Start A.J. Brown. Brown is projected for 15.0 PPR points vs 11.4 for Jaylen Waddle, and faces the 3rd-toughest defense against WRs this week.
Updated Oct 30, 7:29 AM ET
| A.J. Brown WR · NE | Jaylen Waddle WR · DEN | |
|---|---|---|
| Projection (Week 8, avg of sources) | 15.0 | 11.4 |
| Floor (lowest source) | 13.4 | 10.7 |
| Ceiling (highest source) | 16.6 | 12.4 |
| StatChasers projection | 14.5 (WR14) | — |
| Opponent | vs MIA | vs KC |
| Opponent vs. position | 3rd-toughest (23.8 pts/g allowed) | 2nd-toughest (23.7 pts/g allowed) |
| Recent usage | 22% target share (last 3) | 27% target share (last 3) |
| Position | WR | WR |
| Our call | START · WR2 | START · WR3 |
Settle every start/sit call with projections, matchup, recent usage and floor-versus-ceiling for your exact scoring settings.
Start A.J. Brown. Brown projects for 15.0 PPR points vs MIA, against 11.4 for Jaylen Waddle vs KC: a 3.6-point edge.
The projection is the average of every source that carries each player this week, and a player listed Out or Doubtful is never the start.
A.J. Brown is projected to score more: 15.0 PPR points to 11.4 for Jaylen Waddle.
The sources range from 13.4 to 16.6 for Brown and from 10.7 to 12.4 for Waddle. Even Waddle's highest projection is below Brown's lowest.
A.J. Brown is the safer start: even the most cautious projection source has Brown at 13.4 PPR points, against 10.7 for Jaylen Waddle.
Start the higher floor when you are favored and only need to avoid a dud.
A.J. Brown has the higher ceiling: the most optimistic projection source has Brown at 16.6 PPR points, against 12.4 for Jaylen Waddle.
Start the higher ceiling when you are the underdog and need points more than safety.
A.J. Brown plays MIA and Jaylen Waddle plays KC in Week 8.
By fantasy points allowed to each position, Brown faces the 3rd-toughest defense against WRs and Waddle faces the 2nd-toughest defense against WRs, so A.J. Brown has the softer matchup.
Each projection already accounts for the opponent, so a soft matchup is a tiebreaker, not a reason to bench the higher projection.
Over his recent games A.J. Brown has drawn 22% of his team's targets, and Jaylen Waddle 27% of his team's targets.
Jaylen Waddle has the bigger role, and volume is the steadiest thing a projection rests on.
These numbers are in PPR. Full PPR adds a point per catch, so it helps whichever player sees more targets, which here is Jaylen Waddle.
Switch between PPR, Half PPR and Standard on the board above to rescore both players from the same sources.
Neither A.J. Brown nor Jaylen Waddle has an injury designation for Week 8.
Designations change through the week, so check again before kickoff; this page updates with each refresh.
Each figure is the average of the projection sources that carry the player this week: StatChasers, Sleeper, ESPN, numberFire, FFToday and the betting markets (sportsbook player props). A.J. Brown is projected by 5 of them and Jaylen Waddle by 4.
A source with no number for a player is left out of the average rather than counted as a zero.