Start Drake Maye. Maye is projected for 19.9 PPR points vs 17.1 for Caleb Williams, and faces the 15th-softest defense against QBs this week.
Updated Oct 24, 4:47 PM ET
| Drake Maye QB · NE | Caleb Williams QB · CHI | |
|---|---|---|
| Projection (Week 7, avg of sources) | 19.9 | 17.1 |
| Floor (lowest source) | 17.0 | 12.6 |
| Ceiling (highest source) | 21.7 | 19.2 |
| StatChasers projection | — | — |
| Opponent | vs CHI | vs NE |
| Opponent vs. position | 15th-softest (18.5 pts/g allowed) | 6th-toughest (14.6 pts/g allowed) |
| Recent usage | — | — |
| Position | QB | QB |
| Our call | START · Strong QB1 | START · QB1 |
Settle every start/sit call with projections, matchup, recent usage and floor-versus-ceiling for your exact scoring settings.
Start Drake Maye. Maye projects for 19.9 PPR points vs CHI, against 17.1 for Caleb Williams vs NE: a 2.8-point edge.
The projection is the average of every source that carries each player this week, and a player listed Out or Doubtful is never the start.
Drake Maye is projected to score more: 19.9 PPR points to 17.1 for Caleb Williams.
The sources range from 17.0 to 21.7 for Maye and from 12.6 to 19.2 for Williams. The ranges overlap, so Williams outscoring Maye is a realistic result.
Drake Maye is the safer start: even the most cautious projection source has Maye at 17.0 PPR points, against 12.6 for Caleb Williams.
Start the higher floor when you are favored and only need to avoid a dud.
Drake Maye has the higher ceiling: the most optimistic projection source has Maye at 21.7 PPR points, against 19.2 for Caleb Williams.
Start the higher ceiling when you are the underdog and need points more than safety.
Drake Maye plays CHI and Caleb Williams plays NE in Week 7.
By fantasy points allowed to each position, Maye faces the 15th-softest defense against QBs and Williams faces the 6th-toughest defense against QBs, so Drake Maye has the softer matchup.
Each projection already accounts for the opponent, so a soft matchup is a tiebreaker, not a reason to bench the higher projection.
These numbers are in PPR. Full PPR adds a point per catch, so it helps whichever player sees more targets.
Switch between PPR, Half PPR and Standard on the board above to rescore both players from the same sources.
Neither Drake Maye nor Caleb Williams has an injury designation for Week 7.
Designations change through the week, so check again before kickoff; this page updates with each refresh.
Each figure is the average of the projection sources that carry the player this week: StatChasers, Sleeper, ESPN, numberFire, FFToday and the betting markets (sportsbook player props). Drake Maye is projected by 5 of them and Caleb Williams by 5.
A source with no number for a player is left out of the average rather than counted as a zero.