Start Colston Loveland. Loveland is projected for 13.2 PPR points vs 12.2 for DJ Moore, and faces the 11th-softest defense against TEs this week.
Updated Nov 7, 4:39 PM ET
| Colston Loveland TE · CHI | DJ Moore WR · BUF | |
|---|---|---|
| Projection (Week 9, avg of sources) | 13.2 | 12.2 |
| Floor (lowest source) | 10.9 | 11.3 |
| Ceiling (highest source) | 17.0 | 13.1 |
| StatChasers projection | 13.6 (TE4) | 11.3 (WR28) |
| Opponent | vs TB | vs MIN |
| Opponent vs. position | 11th-softest (14.8 pts/g allowed) | 4th-toughest (25.9 pts/g allowed) |
| Recent usage | 29% target share (last 3) | 21% target share (last 3) |
| Position | TE | WR |
| Our call | START · Strong TE1 | START · WR3 |
Settle every start/sit call with projections, matchup, recent usage and floor-versus-ceiling for your exact scoring settings.
Start Colston Loveland. Loveland projects for 13.2 PPR points vs TB, against 12.2 for DJ Moore vs MIN: a 1.0-point edge.
The projection is the average of every source that carries each player this week, and a player listed Out or Doubtful is never the start.
Colston Loveland is projected to score more: 13.2 PPR points to 12.2 for DJ Moore.
The sources range from 10.9 to 17.0 for Loveland and from 11.3 to 13.1 for Moore. The ranges overlap, so Moore outscoring Loveland is a realistic result.
DJ Moore is the safer start: even the most cautious projection source has Moore at 11.3 PPR points, against 10.9 for Colston Loveland.
Start the higher floor when you are favored and only need to avoid a dud.
Colston Loveland has the higher ceiling: the most optimistic projection source has Loveland at 17.0 PPR points, against 13.1 for DJ Moore.
Start the higher ceiling when you are the underdog and need points more than safety.
Colston Loveland plays TB and DJ Moore plays MIN in Week 9.
By fantasy points allowed to each position, Loveland faces the 11th-softest defense against TEs and Moore faces the 4th-toughest defense against WRs, so Colston Loveland has the softer matchup.
Each projection already accounts for the opponent, so a soft matchup is a tiebreaker, not a reason to bench the higher projection.
Over his recent games Colston Loveland has drawn 29% of his team's targets, and DJ Moore 21% of his team's targets.
Colston Loveland has the bigger role, and volume is the steadiest thing a projection rests on.
These numbers are in PPR. Full PPR adds a point per catch, so it helps whichever player sees more targets, which here is Colston Loveland.
Switch between PPR, Half PPR and Standard on the board above to rescore both players from the same sources.
Neither Colston Loveland nor DJ Moore has an injury designation for Week 9.
Designations change through the week, so check again before kickoff; this page updates with each refresh.
Each figure is the average of the projection sources that carry the player this week: StatChasers, Sleeper, ESPN, numberFire, FFToday and the betting markets (sportsbook player props). Colston Loveland is projected by 5 of them and DJ Moore by 6.
A source with no number for a player is left out of the average rather than counted as a zero.