What is Rashee Rice's fantasy football upside?
Rashee Rice's upside: his ceiling this season is 15.8 PPR points (Week 3, WR20) and his efficiency (2.32 yards per route run, 16th of 142 WRs in 2025) gives him a weekly floor to build on.
What could hurt Rashee Rice's fantasy value?
Rashee Rice's risks: Cyrus Allen is next on the depth chart if he is benched or hurt, his downfield role (7.5% air-yards share, 98th of 142 WRs in 2025) limits his scoring and the Raiders in Week 4 and the Seahawks in Week 7 are tough matchups. See his injury status and history.
How difficult is Rashee Rice's remaining fantasy schedule?
Difficult: of his next seven games, 2 come against a top-10 matchup for WRs and 3 against one of the stingiest defenses, by PPR points allowed to the position.