Start Jaylen Waddle. Waddle is projected for 11.6 PPR points vs 11.1 for Adonai Mitchell, and faces the 13th-toughest defense against WRs this week.
Updated Nov 7, 4:39 PM ET
| Jaylen Waddle WR · DEN | Adonai Mitchell WR · NYJ | |
|---|---|---|
| Projection (Week 9, avg of sources) | 11.6 | 11.1 |
| Floor (lowest source) | 11.1 | 10.3 |
| Ceiling (highest source) | 12.5 | 11.6 |
| StatChasers projection | 12.1 (WR23) | 11.4 (WR26) |
| Opponent | vs CAR | vs KC |
| Opponent vs. position | 13th-toughest (29.8 pts/g allowed) | 2nd-toughest (24.9 pts/g allowed) |
| Recent usage | 26% target share (last 3) | 25% target share (last 3) |
| Position | WR | WR |
| Our call | START · WR2 | START · WR3 |
Settle every start/sit call with projections, matchup, recent usage and floor-versus-ceiling for your exact scoring settings.
Start Jaylen Waddle. Waddle projects for 11.6 PPR points vs CAR, against 11.1 for Adonai Mitchell vs KC: a 0.5-point edge.
The projection is the average of every source that carries each player this week, and a player listed Out or Doubtful is never the start.
Jaylen Waddle is projected to score more: 11.6 PPR points to 11.1 for Adonai Mitchell.
The sources range from 11.1 to 12.5 for Waddle and from 10.3 to 11.6 for Mitchell. The ranges overlap, so Mitchell outscoring Waddle is a realistic result.
Jaylen Waddle is the safer start: even the most cautious projection source has Waddle at 11.1 PPR points, against 10.3 for Adonai Mitchell.
Start the higher floor when you are favored and only need to avoid a dud.
Jaylen Waddle has the higher ceiling: the most optimistic projection source has Waddle at 12.5 PPR points, against 11.6 for Adonai Mitchell.
Start the higher ceiling when you are the underdog and need points more than safety.
Jaylen Waddle plays CAR and Adonai Mitchell plays KC in Week 9.
By fantasy points allowed to each position, Waddle faces the 13th-toughest defense against WRs and Mitchell faces the 2nd-toughest defense against WRs, so Jaylen Waddle has the softer matchup.
Each projection already accounts for the opponent, so a soft matchup is a tiebreaker, not a reason to bench the higher projection.
Over his recent games Jaylen Waddle has drawn 26% of his team's targets, and Adonai Mitchell 25% of his team's targets.
Jaylen Waddle has the bigger role, and volume is the steadiest thing a projection rests on.
These numbers are in PPR. Full PPR adds a point per catch, so it helps whichever player sees more targets, which here is Jaylen Waddle.
Switch between PPR, Half PPR and Standard on the board above to rescore both players from the same sources.
Neither Jaylen Waddle nor Adonai Mitchell has an injury designation for Week 9.
Designations change through the week, so check again before kickoff; this page updates with each refresh.
Each figure is the average of the projection sources that carry the player this week: StatChasers, Sleeper, ESPN, numberFire, FFToday and the betting markets (sportsbook player props). Jaylen Waddle is projected by 6 of them and Adonai Mitchell by 6.
A source with no number for a player is left out of the average rather than counted as a zero.