Start Tyler Allgeier. Allgeier is projected for 10.1 PPR points vs 9.2 for Braelon Allen, and faces the 10th-softest defense against RBs this week.
Updated Oct 24, 4:47 PM ET
| Tyler Allgeier RB · ARI | Braelon Allen RB · NYJ | |
|---|---|---|
| Projection (Week 7, avg of sources) | 10.1 | 9.2 |
| Floor (lowest source) | 7.1 | 5.8 |
| Ceiling (highest source) | 11.6 | 15.0 |
| StatChasers projection | — | — |
| Opponent | vs DEN | vs MIA |
| Opponent vs. position | 10th-softest (23.3 pts/g allowed) | 4th-softest (26.1 pts/g allowed) |
| Recent usage | 37% carry share (last 3) | 75% carry share (last 3) |
| Position | RB | RB |
| Our call | FLEX · Flex | FLEX · Flex |
Settle every start/sit call with projections, matchup, recent usage and floor-versus-ceiling for your exact scoring settings.
Start Tyler Allgeier. Allgeier projects for 10.1 PPR points vs DEN, against 9.2 for Braelon Allen vs MIA: a 0.9-point edge.
The projection is the average of every source that carries each player this week, and a player listed Out or Doubtful is never the start.
Tyler Allgeier is projected to score more: 10.1 PPR points to 9.2 for Braelon Allen.
The sources range from 7.1 to 11.6 for Allgeier and from 5.8 to 15.0 for Allen. The ranges overlap, so Allen outscoring Allgeier is a realistic result.
Tyler Allgeier is the safer start: even the most cautious projection source has Allgeier at 7.1 PPR points, against 5.8 for Braelon Allen.
Start the higher floor when you are favored and only need to avoid a dud.
Braelon Allen has the higher ceiling: the most optimistic projection source has Allen at 15.0 PPR points, against 11.6 for Tyler Allgeier.
Start the higher ceiling when you are the underdog and need points more than safety.
Tyler Allgeier plays DEN and Braelon Allen plays MIA in Week 7.
By fantasy points allowed to each position, Allgeier faces the 10th-softest defense against RBs and Allen faces the 4th-softest defense against RBs, so Braelon Allen has the softer matchup.
Each projection already accounts for the opponent, so a soft matchup is a tiebreaker, not a reason to bench the higher projection.
Over his recent games Tyler Allgeier has drawn 37% of his team's carries, and Braelon Allen 75% of his team's carries.
Braelon Allen has the bigger role, and volume is the steadiest thing a projection rests on.
These numbers are in PPR. Full PPR adds a point per catch, so it helps whichever player sees more targets.
Switch between PPR, Half PPR and Standard on the board above to rescore both players from the same sources.
Neither Tyler Allgeier nor Braelon Allen has an injury designation for Week 7.
Designations change through the week, so check again before kickoff; this page updates with each refresh.
Each figure is the average of the projection sources that carry the player this week: StatChasers, Sleeper, ESPN, numberFire, FFToday and the betting markets (sportsbook player props). Tyler Allgeier is projected by 5 of them and Braelon Allen by 5.
A source with no number for a player is left out of the average rather than counted as a zero.