Tim Patrick Rest-of-Season Outlook

Patrick keeps fading as a peripheral piece. After a useful 2024 in Detroit (15 games, 59.2 percent snaps, 335 routes, 44 targets, 33-394-3 on an 8.4 percent target share and 0.425 EPA per play), his 2025 split between Detroit and Jacksonville cratered to a 31.8 percent snap share, 152 routes and just 24 targets for 15-187-3. The 4.4 percent target share, 0.103 WOPR and 36.7 fantasy points ranked WR122, and even the 0.237 EPA per play was buoyed by three red-zone scores on nine red-zone looks rather than real volume.

Now 32 and parked behind Adonai Mitchell on the Jets depth chart, Patrick projects as a touchdown-or-bust backup whose only fantasy hook is the nine red-zone and four end-zone targets he drew in a part-time role. With Garrett Wilson commanding the targets and a thin route count likely again, there is no startable path here. Leave him on waivers and only spot-stream in deep best-ball or a bye-week emergency.