Start Garrett Wilson. Wilson is projected for 14.4 PPR points vs 12.8 for Luther Burden III, and faces the 15th-softest defense against WRs this week.
Updated Oct 30, 7:29 AM ET
| Garrett Wilson WR · NYJ | Luther Burden III WR · CHI | |
|---|---|---|
| Projection (Week 8, avg of sources) | 14.4 | 12.8 |
| Floor (lowest source) | 13.2 | 12.3 |
| Ceiling (highest source) | 16.6 | 13.4 |
| StatChasers projection | 13.3 (WR18) | 12.4 (WR23) |
| Opponent | vs LV | vs SEA |
| Opponent vs. position | 15th-softest (31.4 pts/g allowed) | 1st-toughest (20.9 pts/g allowed) |
| Recent usage | 23% target share (last 3) | 18% target share (last 3) |
| Position | WR | WR |
| Our call | START · WR2 | START · WR2 |
Settle every start/sit call with projections, matchup, recent usage and floor-versus-ceiling for your exact scoring settings.
Start Garrett Wilson. Wilson projects for 14.4 PPR points vs LV, against 12.8 for Luther Burden III vs SEA: a 1.6-point edge.
The projection is the average of every source that carries each player this week, and a player listed Out or Doubtful is never the start.
Garrett Wilson is projected to score more: 14.4 PPR points to 12.8 for Luther Burden III.
The sources range from 13.2 to 16.6 for Wilson and from 12.3 to 13.4 for Burden III. The ranges overlap, so Burden III outscoring Wilson is a realistic result.
Garrett Wilson is the safer start: even the most cautious projection source has Wilson at 13.2 PPR points, against 12.3 for Luther Burden III.
Start the higher floor when you are favored and only need to avoid a dud.
Garrett Wilson has the higher ceiling: the most optimistic projection source has Wilson at 16.6 PPR points, against 13.4 for Luther Burden III.
Start the higher ceiling when you are the underdog and need points more than safety.
Garrett Wilson plays LV and Luther Burden III plays SEA in Week 8.
By fantasy points allowed to each position, Wilson faces the 15th-softest defense against WRs and Burden III faces the 1st-toughest defense against WRs, so Garrett Wilson has the softer matchup.
Each projection already accounts for the opponent, so a soft matchup is a tiebreaker, not a reason to bench the higher projection.
Over his recent games Garrett Wilson has drawn 23% of his team's targets, and Luther Burden III 18% of his team's targets.
Garrett Wilson has the bigger role, and volume is the steadiest thing a projection rests on.
These numbers are in PPR. Full PPR adds a point per catch, so it helps whichever player sees more targets, which here is Garrett Wilson.
Switch between PPR, Half PPR and Standard on the board above to rescore both players from the same sources.
Neither Garrett Wilson nor Luther Burden III has an injury designation for Week 8.
Designations change through the week, so check again before kickoff; this page updates with each refresh.
Each figure is the average of the projection sources that carry the player this week: StatChasers, Sleeper, ESPN, numberFire, FFToday and the betting markets (sportsbook player props). Garrett Wilson is projected by 5 of them and Luther Burden III by 5.
A source with no number for a player is left out of the average rather than counted as a zero.