Start A.J. Brown. Brown is projected for 15.0 PPR points vs 14.1 for D'Andre Swift, and faces the 3rd-toughest defense against WRs this week.
Updated Oct 30, 7:29 AM ET
| A.J. Brown WR · NE | D'Andre Swift RB · CHI | |
|---|---|---|
| Projection (Week 8, avg of sources) | 15.0 | 14.1 |
| Floor (lowest source) | 13.4 | 13.0 |
| Ceiling (highest source) | 16.6 | 17.7 |
| StatChasers projection | 14.5 (WR14) | 17.7 (RB6) |
| Opponent | vs MIA | vs SEA |
| Opponent vs. position | 3rd-toughest (23.8 pts/g allowed) | 15th-toughest (20.9 pts/g allowed) |
| Recent usage | 22% target share (last 3) | 54% carry share (last 3) |
| Position | WR | RB |
| Our call | START · WR2 | START · Strong RB1 |
Settle every start/sit call with projections, matchup, recent usage and floor-versus-ceiling for your exact scoring settings.
Start A.J. Brown. Brown projects for 15.0 PPR points vs MIA, against 14.1 for D'Andre Swift vs SEA: a 0.9-point edge.
The projection is the average of every source that carries each player this week, and a player listed Out or Doubtful is never the start.
A.J. Brown is projected to score more: 15.0 PPR points to 14.1 for D'Andre Swift.
The sources range from 13.4 to 16.6 for Brown and from 13.0 to 17.7 for Swift. The ranges overlap, so Swift outscoring Brown is a realistic result.
A.J. Brown is the safer start: even the most cautious projection source has Brown at 13.4 PPR points, against 13.0 for D'Andre Swift.
Start the higher floor when you are favored and only need to avoid a dud.
D'Andre Swift has the higher ceiling: the most optimistic projection source has Swift at 17.7 PPR points, against 16.6 for A.J. Brown.
Start the higher ceiling when you are the underdog and need points more than safety.
A.J. Brown plays MIA and D'Andre Swift plays SEA in Week 8.
By fantasy points allowed to each position, Brown faces the 3rd-toughest defense against WRs and Swift faces the 15th-toughest defense against RBs, so D'Andre Swift has the softer matchup.
Each projection already accounts for the opponent, so a soft matchup is a tiebreaker, not a reason to bench the higher projection.
Over his recent games A.J. Brown has drawn 22% of his team's targets, and D'Andre Swift 54% of his team's carries.
These numbers are in PPR. Full PPR adds a point per catch, so it helps whichever player sees more targets, which here is A.J. Brown.
Switch between PPR, Half PPR and Standard on the board above to rescore both players from the same sources.
Neither A.J. Brown nor D'Andre Swift has an injury designation for Week 8.
Designations change through the week, so check again before kickoff; this page updates with each refresh.
Each figure is the average of the projection sources that carry the player this week: StatChasers, Sleeper, ESPN, numberFire, FFToday and the betting markets (sportsbook player props). A.J. Brown is projected by 5 of them and D'Andre Swift by 6.
A source with no number for a player is left out of the average rather than counted as a zero.