Start Davante Adams. Adams is projected for 13.5 PPR points vs 12.6 for Luther Burden III.
Updated Oct 24, 4:47 PM ET
| Davante Adams WR · LAR | Luther Burden III WR · CHI | |
|---|---|---|
| Projection (Week 7, avg of sources) | 13.5 | 12.6 |
| Floor (lowest source) | 13.5 | 12.6 |
| Ceiling (highest source) | 13.5 | 12.7 |
| StatChasers projection | — | — |
| Opponent | Bye | vs NE |
| Opponent vs. position | — | 16th-toughest (31.7 pts/g allowed) |
| Recent usage | 15% target share (last 3) | 19% target share (last 3) |
| Position | WR | WR |
| Our call | START · WR2 | START · WR2 |
Settle every start/sit call with projections, matchup, recent usage and floor-versus-ceiling for your exact scoring settings.
Start Davante Adams. Adams projects for 13.5 PPR points on a bye, against 12.6 for Luther Burden III vs NE: a 0.9-point edge.
The projection is the average of every source that carries each player this week, and a player listed Out or Doubtful is never the start.
Davante Adams is projected to score more: 13.5 PPR points to 12.6 for Luther Burden III.
The sources range from 13.5 to 13.5 for Adams and from 12.6 to 12.7 for Burden III. Even Burden III's highest projection is below Adams's lowest.
Davante Adams is the safer start: even the most cautious projection source has Adams at 13.5 PPR points, against 12.6 for Luther Burden III.
Start the higher floor when you are favored and only need to avoid a dud.
Davante Adams has the higher ceiling: the most optimistic projection source has Adams at 13.5 PPR points, against 12.7 for Luther Burden III.
Start the higher ceiling when you are the underdog and need points more than safety.
Davante Adams is on a bye and Luther Burden III plays NE in Week 7.
Each projection already accounts for the opponent, so a soft matchup is a tiebreaker, not a reason to bench the higher projection.
Over his recent games Davante Adams has drawn 15% of his team's targets, and Luther Burden III 19% of his team's targets.
Luther Burden III has the bigger role, and volume is the steadiest thing a projection rests on.
These numbers are in PPR. Full PPR adds a point per catch, so it helps whichever player sees more targets, which here is Luther Burden III.
Switch between PPR, Half PPR and Standard on the board above to rescore both players from the same sources.
Davante Adams is on a bye, and Luther Burden III has no injury designation.
Designations change through the week, so check again before kickoff; this page updates with each refresh.
Each figure is the average of the projection sources that carry the player this week: StatChasers, Sleeper, ESPN, numberFire, FFToday and the betting markets (sportsbook player props). Davante Adams is projected by 1 of them and Luther Burden III by 4.
A source with no number for a player is left out of the average rather than counted as a zero.