Ryan Flournoy 2026 fantasy outlook and rest-of-season projection
- Age
- 26
- Height / weight
- 6'1", 205 lb
- Experience
- 3rd season
- Drafted
- 2024 R6, #216
2026 Season
- PPR PPG
- 5.2
- Pos rank
- WR79
- Rostered
- 9%
Week 4 at Texans, Sun Oct 4, 1:00 PM ET 5th vs. WRs, favorable
Ryan Flournoy Rest-of-Season Outlook
Efficient depth WR for deep leagues only
Preseason Projection vs. Reality
He finished WR57 last season at 7.6 points per game.
Our Take After Week 4
Through 3 games he's WR79 at 5.2 PPR points per game, against 7.6 over 15 games last season (WR57). He's running behind last season's pace.
Last season he ranked 77th of 142 in target volume (9.2% target share), 87th of 142 in downfield role (9.2% air-yards share) and 40th of 142 in efficiency (1.83 yards per route run). His points come from his efficiency. Downfield role is the soft spot. Dak Prescott is his quarterback.
The main risk is the job itself. He's the listed starter with Kavontae Turpin next on the depth chart, and a benching or an injury would take his value to zero overnight.
The next favorable matchups are the Texans in Week 4 (5th against WRs) and the Packers in Week 6 (10th against WRs).
Read our preseason outlook (June 2026)
Published June 16, 2026. Kept for reference; the take above replaces it.
Flournoy's 2025 leap was real where it counts: 0.511 EPA per play and a 57.1% success rate ranked among the most efficient marks for any wideout, a massive jump from his -0.2 EPA rookie season. He turned 56 targets into 40 catches (71.4%), 475 yards, and 4 touchdowns across 15 games, posting a healthy 1.83 yards per route run with 7 red-zone looks. The talent and the per-snap production are undeniable.
The ceiling is capped by volume, not ability. A 9.2% target share and 44.8% snap rate place him third in line behind CeeDee Lamb and George Pickens, and his biggest outings came when Lamb sat. With a WR66 draft profile, he's a dynasty stash and an injury-contingent bench piece rather than a weekly redraft option. If a spot opens ahead of him, the efficiency suggests he'd run with it.
What Drives His Outlook
His 2025 rank among the 142 receivers who played at least six games. Each bar is one receiver, best on the left; his is highlighted.
Target volume
Downfield role
Efficiency
- Average depth of target
- 8.3
- Drop rate
- 3.6%
- Red-zone targets
- 7
- Route participation
- 39.7%
- YAC per reception
- 5.1
What Could Change His Value
Upside
- A soft stretchThe Texans in Week 4 and the Packers in Week 6 are top-10 matchups for WRs.Wk 4 HOU, 5thWk 5 TB, 26thWk 6 GB, 10thWk 7 PHI, 12th
- Strong efficiency1.83 yards per route run, 40th of 142 WRs in 2025.
Risk
- Job securityKavontae Turpin is next on the depth chart; a benching or injury hands him the job.
- A tough matchupThe Buccaneers in Week 5 (26th) is among the stingiest defenses against WRs.
All Ryan Flournoy stats & analysis
WRs like Ryan Flournoy
Ryan Flournoy Fantasy Outlook FAQ
What is Ryan Flournoy's fantasy outlook for the rest of the 2026 season?
Ryan Flournoy projects as an efficient depth WR for deep leagues only for the rest of the 2026 season: waiver-wire material in 12-team PPR, 10-team PPR and half-PPR leagues. His efficiency (1.83 yards per route run, 40th of 142 WRs in 2025) supports that. His downfield role (9.2% air-yards share, 87th of 142 WRs in 2025) holds him back. See his live rank in Redraft Command.
What is Ryan Flournoy's rest-of-season fantasy ranking?
Ryan Flournoy is the WR79 in PPR points per game through Week 4. That puts him in depth WR territory, waiver-wire material in 10-team PPR leagues.
What is Ryan Flournoy's projected role going forward?
Ryan Flournoy is the listed starting WR, with Kavontae Turpin next on the depth chart. Nothing on the chart threatens the job, so the role is his to lose on performance.
Will Ryan Flournoy get more targets?
Ryan Flournoy's targets are holding steady: 7.0 a game over his last two games against 6.0 for the season. His share of the offense is what his fantasy value rides on.
What is Ryan Flournoy's fantasy football upside?
Ryan Flournoy's upside: his ceiling this season is 7.3 PPR points (Week 2, WR50), his efficiency (1.83 yards per route run, 40th of 142 WRs in 2025) gives him a weekly floor to build on and the Texans in Week 4 and the Packers in Week 6 are top-10 matchups for WRs.
What could hurt Ryan Flournoy's fantasy value?
Ryan Flournoy's risks: Kavontae Turpin is next on the depth chart if he is benched or hurt, his downfield role (9.2% air-yards share, 87th of 142 WRs in 2025) limits his scoring and the Buccaneers in Week 5 is a tough matchup. See his injury status and history.
How difficult is Ryan Flournoy's remaining fantasy schedule?
Favorable: of his next seven games, 4 come against a top-10 matchup for WRs and 2 against one of the stingiest defenses, by PPR points allowed to the position.