Final2021 Week 10

Northwest Stadium, Landover, MD

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Washington Commanders, Week 10 2021

Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Away

19

Washington Commanders

HomeWon

29

Scoring by quarter
TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Buccaneers067619
Commanders6107629

TB 19WAS 29 Final

  • Passing leader

    Taylor Heinicke

    WAS · QB

    15.7PPR pts

    26/32, 256 YDS, 1 TD

  • Top fantasy scorer

    Antonio Gibson

    WAS · RB

    21.8PPR pts

    24 ATT, 64 YDS, 2 TD, 2 REC, 14 REC YDS

  • Buccaneers leader

    Leonard Fournette

    TB · RB

    17.2PPR pts

    11 ATT, 47 YDS, 8 REC, 45 REC YDS

  • Defensive playmaker

    Bobby McCain

    WAS

    1 INT, 3 TKL

Commanders 29, Buccaneers 19: Washington beats Tampa Bay

Washington led 16–6 at halftime to win 29–19. The Commanders finished with a 320–273 edge in total offense.

The Buccaneers went 4-for-10 on third down and committed two turnovers, while the Commanders kept the ball for 39:08.

Key advantages

  • +1 turnover margin WAS 1 · TB 2 turnovers
  • +47 total yards WAS 320 · TB 273
  • +18% third-down rate WAS 58% · TB 40%

Game Highlights

Official NFL highlights · Opens from YouTube

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Why the Commanders Won

Washington won the turnover, third-down, and time of possession battles.

Team stats comparison, Buccaneers vs Commanders
BuccaneersStatCommanders
2Turnovers1
273Total yards320
40%Third-down conversion58%
Other team stats
5.8Yards per play4.5
47Plays71
20:52Time of possession39:08

Scoring Summary

The Commanders scored three touchdowns and three field goals; the Buccaneers scored two touchdowns and two field goals.

Scoring plays, Buccaneers vs Commanders
TimeTeamPlayTBWAS
1st quarter
9:57WASJoey Slye 46-yard FG Takes lead03
5:56WASJoey Slye 28-yard FG Extends lead06
2nd quarter
12:21WASTaylor Heinicke → DeAndre Carter, 20-yard TD Extends leadJoey Slye XP013
6:44TBRyan Succop 25-yard FG313
0:58WASJoey Slye 29-yard FG Extends lead316
0:00TBRyan Succop 31-yard FG616
3rd quarter
8:46TBTom Brady → Cameron Brate, 6-yard TDRyan Succop XP1316
4:21WASAntonio Gibson 1-yard TD run Extends leadJoey Slye XP1323
4th quarter
10:55TBTom Brady → Mike Evans, 40-yard TD1923
0:29WASAntonio Gibson 1-yard TD run Extends lead2-pt try failed1929

Fantasy Points: Buccaneers vs Commanders, Week 10 2021

Fantasy leaders

  1. Antonio GibsonWASRB21.8 PTSRB6
  2. Leonard FournetteTBRB17.2 PTSRB14
  3. Taylor HeinickeWASQB15.7 PTSQB11
  4. Tom BradyTBQB15.0 PTSQB14

Player Stats

Quarterbacks

Quarterback statistics
PlayerFPTSFINCMP/ATTPass YDSTDINTRush ATTRush YDSRush TDRateStart/Sit
Taylor HeinickeWASQB15.7QB1126/32256103150110.4
Tom BradyTBQB15.0QB1423/342202212080.5

WRs, RBs, & TEs

Receiver, running back and tight end statistics
PlayerFPTSFINPOSRush ATTRush YDSRush TDTGTRECRec YDSRec TDStart/Sit
Antonio GibsonWASRB21.8RB6RB2464222140
Leonard FournetteTBRB17.2RB14RB1147098450
DeAndre CarterWASWR15.0WR13WR14063561
Mike EvansTBWR14.2WR20WR———32621Start/Sit →
Chris GodwinTBWR12.7WR27WR———87570
Terry McLaurinWASWR11.9WR31WR———86590Start/Sit →
J.D. McKissicWASRB7.9RB38RB24044350
Cameron BrateTBTE7.6TE15TE———3161
Ricky Seals-JonesWASTE6.0TE22TE———43300
John BatesWASTE5.5TE24TE———33250Start/Sit →
Tyler JohnsonTBWR4.7WR64WR———53170
Jaelon DardenTBWR3.9WR69WR———21290
Cam SimsWASWR3.0WR77WR———22100
Giovani BernardTBRB1.8RB58RB1403140
Adam HumphriesWASWR1.5WR94WR———1150
Dax MilneWASWR1.2WR98WR———22220
Jaret PattersonWASRB0.7RB67RB470————

Fantasy Usage

Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Snap Share

  1. Mike EvansWR48 snaps100%
  2. Chris GodwinWR46 snaps96%
  3. Tyler JohnsonWR33 snaps69%
  4. Leonard FournetteRB31 snaps65%
  5. Cameron BrateTE30 snaps63%

Target Share33 targets

  1. Leonard Fournette27%, 9 targets
  2. Chris Godwin24%, 8 targets
  3. Tyler Johnson15%, 5 targets
  4. Giovani Bernard9%, 3 targets
  5. Cameron Brate9%, 3 targets
  6. Other15%, 5 targets

Carry Share13 carries

  1. Leonard Fournette85%, 11 carries
  2. Tom Brady8%, 1 carries
  3. Giovani Bernard8%, 1 carries

Washington Commanders

Snap Share

  1. Terry McLaurinWR70 snaps96%
  2. DeAndre CarterWR49 snaps67%
  3. John BatesTE47 snaps64%
  4. Antonio GibsonRB46 snaps63%
  5. Adam HumphriesWR38 snaps52%

Target Share32 targets

  1. Terry McLaurin25%, 8 targets
  2. DeAndre Carter19%, 6 targets
  3. J.D. McKissic13%, 4 targets
  4. Ricky Seals-Jones13%, 4 targets
  5. John Bates9%, 3 targets
  6. Other22%, 7 targets

Carry Share34 carries

  1. Antonio Gibson71%, 24 carries
  2. Jaret Patterson12%, 4 carries
  3. Taylor Heinicke9%, 3 carries
  4. J.D. McKissic6%, 2 carries
  5. DeAndre Carter3%, 1 carries
View full usage tableHide full usage table
Offensive snaps and share for the skill positions
PlayerSNAPSSNAP %TGTTGT %CAR
Mike EvansTBWR48100%39%0
Terry McLaurinWASWR7096%825%0
Chris GodwinTBWR4696%824%0
Tyler JohnsonTBWR3369%515%0
DeAndre CarterWASWR4967%619%1
Leonard FournetteTBRB3165%927%11
John BatesWASTE4764%39%0
Antonio GibsonWASRB4663%26%24
Cameron BrateTBTE3063%39%0
O.J. HowardTBTE2858%00%0
Adam HumphriesWASWR3852%13%0
Ricky Seals-JonesWASTE3345%413%0
J.D. McKissicWASRB2838%413%2
Giovani BernardTBRB1429%39%1
Dax MilneWASWR2027%26%0
Cam SimsWASWR1318%26%0
Dyami BrownWASWR811%00%0
Jaelon DardenTBWR48%26%0
Jaret PattersonWASRB57%00%4
Sammis ReyesWASTE45%00%0
Breshad PerrimanTBWR24%00%0
Darren FellsTBTE12%00%0
Ronald JonesTBRB12%00%0

Fantasy Points vs Expected

Expected points (xFP) are what a player's pass attempts, carries and targets are worth at the league's average rates; the difference is what the player made of them.

  • Biggest overperformer+9.1Mike Evans14.2 PTS vs 5.1 xFP
  • Biggest underperformer−5.0Leonard Fournette17.2 PTS vs 22.2 xFP
  • Highest expected volume22.2 xFPLeonard Fournette17.2 PTS scored
Usage and expected fantasy points
PlayerPTSxFPvs xFPSnap%UsageRte%Pass attCarCar%TgtTgt%
Leonard FournetteTB · RB17.222.2−5.065%85% car—01185%927%
Antonio GibsonWAS · RB21.818.8+3.063%71% car—02471%26%
Taylor HeinickeWAS · QB15.716.0−0.3100%32 att—3239%00%
Tom BradyTB · QB15.015.6−0.6100%34 att—3418%00%
Chris Godwin Jr.TB · WR12.713.5−0.896%24% tgt—000%824%
Terry McLaurinWAS · WR11.913.5−1.696%25% tgt—000%825%
DeAndre CarterWAS · WR15.010.7+4.367%19% tgt—013%619%
Tyler JohnsonTB · WR4.78.4−3.769%15% tgt—000%515%
J.D. McKissicWAS · RB7.98.0−0.138%13% tgt—026%413%
Ricky Seals-JonesWAS · TE6.06.7−0.745%13% tgt—000%413%
Giovani BernardTB · RB1.85.7−3.929%9% tgt—018%39%
Cameron BrateTB · TE7.65.1+2.563%9% tgt—000%39%
John BatesWAS · TE5.55.1+0.464%9% tgt—000%39%
Mike EvansTB · WR14.25.1+9.1100%9% tgt—000%39%
Cam SimsWAS · WR3.03.4−0.418%6% tgt—000%26%
Dax MilneWAS · WR2.23.4−1.227%6% tgt—000%26%
Jaelon DardenTB · WR3.93.4+0.58%6% tgt—000%26%
Jaret PattersonWAS · RB0.72.6−1.97%12% car—0412%00%
Adam HumphriesWAS · WR1.51.7−0.252%3% tgt—000%13%

Team totals: Buccaneers 33 targets and 13 carries; Commanders 32 targets and 34 carries. Shares are from the box score. Snap counts are from the weekly player logs (Sleeper), and include plays wiped out by penalties. Route counts, air yards and red-zone touches appear when the tracking feed is connected. League-average rates from the 2021 season: 1.68 PPR points per target (67% catch rate), 0.64 per carry and 0.44 per pass attempt. They don't adjust for field position or target depth.

Fantasy Verdicts

Tom Brady

TB · QB · 15.0 pts on 15.6 expected

23 of 34 passing for 220 yards, 2 touchdowns, 2 interceptions; 1 carry for 2 yards.

Verdict: The points matched the role, 15.6 expected.

Taylor Heinicke

WAS · QB · 15.7 pts on 16.0 expected

26 of 32 passing for 256 yards, 1 touchdown; 3 carries for 15 yards.

Verdict: The points matched the role, 16.0 expected.

Leonard Fournette Volume, no payoff

TB · RB · 17.2 pts on 22.2 expected

9 targets (27% of the team's), 8 catches for 45 yards; 11 carries (85% of the team's) for 47 yards.

Verdict: The role was there, worth 22.2 points at league-average rates; the production wasn't.

Chris Godwin Jr.

TB · WR · 12.7 pts on 13.5 expected

8 targets (24% of the team's), 7 catches for 57 yards.

Verdict: The points matched the role, 13.5 expected.

Antonio Gibson Strong role

WAS · RB · 21.8 pts on 18.8 expected

2 targets (6% of the team's), 2 catches for 14 yards; 24 carries (71% of the team's) for 64 yards and 2 touchdowns.

Verdict: The points matched the role, 18.8 expected.

Terry McLaurin

WAS · WR · 11.9 pts on 13.5 expected

8 targets (25% of the team's), 6 catches for 59 yards.

Verdict: The points matched the role, 13.5 expected.

Start/Sit: Terry McLaurin →

Mike Evans Ran hot

TB · WR · 14.2 pts on 5.1 expected

3 targets (9% of the team's), 2 catches for 62 yards and 1 touchdown.

Verdict: The opportunities were worth 5.1 points; the touchdowns supplied the rest, and they are the part least likely to repeat.

Start/Sit: Mike Evans →

Tyler Johnson

TB · WR · 4.7 pts on 8.4 expected

5 targets (15% of the team's), 3 catches for 17 yards.

Verdict: The points matched the role, 8.4 expected.

Stock Up, Stock Down

Tampa Bay Buccaneers

  • Stock up: Tyler Johnson played 69% of the snaps, up from a 37% season average.

Washington Commanders

  • Stock up: DeAndre Carter played 67% of the snaps, up from a 32% season average.
  • Stock up: John Bates played 64% of the snaps, up from a 14% season average.
  • Stock down: Ricky Seals-Jones played 45% of the snaps, down from a 67% season average.

Fantasy Matchups

Fantasy points allowed per game by position, 2021 through Week 18.

Fantasy points allowed per game by position, Buccaneers defense and Commanders defense
Points allowed toBuccaneers DCommanders D
QBs17.522.1
RBs21.721.9
WRs34.836.0
TEs13.312.9

Regular season, summed from each game's box score and scored with this page's rules.

How the Game Swung

Washington opened at 24% win probability and passed 98% in the fourth quarter on the way to the win.

Commanders win probability

Commanders win probability by game minuteCommanders started at 24%, stood at 71% at halftime and finished at 100%, across 10 scoring plays.Q1Q2Q3Q4100%50%0%

Key Swings

  1. +24Heinicke → Carter, 20-yd TD48% → 71%Q2 12:21
  2. −10Succop 25-yd FG75% → 65%Q2 6:44
  3. −30Brady → Brate, 6-yd TD77% → 46%Q3 8:46
  4. +32Gibson 1-yd TD run50% → 82%Q3 4:21
  5. −27Brady → Evans, 40-yd TD92% → 65%Q4 10:55

Swing in Commanders win probability, in points

Play Calling and Possessions

Play calling, Buccaneers vs Commanders
Tampa Bay BuccaneersMeasureWashington Commanders
47Plays71
72%Pass rate52%
6.5Yds / dropback6.1
4.1Yds / carry2.8
4/10Third downs11/19

Efficiency edge Washington ran 24 more plays than Tampa Bay.

  • Top targets
  • TB Fournette 27% · Godwin 24% · Johnson 15%
  • WAS McLaurin 25% · Carter 19% · McKissic 13%

Possession Results

How each possession ended, Buccaneers vs Commanders
ResultTBWAS
Touchdowns23
Field goals23
Punts32
Turnovers21

WAS turnover edge: +1

  • The Commanders opened the scoring on their first possession, a 8-play, 32-yard drive that ended in a field goal.
  • The Commanders drained the clock with two second-half drives of four to 11 minutes.
All 19 possessions, drive by drive
Drive chart
TeamStartPlaysYardsTimeResult
TBQ1 15:00321:27Punt
WASQ1 13:338323:36Field goal
TBQ1 9:57200:11Interception
WASQ1 9:467183:50Field goal
TBQ1 5:565112:36Interception
WASQ1 3:2010465:59Touchdown
TBQ2 12:2113685:37Field goal
WASQ2 6:4411645:46Field goal
TBQ2 0:588580:58Field goal
WASQ3 15:00331:23Punt
TBQ3 13:37381:35Punt
WASQ3 12:023-61:16Punt
TBQ3 10:464432:00Touchdown
WASQ3 8:468714:25Touchdown
TBQ3 4:216154:27Punt
WASQ4 14:545302:27Fumble
TBQ4 12:273471:32Touchdown
WASQ4 10:55198010:26Touchdown
TBQ4 0:292140:29End of game
About these numbers

Possessions that ended with the clock running out at the half or the end of the game aren't counted.

Personnel groupings, average depth of target and pass rate over expected appear when the tracking feed is connected.

Buccaneers vs Commanders Head-to-Head

The Buccaneers and Commanders first met in 1977 and have played 27 times since.

All-time series
14–13Commanders lead, 27 meetings since 1977
Postseason
2–2Split 2–2
Largest Buccaneers win
35–132003
Largest Commanders win
16–32018

Since 2021

2–1 Commanders lead

3 meetings since the 2021 season, regular season and playoffs.

Oldest to newest. C = Commanders win, B = Buccaneers win, outlined = this game.

Recent Meetings

Season to Date (Through Week 18)

The 2021 regular season, from each game's box score.

Season to date, Buccaneers vs Commanders
BuccaneersStatCommanders
13-4Record7-10
30.1Points per game19.7
405.9Yards per game323.6
6.1Yards per play5.1
20.8Points allowed per game25.5
331.5Yards allowed per game359.3

Buccaneers vs Commanders Odds and Results

How this game finished against the betting lines.

Spread
TB −9.5Buccaneers failed to cover by 19.5
Total
50.5Under: 48 points scored (by 2.5)

Expected vs Actual Scoring

Implied team totals against the actual score
TeamImpliedActualDifference
Buccaneers30.019−11.0
Commanders20.529+8.5

The Commanders beat their implied total and the Buccaneers fell short of theirs; the Fantasy tab has the player lines behind it.

Betting Trends

Each team's 2021 season through this game. Over/under is overs first.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Against the spread
3–6
Over/under
5–4
ATS as favorite
3–6
ATS on the road
0–5

Washington Commanders

Against the spread
2–7
Over/under
4–5
ATS as favorite
1–2
ATS as underdog
1–5
ATS at home
1–4

Lines: ESPN's consensus, captured at kickoff. Individual sportsbooks varied.

21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER. Betting availability depends on your state.

Buccaneers and Commanders in Fantasy

The two teams don't meet again this season. If you roster a Buccaneer or a Commander, these answer the week-to-week question.

Keep Exploring

2021 Game Logs for Players in This Game

Buccaneers vs Commanders Game FAQ

Who won the 2021 Buccaneers vs Commanders Week 10 game?

The Washington Commanders beat the Tampa Bay Buccaneers 29–19 in Week 10 of the 2021 season. The game was played at Northwest Stadium in Landover, MD, on November 14, 2021. See the Commanders' 2021 schedule.

What was the final score of Buccaneers vs Commanders?

The final score was Commanders 29, Buccaneers 19. The Commanders led 16–6 at halftime, and the second half went Buccaneers 13, Commanders 13.

What happened in the Buccaneers vs Commanders game?

Washington led 16–6 at halftime to win 29–19. The Commanders finished with a 320–273 edge in total offense. Antonio Gibson led all players with 2 catches for 14 yards, plus 24 carries for 64 rushing yards and 2 touchdowns. The Buccaneers committed 2 turnovers, the Commanders 1.

Who scored the most fantasy points in Buccaneers vs Commanders?

Antonio Gibson led the game with 21.8 PPR fantasy points, the RB6 of Week 10, on 2 catches for 14 yards, plus 24 carries for 64 rushing yards and 2 touchdowns. Leonard Fournette was next with 17.2 (RB14).

Who led Buccaneers vs Commanders in passing, rushing and receiving?

Taylor Heinicke (WAS) led all passers with 26 of 32 for 256 yards and a touchdown. Antonio Gibson (WAS) led in rushing with 24 carries for 64 yards and 2 touchdowns. Mike Evans (TB) led in receiving with 2 catches for 62 yards and a touchdown.

How many fantasy points did Antonio Gibson score against the Buccaneers?

Antonio Gibson scored 21.8 points in PPR leagues, 20.8 in half-PPR and 19.8 in standard scoring against the Buccaneers in Week 10 of the 2021 season, on 2 catches for 14 yards, plus 24 carries for 64 rushing yards and 2 touchdowns. He handled 71% of his team's carries.

Who outperformed and underperformed expected fantasy points in Buccaneers vs Commanders?

Mike Evans outperformed his expected fantasy points the most, scoring 14.2 PPR points on 5.1 xFP (+9.1). Leonard Fournette fell furthest short, with 17.2 points on 22.2 xFP (−5.0). A gap either way reflects efficiency and touchdowns in one game; it is not a forecast. For matchups ahead, see fantasy points allowed by position.

How did the Commanders come back to beat the Buccaneers?

The Commanders' chances of winning fell as low as 24% in the first half. Antonio Gibson's 1-yard touchdown run in the third quarter was the biggest swing of the game. They finished the comeback with a 29–19 win.

Which team won the turnover battle in Buccaneers vs Commanders?

The Commanders won the turnover battle 2–1: the Buccaneers gave the ball away 2 times and the Commanders 1 time. The Commanders won the game.

What is the all-time Buccaneers vs Commanders record?

The Commanders lead the all-time series 14–13 across 27 meetings since 1977, including a 2–2 record in the postseason.

When did the Buccaneers and Commanders last play before this game?

Before Week 10 of 2021, they last met in the 2020 playoffs on January 9, 2021, when the Buccaneers beat the Commanders 31–23.

Have the Buccaneers and Commanders met in the playoffs?

Yes, 4 times, most recently in the 2024 playoffs. The Buccaneers are 2–2 against the Commanders in the postseason.

What was the closing spread for Buccaneers vs Commanders?

The consensus closing spread at kickoff was Buccaneers −9.5, making the Tampa Bay Buccaneers 9.5-point favorites, with a closing total of 50.5. That implied about 30.0 points for the Buccaneers and 20.5 for the Commanders.

Did Buccaneers vs Commanders go over or under the total?

The game went under. The consensus closing total was 50.5, and the teams combined for 48 points, 2.5 under the number.

Who covered the spread in Buccaneers vs Commanders?

The Commanders covered as 9.5-point underdogs against the closing line of Buccaneers −9.5. The final margin was 10 points.